A data-driven framework for risk and resilience analysis in maritime transportation systems: A case study of domino effect accidents in arctic waters
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2025.111049
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to
for a different version of it.References listed on IDEAS
- Ivanov, Dmitry & Sokolov, Boris, 2013. "Control and system-theoretic identification of the supply chain dynamics domain for planning, analysis and adaptation of performance under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 224(2), pages 313-323.
- Wang, Nanxi & Wu, Min & Yuen, Kum Fai, 2023. "Assessment of port resilience using Bayesian network: A study of strategies to enhance readiness and response capacities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
- Provan, David J. & Woods, David D. & Dekker, Sidney W.A. & Rae, Andrew J., 2020. "Safety II professionals: How resilience engineering can transform safety practice," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
- Sungki Kim & Sanggyun Choi & Chanho Kim, 2021. "The Framework for Measuring Port Resilience in Korean Port Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-20, October.
- Fu, Shanshan & Yu, Yuerong & Chen, Jihong & Xi, Yongtao & Zhang, Mingyang, 2022. "A framework for quantitative analysis of the causation of grounding accidents in arctic shipping," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
- Wang, Huanxin & Liu, Zhengjiang & Wang, Xinjian & Graham, Tony & Wang, Jin, 2021. "An analysis of factors affecting the severity of marine accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
- Xiaoxue Ma & Qun Zhou & Yang Liu & Yu Liu & Weiliang Qiao, 2021. "Security of the Arctic route from the resilience perspective: the ideal state, influencing factors, and evaluation," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 846-859, August.
- Berle, Øyvind & Asbjørnslett, Bjørn Egil & Rice, James B., 2011. "Formal Vulnerability Assessment of a maritime transportation system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(6), pages 696-705.
- Henry, Devanandham & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, Jose, 2012. "Generic metrics and quantitative approaches for system resilience as a function of time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 114-122.
- Mayada Omer & Ali Mostashari & Roshanak Nilchiani & Mo Mansouri, 2012. "A framework for assessing resiliency of maritime transportation systems," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(7), pages 685-703, December.
- Zio, Enrico, 2016. "Challenges in the vulnerability and risk analysis of critical infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 137-150.
- Zhang, Chi & Zhang, Di & Zhang, Mingyang & Lang, Xiao & Mao, Wengang, 2020. "An integrated risk assessment model for safe Arctic navigation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 101-114.
- Kaneko, Fujio & Yuzui, Tomohiro, 2023. "Novel method of dynamic event tree keeping the number of simulations in risk analysis small," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
- Fu, Shanshan & Zhang, Yue & Zhang, Mingyang & Han, Bing & Wu, Zhongdai, 2023. "An object-oriented Bayesian network model for the quantitative risk assessment of navigational accidents in ice-covered Arctic waters," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
- Francis, Royce & Bekera, Behailu, 2014. "A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 90-103.
- Shihan Du & Huining Zhang & You Kong, 2023. "Sustainability Implications of the Arctic Shipping Route for Shanghai Port Logistics in the Post-Pandemic Era," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-29, November.
- Wang, Likun & Huang, Ruiling & Shi, Wenming & Zhang, Caiyun, 2021. "Domino effect in marine accidents: Evidence from temporal association rules," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 236-244.
- Yu, Yuerong & Liu, Kezhong & Fu, Shanshan & Chen, Jihong, 2024. "Framework for process risk analysis of maritime accidents based on resilience theory: A case study of grounding accidents in Arctic waters," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
- Roozbeh Panahi & Mawuli Afenyo & Adolf K.Y. Ng, 2023. "Developing a resilience index for safer and more resilient arctic shipping," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(7), pages 861-875, October.
- Khan, Bushra & Khan, Faisal & Veitch, Brian & Yang, Ming, 2018. "An operational risk analysis tool to analyze marine transportation in Arctic waters," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 485-502.
- Li, Huanhuan & Ren, Xujie & Yang, Zaili, 2023. "Data-driven Bayesian network for risk analysis of global maritime accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
- Liu, Yang & Ma, Xiaoxue & Qiao, Weiliang & Ma, Laihao & Han, Bing, 2024. "A novel methodology to model disruption propagation for resilient maritime transportation systems–a case study of the Arctic maritime transportation system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
- Yang Liu & Xiaoxue Ma & Weiliang Qiao & Bing Han, 2024. "A methodology to model the evolution of system resilience for Arctic shipping from the perspective of complexity," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(5), pages 867-882, July.
