IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v659y2025ics0378437125000184.html

Macro guidance-Micro avoidance model for on-site personnel emergency evacuation strategy in nuclear power plants under fear psychology

Author

Listed:
  • Nie, Zelin
  • Guan, Yuxin
  • Cheng, Wei
  • Chen, Lingxiu
  • Xing, Ji
  • Chen, Xuefeng
  • Xue, Na
  • Yan, Jin
  • Deng, Wei
  • Cao, Qun

Abstract

At present, the measures for on-site emergency in nuclear power plants are not universal and flexible, and are not applicable to all accident scenarios. To address the problem, this paper proposes a Macro guidance-Micro avoidance model combined improved Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II) and Cellular Automata (CA) model for on-site emergency. To overcome the issue of “repeated turnback” in CA micro-simulation, the improved NSGA-II algorithm is introduced to guide macro evacuation directions. For addressing uncertainty in the effects of radiation field, psychological factors, and evacuation behavior on evacuation efficiency in nuclear emergency scenarios, CA is used to simulate and analyze the influence rule of radiation field, herd behavior, information transmission, and physical differences on evacuation time. Finally, by selecting appropriate exit inside nuclear power plant, this model reasonably estimates evacuation time, and ensures timely response of off-site emergency vehicles during the nuclear emergency process. Through the simulation analysis of evacuation process of on-site personnel based on radionuclide diffusion, radiation hazards, crowd characteristics, and psychological changes can be considered, this approach facilitates the planning of safe evacuation exits and allows for more accurate evacuation time estimation, supporting subsequent off-site evacuation efforts.

Suggested Citation

  • Nie, Zelin & Guan, Yuxin & Cheng, Wei & Chen, Lingxiu & Xing, Ji & Chen, Xuefeng & Xue, Na & Yan, Jin & Deng, Wei & Cao, Qun, 2025. "Macro guidance-Micro avoidance model for on-site personnel emergency evacuation strategy in nuclear power plants under fear psychology," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 659(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:659:y:2025:i:c:s0378437125000184
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2025.130366
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437125000184
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2025.130366?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dirk Helbing & Illés Farkas & Tamás Vicsek, 2000. "Simulating dynamical features of escape panic," Nature, Nature, vol. 407(6803), pages 487-490, September.
    2. Liu, Jing & Jia, Yang & Mao, Tianlu & Wang, Zhaoqi, 2022. "Modeling and simulation analysis of crowd evacuation behavior under terrorist attack," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    3. Huang, Rong & Zhao, Xuan & Zhou, Chenyu & Kong, Lingchen & Liu, Chengqing & Yu, Qiang, 2022. "Static floor field construction and fine discrete cellular automaton model: Algorithms, simulations and insights," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
    4. Guo, Chenglin & Huo, Feizhou & Li, Chao & Li, Yufei, 2023. "An evacuation model considering the phototactic behavior of panic pedestrians under limited visual field," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).
    5. Qian Xiao & Jiayang Li & Jorge E. Macias-Diaz, 2021. "Evacuation Model of Emotional Contagion Crowd Based on Cellular Automata," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-18, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Huang, Rong & Zhao, Xuan & Yang, Yuzhou & Liu, Qingshan & Yuan, Yufei & Daamen, Winnie, 2026. "A high-deck coach evacuation model framework: Behavioural modelling, numerical analyses and insights," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 265(PB).
    2. Yu, Yawen & Chen, Qun, 2025. "A dual-layer pedestrian motion model for crowd movement simulation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 676(C).
    3. Guo, Chenglin & Huo, Feizhou & Li, Yufei & Li, Chao & Zhang, Jun, 2024. "An evacuation model considering pedestrian crowding and stampede under terrorist attacks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    4. Stock, Eduardo Velasco & da Silva, Roberto, 2023. "Lattice gas model to describe a nightclub dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    5. Varas, A. & Cornejo, M.D. & Mainemer, D. & Toledo, B. & Rogan, J. & Muñoz, V. & Valdivia, J.A., 2007. "Cellular automaton model for evacuation process with obstacles," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 382(2), pages 631-642.
    6. Murilo S Baptista & Hai-Peng Ren & Johen C M Swarts & Rodrigo Carareto & Henk Nijmeijer & Celso Grebogi, 2012. "Collective Almost Synchronisation in Complex Networks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(11), pages 1-11, November.
    7. Xianing Wang & Zhan Zhang & Ying Wang & Jun Yang & Linjun Lu, 2022. "A Study on Safety Evaluation of Pedestrian Flows Based on Partial Impact Dynamics by Real-Time Data in Subway Stations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-19, August.
    8. Chen, Changkun & Sun, Huakai & Lei, Peng & Zhao, Dongyue & Shi, Congling, 2021. "An extended model for crowd evacuation considering pedestrian panic in artificial attack," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 571(C).
    9. Michael Batty & Jake Desyllas & Elspeth Duxbury, 2003. "Safety in Numbers? Modelling Crowds and Designing Control for the Notting Hill Carnival," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(8), pages 1573-1590, July.
    10. Ma, Jian & Song, Wei-guo & Zhang, Jun & Lo, Siu-ming & Liao, Guang-xuan, 2010. "k-Nearest-Neighbor interaction induced self-organized pedestrian counter flow," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(10), pages 2101-2117.
    11. Illés J Farkas & Shuohong Wang, 2018. "Spatial flocking: Control by speed, distance, noise and delay," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(5), pages 1-12, May.
    12. Zheng, Yaochen & Chen, Jianqiao & Wei, Junhong & Guo, Xiwei, 2012. "Modeling of pedestrian evacuation based on the particle swarm optimization algorithm," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(17), pages 4225-4233.
    13. Yue, Hao & Zhang, Junyao & Chen, Wenxin & Wu, Xinsen & Zhang, Xu & Shao, Chunfu, 2021. "Simulation of the influence of spatial obstacles on evacuation pedestrian flow in walking facilities," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 571(C).
    14. Sungryong Bae & Jun-Ho Choi & Hong Sun Ryou, 2020. "Modification of Interaction Forces between Smoke and Evacuees," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-10, August.
    15. Lasse Pedersen, 2009. "When Everyone Runs for the Exit," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(4), pages 177-199, December.
    16. Shiwakoti, Nirajan & Sarvi, Majid, 2013. "Understanding pedestrian crowd panic: a review on model organisms approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 12-17.
    17. Ofer Tchernichovski & Marissa King & Peter Brinkmann & Xanadu Halkias & Daniel Fimiarz & Laurent Mars & Dalton Conley, 2017. "Tradeoff Between Distributed Social Learning and Herding Effect in Online Rating Systems," SAGE Open, , vol. 7(1), pages 21582440176, February.
    18. Krbálek, Milan & Hrabák, Pavel & Bukáček, Marek, 2018. "Pedestrian headways — Reflection of territorial social forces," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 38-49.
    19. Natalie Fridman & Gal A. Kaminka, 2010. "Modeling pedestrian crowd behavior based on a cognitive model of social comparison theory," Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 348-372, December.
    20. Dirk Helbing & Pratik Mukerji, "undated". "Crowd Disasters as Systemic Failures: Analysis of the Love Parade Disaster," Working Papers ETH-RC-12-010, ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:659:y:2025:i:c:s0378437125000184. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.