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Estimating small-area demand of urban tourist for groceries: The case of Greater London

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  • Ye, Zi
  • Clarke, Graham
  • Newing, Andy

Abstract

Tourist retail demand within urban areas brings both opportunities and challenges to the local economy. Taking Greater London as the study area, this paper integrates conventional statistics and survey datasets with novel crowdsourcing big data sources to identify and estimate four types of tourist grocery demand at the small-area scale: travellers staying with Airbnb, tourists using traditional commercial accommodation, guests staying with relatives or friends and day trip visitors. Based on this combined tourist retail demand layer we show the spatial variations at the small-area level and as an illustration of the demand uplift, we estimate additional grocery expenditure that is associated with this tourist demand. Thus, the paper indicates the neighbourhoods with significant grocery demand uplift from tourist stays. We argue that the new retail demand layer has tremendous potential to be used as an additional input to retail location modelling tools to support new store revenue estimation and store performance evaluation within the grocery retail sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Ye, Zi & Clarke, Graham & Newing, Andy, 2021. "Estimating small-area demand of urban tourist for groceries: The case of Greater London," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:joreco:v:58:y:2021:i:c:s0969698920312716
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jretconser.2020.102263
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Daniele Barchiesi & Helen Susannah Moat & Christian Alis & Steven Bishop & Tobias Preis, 2015. "Quantifying International Travel Flows Using Flickr," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-8, July.
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    3. Sullivan, Pauline & Bonn, Mark A. & Bhardwaj, Vertica & DuPont, Ann, 2012. "Mexican national cross-border shopping: Exploration of retail tourism," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 596-604.
    4. Andy Newing & Graham Clarke & Martin Clarke, 2014. "Exploring Small Area Demand for Grocery Retailers in Tourist Areas," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(2), pages 407-427, April.
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    7. Murphy, Laurie & Moscardo, Gianna & Benckendorff, Pierre & Pearce, Philip, 2011. "Evaluating tourist satisfaction with the retail experience in a typical tourist shopping village," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 302-310.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hunneman, Auke & Bijmolt, Tammo H.A. & Elhorst, J. Paul, 2023. "Evaluating store location and department composition based on spatial heterogeneity in sales potential," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Liu, Hsiu-Wen, 2024. "Mining spatial-temporal patterns from customer data to improve forecasting of customer flow across multiple sites," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Liu, Yifeng & Wang, Xinyu & Wei, Hongxu & Cao, Zhanhua, 2025. "Predicting retail shop number against roadside tree canopy shade: A national wide demonstration across 148 cities of China," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    4. van Heerde, Harald J. & Dekimpe, Marnik G., 2024. "Household and retail panel data in retailing research: Time for a renaissance?," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 104-113.

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