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Solar tower power generation under future attenuation and climate scenarios

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  • Polo, Jesús
  • Poddar, Shukla
  • Simal, Noelia
  • Ballestrín, Jesús
  • Marzo, Aitor
  • Kay, Merlinde
  • Carra, Elena

Abstract

This work presents a novel analysis of the potential impact of atmospheric attenuation in the performance of solar tower plants for future climate change scenarios (2030–2060). Atmospheric attenuation has been estimated from aerosol optical depth information in CMIP6 climatic models for several scenarios (optimistic and pessimistic in terms of mitigation actions taken). Atmospheric attenuation data derived from CMIP6 models was evaluated using the extensive and reliable experimental database at PSA (Plataforma Solar de Almería). Detailed modeling of a solar tower plant is also performed for the conditions at PSA showing a decrease in annual power production less than 2 % for 2030–2060 period. A global impact of atmospheric attenuation is analyzed in relative terms and global maps of future attenuation shows the specific regions more adversely affected in the optimistic and pessimistic future scenarios. According to impact of atmospheric attenuation in solar field efficiency, these results may help in the future planning of deployment for solar tower plants.

Suggested Citation

  • Polo, Jesús & Poddar, Shukla & Simal, Noelia & Ballestrín, Jesús & Marzo, Aitor & Kay, Merlinde & Carra, Elena, 2025. "Solar tower power generation under future attenuation and climate scenarios," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:207:y:2025:i:c:s1364032124007238
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.114997
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jennifer Cronin & Gabrial Anandarajah & Olivier Dessens, 2018. "Climate change impacts on the energy system: a review of trends and gaps," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(2), pages 79-93, November.
    2. Simal, Noelia & Ballestrín, Jesús & Carra, Elena & Marzo, Aitor & Polo, Jesús & Barbero, Javier & Alonso-Montesinos, Joaquín & López, Gabriel, 2024. "Typical solar extinction year at Plataforma Solar de Almería (Spain). Application to thermoelectric solar tower plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    3. Ballestrín, J. & Monterreal, R. & Carra, M.E. & Fernández-Reche, J. & Polo, J. & Enrique, R. & Rodríguez, J. & Casanova, M. & Barbero, F.J. & Alonso-Montesinos, J. & López, G. & Bosch, J.L. & Batlles,, 2018. "Solar extinction measurement system based on digital cameras. Application to solar tower plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 648-654.
    4. Ballestrín, J. & Carra, E. & Monterreal, R. & Enrique, R. & Polo, J. & Fernández-Reche, J. & Barbero, J. & Marzo, A. & Alonso-Montesinos, J. & López, G. & Batlles, F.J., 2019. "One year of solar extinction measurements at Plataforma Solar de Almería. Application to solar tower plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 1002-1011.
    5. Isaza, Alejandra & Kay, Merlinde & Evans, Jason P. & Prasad, Abhnil & Bremner, Stephen, 2023. "Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P2).
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