IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v682y2026ics0378437125007368.html

A community-based link prediction approach utilizing multiscale modularity and local patterns

Author

Listed:
  • Jiao, Yang
  • Muhammad, Rizwan
  • Liu, Yang
  • Qiu, Jianlong
  • Cao, Jinde

Abstract

Link prediction is a fundamental task in network science, aiming to identify missing or future connections based on observed structures. While conventional approaches often rely on global topological or embedding-based features, they tend to overlook the critical role of community organization and localized connectivity in driving link formation. To address these limitations, this study introduces the Community-driven Link Automaton (CLA), a novel framework that integrates multiscale community detection with local connectivity patterns. CLA employs a multiresolution variant of the Louvain algorithm to capture both macro- and micro-level community structures, thereby overcoming the resolution limits of traditional modularity optimization. It further enhances predictive power by incorporating Cannistraci-Hebb (CH) indices, which emphasize short-range connectivity, resulting in a robust dual-layered methodology. Comprehensive experiments conducted on 550 real-world networks across six domains: biological, economic, informational, social, technological, and transportation demonstrate that CLA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on multiple evaluation metrics, including Area Under the Precision-Recall Curve (AUC-PR) and the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC). The results highlight the essential contribution of community structure to link formation and underscore CLA’s scalability, adaptability, and practical value in analyzing complex systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiao, Yang & Muhammad, Rizwan & Liu, Yang & Qiu, Jianlong & Cao, Jinde, 2026. "A community-based link prediction approach utilizing multiscale modularity and local patterns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 682(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:682:y:2026:i:c:s0378437125007368
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2025.131084
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437125007368
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2025.131084?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhou, Tao & Lee, Yan-Li & Wang, Guannan, 2021. "Experimental analyses on 2-hop-based and 3-hop-based link prediction algorithms," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 564(C).
    2. Zhen Liu & Jia-Lin He & Komal Kapoor & Jaideep Srivastava, 2013. "Correlations between Community Structure and Link Formation in Complex Networks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(9), pages 1-10, September.
    3. Sadamori Kojaku & Filippo Radicchi & Yong-Yeol Ahn & Santo Fortunato, 2024. "Network community detection via neural embeddings," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Xie, Zheng & Dong, Enming & Li, Jianping & Kong, Dexing & Wu, Ning, 2014. "Potential links by neighbor communities," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 406(C), pages 244-252.
    5. Dongming Chen & Mingshuo Nie & Fei Xie & Dongqi Wang & Huilin Chen, 2024. "Link Prediction and Graph Structure Estimation for Community Detection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-16, April.
    6. Aaron Clauset & Cristopher Moore & M. E. J. Newman, 2008. "Hierarchical structure and the prediction of missing links in networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 453(7191), pages 98-101, May.
    7. Chunjiang Liu & Yikun Han & Haiyun Xu & Shihan Yang & Kaidi Wang & Yongye Su, 2024. "A Community Detection and Graph-Neural-Network-Based Link Prediction Approach for Scientific Literature," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Wu, Zhihao & Lin, Youfang & Wang, Jing & Gregory, Steve, 2016. "Link prediction with node clustering coefficient," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 452(C), pages 1-8.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Jun & Zhang, Qian-Ming & Zhou, Tao, 2019. "Tag-aware link prediction algorithm in complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 105-111.
    2. Yao, Yabing & Zhang, Ruisheng & Yang, Fan & Tang, Jianxin & Yuan, Yongna & Hu, Rongjing, 2018. "Link prediction in complex networks based on the interactions among paths," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 52-67.
    3. Wang, Zuxi & Wu, Yao & Li, Qingguang & Jin, Fengdong & Xiong, Wei, 2016. "Link prediction based on hyperbolic mapping with community structure for complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 609-623.
    4. Lee, Yan-Li & Zhou, Tao, 2021. "Collaborative filtering approach to link prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
    5. Peng Liu & Liang Gui & Huirong Wang & Muhammad Riaz, 2022. "A Two-Stage Deep-Learning Model for Link Prediction Based on Network Structure and Node Attributes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Wang, Xiaojie & Zhang, Xue & Zhao, Chengli & Xie, Zheng & Zhang, Shengjun & Yi, Dongyun, 2015. "Predicting link directions using local directed path," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 260-267.
    7. Ankita Singh & Nanhay Singh, 2022. "An approach for predicting missing links in social network using node attribute and path information," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 13(2), pages 944-956, April.
    8. Wan, Shuyan & Bi, Yilin & Jiao, Xinshan & Zhou, Tao, 2025. "Quantifying discriminability of evaluation metrics in link prediction for real networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 199(P3).
    9. Zhou, Tao, 2023. "Discriminating abilities of threshold-free evaluation metrics in link prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).
    10. Kumar, Ajay & Singh, Shashank Sheshar & Singh, Kuldeep & Biswas, Bhaskar, 2020. "Link prediction techniques, applications, and performance: A survey," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
    11. Yin, Likang & Zheng, Haoyang & Bian, Tian & Deng, Yong, 2017. "An evidential link prediction method and link predictability based on Shannon entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 699-712.
    12. Wu, Jiehua & Shen, Jing & Zhou, Bei & Zhang, Xiayan & Huang, Bohuai, 2019. "General link prediction with influential node identification," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 996-1007.
    13. Wang, Dan & Zhou, Xiao & Zhao, Pengwei & Pang, Juan & Ren, Qiaoyang, 2025. "Early identification of breakthrough technologies: Insights from science-driven innovations," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1).
    14. Yao Hongxing & Lu Yunxia, 2017. "Analyzing the Potential Influence of Shanghai Stock Market Based on Link Prediction Method," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 5(5), pages 446-461, October.
    15. Gergely Tibély & David Sousa-Rodrigues & Péter Pollner & Gergely Palla, 2016. "Comparing the Hierarchy of Keywords in On-Line News Portals," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, November.
    16. Ding, Ying, 2011. "Community detection: Topological vs. topical," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 498-514.
    17. Gräbner, Claudius, 2016. "From realism to instrumentalism - and back? Methodological implications of changes in the epistemology of economics," MPRA Paper 71933, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Liu, Chuang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2012. "Heterogeneity in initial resource configurations improves a network-based hybrid recommendation algorithm," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(22), pages 5704-5711.
    19. Shenshen Bai & Longjie Li & Jianjun Cheng & Shijin Xu & Xiaoyun Chen, 2018. "Predicting Missing Links Based on a New Triangle Structure," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-11, December.
    20. Tamás Nepusz & Tamás Vicsek, 2013. "Hierarchical Self-Organization of Non-Cooperating Individuals," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(12), pages 1-9, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:682:y:2026:i:c:s0378437125007368. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.