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Review of advances in human reliability analysis of errors of commission—Part 2: EOC quantification

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  • Reer, Bernhard

Abstract

In close connection with examples relevant to contemporary probabilistic safety assessment (PSA), a review of advances in human reliability analysis (HRA) of post-initiator errors of commission (EOCs), i.e. inappropriate actions under abnormal operating conditions, has been carried out. The review comprises both EOC identification (part 1) and quantification (part 2); part 2 is presented in this article. Emerging HRA methods in this field are: ATHEANA, MERMOS, the EOC HRA method developed by Gesellschaft für Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit (GRS), the MDTA method and CREAM. The essential advanced features are on the conceptual side, especially to envisage the modeling of multiple contexts for an EOC to be quantified (ATHEANA, MERMOS and MDTA), in order to explicitly address adverse conditions. There is promising progress in providing systematic guidance to better account for cognitive demands and tendencies (GRS, CREAM), and EOC recovery (MDTA). Problematic issues are associated with the implementation of multiple context modeling and the assessment of context-specific error probabilities. Approaches for task or error opportunity scaling (CREAM, GRS) and the concept of reference cases (ATHEANA outlook) provide promising orientations for achieving progress towards data-based quantification. Further development work is needed and should be carried out in close connection with large-scale applications of existing approaches.

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  • Reer, Bernhard, 2008. "Review of advances in human reliability analysis of errors of commission—Part 2: EOC quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(8), pages 1105-1122.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:93:y:2008:i:8:p:1105-1122
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2007.10.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kim, Man Cheol & Seong, Poong Hyun & Hollnagel, Erik, 2006. "A probabilistic approach for determining the control mode in CREAM," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 191-199.
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    1. Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2016. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants, Part II," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 44-56.
    2. Landry, Steven J. & Lagu, Amit & Kinnari, Jouko, 2010. "State-based modeling of continuous human-integrated systems: An application to air traffic separation assurance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(4), pages 345-353.
    3. Zarei, Esmaeil & Khan, Faisal & Abbassi, Rouzbeh, 2021. "Importance of human reliability in process operation: A critical analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    4. Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Jaewhan, 2022. "Empirical study on human error probability of procedure-extraneous behaviors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    5. Bolton, Matthew L. & Zheng, Xi & Kang, Eunsuk, 2021. "A formal method for including the probability of erroneous human task behavior in system analyses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    6. Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2013. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 150-159.
    7. Podofillini, L. & Dang, V.N. & Nusbaumer, O. & Dres, D., 2013. "A pilot study for errors of commission for a boiling water reactor using the CESA method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 86-98.
    8. Podofillini, Luca & Reer, Bernhard & Dang, Vinh N., 2021. "Analysis of recent operational events involving inappropriate actions: influencing factors and root causes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    9. Zheng, Xi & Bolton, Matthew L. & Daly, Christopher & Biltekoff, Elliot, 2020. "The development of a next-generation human reliability analysis: Systems analysis for formal pharmaceutical human reliability (SAFPHâ–ª)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    10. Vaurio, Jussi K., 2009. "Human factors, human reliability and risk assessment in license renewal of a nuclear power plant," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(11), pages 1818-1826.
    11. Vanderhaegen, Frédéric & Zieba, Stéphane & Enjalbert, Simon & Polet, Philippe, 2011. "A Benefit/Cost/Deficit (BCD) model for learning from human errors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(7), pages 757-766.

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