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Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants, Part II

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  • Preischl, Wolfgang
  • Hellmich, Mario

Abstract

This paper is a continuation of an earlier publication (Preischl et al., Reliab Eng Syst Saf 2013;109:150–9) and presents the second part of a project aimed to collect human reliability data from the operational experience of German nuclear power plants. We employ a method which utilizes the German licensee event reporting system to gather the data. In this way, in addition to the data already presented in the previous paper, another 30 estimates for human error probabilities (HEP) are obtained. Moreover, a new method to access parts of the operational experience below the notification threshold of the German event reporting system is described. This method is demonstrated in cooperation with a reference nuclear power plant, resulting in 18 additional HEP estimates. As a result of both projects altogether 74 usable HEP estimates for a wide variety of tasks were derived. Notably, a number of them concern memory related or cognitive errors. A comparison with the THERP database shows that for 48 of these HEP estimates THERP provides no data, whereas in the 26 cases where THERP proposes a HEP it agrees with our data in all but eight cases.

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  • Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2016. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants, Part II," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 44-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:148:y:2016:i:c:p:44-56
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2015.11.011
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    1. Preischl, Wolfgang & Hellmich, Mario, 2013. "Human error probabilities from operational experience of German nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 150-159.
    2. James Chang, Y. & Bley, Dennis & Criscione, Lawrence & Kirwan, Barry & Mosleh, Ali & Madary, Todd & Nowell, Rodney & Richards, Robert & Roth, Emilie M. & Sieben, Scott & Zoulis, Antonios, 2014. "The SACADA database for human reliability and human performance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 117-133.
    3. Podofillini, L. & Dang, V.N. & Nusbaumer, O. & Dres, D., 2013. "A pilot study for errors of commission for a boiling water reactor using the CESA method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 86-98.
    4. Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea, 2007. "OPERA—a human performance database under simulated emergencies of nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(4), pages 503-519.
    5. Reer, Bernhard, 2008. "Review of advances in human reliability analysis of errors of commission—Part 2: EOC quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(8), pages 1105-1122.
    6. Reer, Bernhard, 2008. "Review of advances in human reliability analysis of errors of commission, Part 1: EOC identification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(8), pages 1091-1104.
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    2. Ayoub, Ali & Stankovski, Andrej & Kröger, Wolfgang & Sornette, Didier, 2021. "The ETH Zurich curated nuclear events database: Layout, event classification, and analysis of contributing factors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    3. Mkrtchyan, L. & Podofillini, L. & Dang, V.N., 2016. "Methods for building Conditional Probability Tables of Bayesian Belief Networks from limited judgment: An evaluation for Human Reliability Application," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 93-112.
    4. Park, Jooyoung & Boring, Ronald L. & Ulrich, Thomas A. & Lew, Roger & Lee, Sungheon & Park, Bumjun & Kim, Jonghyun, 2022. "A framework to collect human reliability analysis data for nuclear power plants using a simplified simulator and student operators," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    5. Patriarca, Riccardo & Ramos, Marilia & Paltrinieri, Nicola & Massaiu, Salvatore & Costantino, Francesco & Di Gravio, Giulio & Boring, Ronald Laurids, 2020. "Human reliability analysis: Exploring the intellectual structure of a research field," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    6. Jung, Wondea & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Kim, Seunghwan, 2020. "HuREX – A framework of HRA data collection from simulators in nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).

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