- Zhou, Kaiwen & Xing, Wenbin & Wang, Jingbo & Li, Huanhuan & Yang, Zaili, 2024. "A data-driven risk model for maritime casualty analysis: A global perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
- Xu, Sheng & Kim, Ekaterina & Haugen, Stein & Zhang, Mingyang, 2022. "A Bayesian network risk model for predicting ship besetting in ice during convoy operations along the Northern Sea Route," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
- Fan, Shiqi & Blanco-Davis, Eduardo & Yang, Zaili & Zhang, Jinfen & Yan, Xinping, 2020. "Incorporation of human factors into maritime accident analysis using a data-driven Bayesian network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
- Zhang, D. & Yan, X.P. & Yang, Z.L. & Wall, A. & Wang, J., 2013. "Incorporation of formal safety assessment and Bayesian network in navigational risk estimation of the Yangtze River," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 93-105.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Hu, Shenping & Fang, Cuiwen & Wu, Jianjun & Fan, Cunlong & Zhang, Xinxin & Yang, Xue & Han, Bing, 2025. "Enhanced risk assessment framework for complex maritime traffic systems via data driven: A case study of ship navigation in Arctic," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
- Fu, Shanshan & Yu, Yuerong & Chen, Jihong & Xi, Yongtao & Zhang, Mingyang, 2022. "A framework for quantitative analysis of the causation of grounding accidents in arctic shipping," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
- Cao, Yuhao & Iulia, Manole & Majumdar, Arnab & Feng, Yinwei & Xin, Xuri & Wang, Xinjian & Wang, Huanxin & Yang, Zaili, 2025. "Investigation of the risk influential factors of maritime accidents: A novel topology and robustness analytical framework," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
- Li, Huanhuan & Çelik, Cihad & Bashir, Musa & Zou, Lu & Yang, Zaili, 2024. "Incorporation of a global perspective into data-driven analysis of maritime collision accident risk," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
- Yu, Yuerong & Liu, Kezhong & Fu, Shanshan & Chen, Jihong, 2024. "Framework for process risk analysis of maritime accidents based on resilience theory: A case study of grounding accidents in Arctic waters," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
- Wang, Yuhong & Li, Pengchang & Hong, Cheng & Yang, Zaili, 2025. "Causation analysis of ship collisions using a TM-FRAM model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
- Liu, Guanyi & Liu, Shifeng & Li, Xuewei & Li, Xueyan & Gong, Daqing, 2025. "Multiscenario deduction analysis for railway emergencies using knowledge metatheory and dynamic Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
- Fan, Hanwen & Jia, Haiying & He, Xuzhuo & Lyu, Jing, 2024. "Navigating uncertainty: A dynamic Bayesian network-based risk assessment framework for maritime trade routes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
- Zhou, Kaiwen & Xing, Wenbin & Wang, Jingbo & Li, Huanhuan & Yang, Zaili, 2024. "A data-driven risk model for maritime casualty analysis: A global perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
- Chen, Tianyi & Wang, Hua & Cai, Yutong & Liang, Maohan & Meng, Qiang, 2025. "Exploring key factors for long-term vessel incident risk prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
- Tamburini, Federica & Iaiani, Matteo & Cozzani, Valerio, 2025. "Analysis of system resilience in escalation scenarios involving LH2 bunkering operations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 257(PA).
- Wang, Hong & Chen, Ning & Wu, Bing & Guedes Soares, C., 2024. "Human and organizational factors analysis of collision accidents between merchant ships and fishing vessels based on HFACS-BN model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
- Kandel, Rajesh & Baroud, Hiba, 2024. "A data-driven risk assessment of Arctic maritime incidents: Using machine learning to predict incident types and identify risk factors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
- Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
- Liu, Xing & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2021. "A Hierarchical Resilience Enhancement Framework for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
- Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Nur, Farjana & Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Jaradat, Raed & Marufuzzaman, Mohammad & Puryear, Stephen M., 2019. "A Bayesian network based approach for modeling and assessing resilience: A case study of a full service deep water port," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 378-396.
- Sungki Kim & Sanggyun Choi & Chanho Kim, 2021. "The Framework for Measuring Port Resilience in Korean Port Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-20, October.
- Meng, Huixing & Hu, Mengqian & Kong, Ziyan & Niu, Yiming & Liang, Jiali & Nie, Zhenyu & Xing, Jinduo, 2024. "Risk analysis of lithium-ion battery accidents based on physics-informed data-driven Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
- Zhu, Chunli & Wu, Jianping & Liu, Mingyu & Luan, Jianlin & Li, Tingting & Hu, Kezhen, 2020. "Cyber-physical resilience modelling and assessment of urban roadway system interrupted by rainfall," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
- Zhang, Mingyang & Zhang, Di & Fu, Shanshan & Kujala, Pentti & Hirdaris, Spyros, 2022. "A predictive analytics method for maritime traffic flow complexity estimation in inland waterways," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:260:y:2025:i:c:s0951832025002509. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.