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Bayesian multivariate spatial models for roadway traffic crash mapping

Author

Listed:
  • Song, J.J.
  • Ghosh, M.
  • Miaou, S.
  • Mallick, B.

Abstract

We consider several Bayesian multivariate spatial models for estimating the crash rates from different kinds of crashes. Multivariate conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are considered to account for the spatial effect. The models considered are fully Bayesian. A general theorem for each case is proved to ensure posterior propriety under noninformative priors. The different models are compared according to some Bayesian criterion. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for computation. We illustrate these methods with Texas Crash Data.

Suggested Citation

  • Song, J.J. & Ghosh, M. & Miaou, S. & Mallick, B., 2006. "Bayesian multivariate spatial models for roadway traffic crash mapping," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 246-273, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:97:y:2006:i:1:p:246-273
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mardia, K. V., 1988. "Multi-dimensional multivariate Gaussian Markov random fields with application to image processing," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 265-284, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Guikema, Seth D., 2009. "Natural disaster risk analysis for critical infrastructure systems: An approach based on statistical learning theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(4), pages 855-860.
    2. Mingyu Kang & Anne Vernez Moudon & Haena Kim & Linda Ng Boyle, 2019. "Intersections and Non-Intersections: A Protocol for Identifying Pedestrian Crash Risk Locations in GIS," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-14, September.
    3. Ricardo A. Daziano & Luis Miranda-Moreno & Shahram Heydari, 2013. "Computational Bayesian Statistics in Transportation Modeling: From Road Safety Analysis to Discrete Choice," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(5), pages 570-592, September.
    4. Areti Boulieri & Silvia Liverani & Kees Hoogh & Marta Blangiardo, 2017. "A space–time multivariate Bayesian model to analyse road traffic accidents by severity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(1), pages 119-139, January.
    5. Peter Congdon, 2008. "The need for psychiatric care in England: a spatial factor methodology," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 217-239, September.
    6. Daniel J. Graham & Emma J. McCoy & David A. Stephens, 2013. "Quantifying the effect of area deprivation on child pedestrian casualties by using longitudinal mixed models to adjust for confounding, interference and spatial dependence," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 176(4), pages 931-950, October.
    7. Lord, Dominique & Mannering, Fred, 2010. "The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: A review and assessment of methodological alternatives," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 291-305, June.
    8. Wu, Peijie & Meng, Xianghai & Song, Li, 2021. "Bayesian space–time modeling of bicycle and pedestrian crash risk by injury severity levels to explore the long-term spatiotemporal effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    9. Peter Congdon, 2010. "Random‐effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 173(4), pages 755-774, October.
    10. Huang, Yuan & Wang, Xiaoguang & Patton, David, 2018. "Examining spatial relationships between crashes and the built environment: A geographically weighted regression approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 221-233.
    11. Sai Chand & Zhuolin Li & Abdulmajeed Alsultan & Vinayak V. Dixit, 2022. "Comparing and Contrasting the Impacts of Macro-Level Factors on Crash Duration and Frequency," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-19, May.

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