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Empirical analysis of quantum finance interest rates models

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  • Baaquie, Belal E.
  • Yang, Cao

Abstract

Empirical forward interest rates drive the debt markets. Libor and Euribor futures data is used to calibrate and test models of interest rates based on the formulation of quantum finance. In particular, all the model parameters, including interest rate volatilities, are obtained from market data. The random noise driving the forward interest rates is taken to be a Euclidean two dimension quantum field. We analyze two models, namely the bond forward interest rates, which is a linear theory and the Libor Market Model, which is a nonlinear theory. Both the models are analyzed using Libor and Euribor data, with various approximations to match the linear and nonlinear models. The results are quite good, with the linear model having an accuracy of about 99% and the nonlinear model being slightly less accurate. We extend our analysis by directly using the Zero Coupon Yield Curve (ZCYC) data for Libor and for bonds; but due to some technical difficulties we could not derive the models parameters directly from the ZCYC data.

Suggested Citation

  • Baaquie, Belal E. & Yang, Cao, 2009. "Empirical analysis of quantum finance interest rates models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(13), pages 2666-2681.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:388:y:2009:i:13:p:2666-2681
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.02.044
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Farshid Jamshidian, 1997. "LIBOR and swap market models and measures (*)," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 293-330.
    2. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Nicolas Sagna & Rama Cont & Nicole El-Karoui & Marc Potters, 1999. "Phenomenology of the interest rate curve," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 209-232.
    3. Frank De Jong & Joost Driessen & Antoon Pelsser, 2001. "Libor Market Models versus Swap Market Models for Pricing Interest Rate Derivatives: An Empirical Analysis," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 5(3), pages 201-237.
    4. de Jong, F.C.J.M. & Driessen, J.J.A.G. & Pelsser, A., 2000. "Libor and Swap Market Models for the Pricing of Interest Rate Derivatives : An Empirical Analysis," Discussion Paper 2000-35, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    5. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Leif Andersen & Jesper Andreasen, 2000. "Volatility skews and extensions of the Libor market model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1-32.
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    Cited by:

    1. Baaquie, Belal E. & Cao, Yang, 2014. "Option volatility and the acceleration Lagrangian," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 393(C), pages 337-363.
    2. Baaquie, Belal E., 2010. "Interest rates in quantum finance: Caps, swaptions and bond options," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(2), pages 296-314.
    3. Ashtiani, Mehrdad & Azgomi, Mohammad Abdollahi, 2015. "A survey of quantum-like approaches to decision making and cognition," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 49-80.
    4. Baaquie, Belal E. & Tang, Pan, 2012. "Simulation of nonlinear interest rates in quantum finance: Libor Market Model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1287-1308.
    5. Pan Tang & Belal E. Baaquie & Xin Du & Ying Zhang, 2016. "Linearized Hamiltonian of the LIBOR market model: analytical and empirical results," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(10), pages 878-891, February.
    6. Lee, Sangwook & Kim, Min Jae & Lee, Sun Young & Kim, Soo Yong & Ban, Joon Hwa, 2013. "The effect of the subprime crisis on the credit risk in global scale," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2060-2071.
    7. Baaquie, Belal E. & Du, Xin & Tang, Pan & Cao, Yang, 2014. "Pricing of range accrual swap in the quantum finance Libor Market Model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 401(C), pages 182-200.

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