Stopping with anticipated regret
This paper analyzes a stopping problem where the decision maker is driven by anticipated ex-post regret. There are two sources of potential dynamic inconsistency, one is arrival of information and the other is changing choice opportunities over time--discarding the current stopping option may change how she stops the game in the future. First we consider a naive planner who prescribes a commitment solution, and illustrate the nature of the inconsistency problem. Then we consider a sophisticated planner who plays backward induction against her [`]successive selves'. The resolution of dynamic inconsistency does not in general allow the use of standard dynamic programming technique. We provide, however, a simple characterization of the backward induction strategy, which is given in a recursive formula. We also provide a behavioral implication, that larger indeterminacy of belief may lead to a more aggressive behavior, that is, continuing the gamble longer, which contrasts to the implication of ambiguity aversion.
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Volume (Year): 45 (2009)
Issue (Month): 7-8 (July)
Pages: 479-490
| Handle: | RePEc:eee:mateco:v:45:y:2009:i:7-8:p:479-490 |
| Contact details of provider: | Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jmateco
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References listed on IDEAS
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