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Expressed likelihood as motivator: Creating value through engaging what’s real

Author

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  • Higgins, E. Tory
  • Franks, Becca
  • Pavarini, Dana
  • Sehnert, Steen
  • Manley, Katie

Abstract

Our research tested two predictions regarding how likelihood can have motivational effects as a function of how a probability is expressed. We predicted that describing the probability of a future event that could be either A or B using the language of high likelihood (“80% A”) rather than low likelihood (“20% B”), i.e., high rather than low expressed likelihood, would make a present activity more real and engaging, as long as the future event had properties relevant to the present activity. We also predicted that strengthening engagement from the high (versus low) expressed likelihood of a future event would intensify the value of present positive and negative objects (in opposite directions). Both predictions were supported. There was also evidence that this intensification effect from expressed likelihood was independent of the actual probability or valence of the future event. What mattered was whether high versus low likelihood language was used to describe the future event.

Suggested Citation

  • Higgins, E. Tory & Franks, Becca & Pavarini, Dana & Sehnert, Steen & Manley, Katie, 2013. "Expressed likelihood as motivator: Creating value through engaging what’s real," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 4-15.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:joepsy:v:38:y:2013:i:c:p:4-15
    DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2012.03.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Angela Y. Lee & Punam Anand Keller & Brian Sternthal, 2010. "Value from Regulatory Construal Fit: The Persuasive Impact of Fit between Consumer Goals and Message Concreteness," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 36(5), pages 735-747, February.
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