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Assessing metro station facility network resilience to cascading failures using a coupled map lattice approach

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  • Luo, Tianchi
  • Duan, Jiaying
  • Zhu, Tianlei
  • Jiang, Kaixiong
  • Dong, Chunjiao
  • Yang, Xin

Abstract

Metro stations as critical infrastructures are highly susceptible to cascading failures. However, existing resilience studies often oversimplify stations into single nodes, overlooking intricate facility-level mechanisms. To address this gap, this paper proposes a micro-level cascading failure analysis method based on an improved Coupled Map Lattice (CML) model. The approach maps station facilities into a directed layered network and develops an enhanced CML model that incorporates a two-stage passenger flow redistribution strategy. An empirical study is conducted using Beijing Metro's Xizhimen Station, a representative three-line transfer hub. The results indicate that topological coupling dominates flow coupling in the propagation of cascading failures. Furthermore, a critical boundary for widespread failure propagation emerges from the interplay of facility coupling strength, tolerance capacity, and perturbation intensity. Additionally, attacks targeting the highest-degree nodes cause more extensive failure propagation than those targeting the highest-load nodes.

Suggested Citation

  • Luo, Tianchi & Duan, Jiaying & Zhu, Tianlei & Jiang, Kaixiong & Dong, Chunjiao & Yang, Xin, 2026. "Assessing metro station facility network resilience to cascading failures using a coupled map lattice approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 687(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:687:y:2026:i:c:s0378437126001044
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2026.131368
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