IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/juipol/v79y2022ics0957178722001102.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting residential electricity consumption patterns based on smart meter and household data: A case study from the Republic of Ireland

Author

Listed:
  • Guo, Zhifeng
  • O'Hanley, Jesse R.
  • Gibson, Stuart

Abstract

We use machine learning algorithms to investigate various aspects of residential electricity consumption for households in the Republic of Ireland. Temperature, day of week, and month of year have an apparent causal effect on consumption. The prevalence of six distinct intra-day load profiles, identified by clustering, changes dramatically between weekdays and weekends as well as seasonally. Key socio-demographic and dwelling characteristics associated with annual load profiles include household makeup and size and occupation of the primary income earner. We further discuss policy and management implications of our findings and propose avenues for future research.

Suggested Citation

  • Guo, Zhifeng & O'Hanley, Jesse R. & Gibson, Stuart, 2022. "Predicting residential electricity consumption patterns based on smart meter and household data: A case study from the Republic of Ireland," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:juipol:v:79:y:2022:i:c:s0957178722001102
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2022.101446
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957178722001102
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jup.2022.101446?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana & Cabeza, Luisa F. & Serrano, Susana & Barreneche, Camila & Petrichenko, Ksenia, 2015. "Heating and cooling energy trends and drivers in buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 85-98.
    2. McLoughlin, Fintan & Duffy, Aidan & Conlon, Michael, 2015. "A clustering approach to domestic electricity load profile characterisation using smart metering data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 190-199.
    3. Räsänen, Teemu & Voukantsis, Dimitrios & Niska, Harri & Karatzas, Kostas & Kolehmainen, Mikko, 2010. "Data-based method for creating electricity use load profiles using large amount of customer-specific hourly measured electricity use data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(11), pages 3538-3545, November.
    4. Yating Li & William A. Pizer & Libo Wu, 2019. "Climate change and residential electricity consumption in the Yangtze River Delta, China," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 116(2), pages 472-477, January.
    5. Motlagh, Omid & Berry, Adam & O'Neil, Lachlan, 2019. "Clustering of residential electricity customers using load time series," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 11-24.
    6. Pan He & Jing Liang & Yueming (Lucy) Qiu & Qingran Li & Bo Xing, 2020. "Increase in domestic electricity consumption from particulate air pollution," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(12), pages 985-995, December.
    7. Beckel, Christian & Sadamori, Leyna & Staake, Thorsten & Santini, Silvia, 2014. "Revealing household characteristics from smart meter data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 397-410.
    8. Hui Zou & Trevor Hastie, 2005. "Addendum: Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(5), pages 768-768, November.
    9. Hui Zou & Trevor Hastie, 2005. "Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(2), pages 301-320, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pratik Mochi & Kartik Pandya & Joao Soares & Zita Vale, 2023. "Optimizing Power Exchange Cost Considering Behavioral Intervention in Local Energy Community," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-15, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Satre-Meloy, Aven & Diakonova, Marina & Grünewald, Philipp, 2020. "Cluster analysis and prediction of residential peak demand profiles using occupant activity data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    2. Jieyi Kang & David Reiner, 2021. "Machine Learning on residential electricity consumption: Which households are more responsive to weather?," Working Papers EPRG2113, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    3. Lesley Thomson & David Jenkins, 2023. "The Use of Real Energy Consumption Data in Characterising Residential Energy Demand with an Inventory of UK Datasets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-29, August.
    4. Li, Lanlan & Ming, Huayang & Fu, Weizhong & Shi, Quan & Yu, Shiwei, 2021. "Exploring household natural gas consumption patterns and their influencing factors: An integrated clustering and econometric method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    5. Li, Wenqiang & Gong, Guangcai & Fan, Houhua & Peng, Pei & Chun, Liang & Fang, Xi, 2021. "A clustering-based approach for “cross-scale” load prediction on building level in HVAC systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PB).
    6. Trotta, Gianluca, 2020. "An empirical analysis of domestic electricity load profiles: Who consumes how much and when?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    7. Tutz, Gerhard & Pößnecker, Wolfgang & Uhlmann, Lorenz, 2015. "Variable selection in general multinomial logit models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 207-222.
    8. Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
    9. Hou-Tai Chang & Ping-Huai Wang & Wei-Fang Chen & Chen-Ju Lin, 2022. "Risk Assessment of Early Lung Cancer with LDCT and Health Examinations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-12, April.
    10. Wang, Qiao & Zhou, Wei & Cheng, Yonggang & Ma, Gang & Chang, Xiaolin & Miao, Yu & Chen, E, 2018. "Regularized moving least-square method and regularized improved interpolating moving least-square method with nonsingular moment matrices," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 325(C), pages 120-145.
    11. Mkhadri, Abdallah & Ouhourane, Mohamed, 2013. "An extended variable inclusion and shrinkage algorithm for correlated variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 631-644.
    12. Lucian Belascu & Alexandra Horobet & Georgiana Vrinceanu & Consuela Popescu, 2021. "Performance Dissimilarities in European Union Manufacturing: The Effect of Ownership and Technological Intensity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-19, September.
    13. Candelon, B. & Hurlin, C. & Tokpavi, S., 2012. "Sampling error and double shrinkage estimation of minimum variance portfolios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 511-527.
    14. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Papers 22-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    15. Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2018. "Mining big data using parsimonious factor, machine learning, variable selection and shrinkage methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 339-354.
    16. Shuichi Kawano, 2014. "Selection of tuning parameters in bridge regression models via Bayesian information criterion," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1207-1223, November.
    17. Enrico Bergamini & Georg Zachmann, 2020. "Exploring EU’s Regional Potential in Low-Carbon Technologies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-28, December.
    18. Qianyun Li & Runmin Shi & Faming Liang, 2019. "Drug sensitivity prediction with high-dimensional mixture regression," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(2), pages 1-18, February.
    19. Jung, Yoon Mo & Whang, Joyce Jiyoung & Yun, Sangwoon, 2020. "Sparse probabilistic K-means," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 382(C).
    20. Christopher J Greenwood & George J Youssef & Primrose Letcher & Jacqui A Macdonald & Lauryn J Hagg & Ann Sanson & Jenn Mcintosh & Delyse M Hutchinson & John W Toumbourou & Matthew Fuller-Tyszkiewicz &, 2020. "A comparison of penalised regression methods for informing the selection of predictive markers," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(11), pages 1-14, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:juipol:v:79:y:2022:i:c:s0957178722001102. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/utilities-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.