IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v313y2024ics0360544224037782.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Data-driven models for the steady thermal performance prediction of energy piles optimized by metaheuristic algorithms

Author

Listed:
  • Hu, Shuaijun
  • Kong, Gangqiang
  • Zhang, Changsen
  • Fu, Jinghui
  • Li, Shiyao
  • Yang, Qing

Abstract

This study presents a comprehensive approach for predicting the steady heat performance of energy piles via hybrid models optimized by using four metaheuristic algorithms: the African vultures optimization algorithm (AVOA), the Teaching-learning-based optimization (TLBO), the Sparrow search algorithm (SSA), and the Grey wolf optimization algorithm (GWO). A robust database was compiled that incorporates field, laboratory, and numerical data. The optimized hybrid models demonstrated high prediction accuracy for both the outlet temperature (Tout) and heat flux (q), with R2 > 0.9. The prediction error distribution for Tout was generally more concentrated than that for q. However, Tout predictions were slightly underestimated overall. Among the algorithms, the SSA and TLBO exhibited superior convergence speed and accuracy, whereas AVOA showed slower convergence but faster computation times. A sensitivity analysis revealed that the inlet temperature (Tin), the most influential factor, significantly influenced both Tout and q, with other factors, such as the mass flow rate (Vm) and pile length (Lp), being more critical for heat flux predictions. The findings emphasize the effectiveness of metaheuristic-optimized models in accurately predicting energy pile performance, providing a valuable tool for enhancing the efficiency and digitization of ground source heat pump systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Shuaijun & Kong, Gangqiang & Zhang, Changsen & Fu, Jinghui & Li, Shiyao & Yang, Qing, 2024. "Data-driven models for the steady thermal performance prediction of energy piles optimized by metaheuristic algorithms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:313:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224037782
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.134000
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544224037782
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2024.134000?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rao, R.V. & More, K.C., 2015. "Optimal design of the heat pipe using TLBO (teaching–learning-based optimization) algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 535-544.
    2. Ma, Qijie & Wang, Peijun & Fan, Jianhua & Klar, Assaf, 2022. "Underground solar energy storage via energy piles: An experimental study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    3. Chang, Chun & Pan, Yaliang & Wang, Shaojin & Jiang, Jiuchun & Tian, Aina & Gao, Yang & Jiang, Yan & Wu, Tiezhou, 2024. "Fast EIS acquisition method based on SSA-DNN prediction model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    4. Chuat, Arthur & Terrier, Cédric & Schnidrig, Jonas & Maréchal, François, 2024. "Identification of typical district configurations: A two-step global sensitivity analysis framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    5. Wang, Zhe & Hong, Tianzhen & Piette, Mary Ann, 2020. "Building thermal load prediction through shallow machine learning and deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    6. Susanne A. Benz & Kathrin Menberg & Peter Bayer & Barret L. Kurylyk, 2022. "Shallow subsurface heat recycling is a sustainable global space heating alternative," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Tang, Fujiao & Nowamooz, Hossein, 2019. "Sensitive analysis on the effective soil thermal conductivity of the Thermal Response Test considering various testing times, field conditions and U-pipe lengths," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1732-1743.
    8. Pei, Huafu & Song, Huaibo & Meng, Fanhua & Liu, Weiling, 2022. "Long-term thermomechanical displacement prediction of energy piles using machine learning techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 620-636.
    9. Fadejev, Jevgeni & Simson, Raimo & Kurnitski, Jarek & Haghighat, Fariborz, 2017. "A review on energy piles design, sizing and modelling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 390-407.
    10. Iain Staffell & Stefan Pfenninger & Nathan Johnson, 2023. "A global model of hourly space heating and cooling demand at multiple spatial scales," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 8(12), pages 1328-1344, December.
    11. Meibodi, Saleh S. & Loveridge, Fleur, 2022. "The future role of energy geostructures in fifth generation district heating and cooling networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    12. Sani, Abubakar Kawuwa & Singh, Rao Martand & Amis, Tony & Cavarretta, Ignazio, 2019. "A review on the performance of geothermal energy pile foundation, its design process and applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 54-78.
    13. Jing, Rui & He, Yang & He, Jijiang & Liu, Yang & Yang, Shoubing, 2022. "Global sensitivity based prioritizing the parametric uncertainties in economic analysis when co-locating photovoltaic with agriculture and aquaculture in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 1048-1059.
    14. Zhang, Liang & Wen, Jin & Li, Yanfei & Chen, Jianli & Ye, Yunyang & Fu, Yangyang & Livingood, William, 2021. "A review of machine learning in building load prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    15. Toopshekan, Ashkan & Abedian, Ali & Azizi, Arian & Ahmadi, Esmaeil & Vaziri Rad, Mohammad Amin, 2023. "Optimization of a CHP system using a forecasting dispatch and teaching-learning-based optimization algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    16. Bourne-Webb, Peter & Burlon, Sebastien & Javed, Saqib & Kürten, Sylvia & Loveridge, Fleur, 2016. "Analysis and design methods for energy geostructures," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 402-419.
    17. Luo, Yan & Wang, Zhiyuan & Zhu, Jiamin & Lu, Tao & Xiao, Gang & Chu, Fengming & Wang, Ruixing, 2022. "Multi-objective robust optimization of a solar power tower plant under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    18. Vuillod, Bruno & Montemurro, Marco & Panettieri, Enrico & Hallo, Ludovic, 2023. "A comparison between Sobol’s indices and Shapley’s effect for global sensitivity analysis of systems with independent input variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    19. Kong, Gangqiang & Dai, Guohao & Zhou, Yang & Yang, Qing, 2024. "Analytical solution model of heat transfer for energy soldier piles during excavation to backfilling," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    20. Wang, Jian & Xu, Yi-Peng & She, Chen & Xu, Ping & Bagal, Hamid Asadi, 2022. "Optimal parameter identification of SOFC model using modified gray wolf optimization algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    21. Fan, Guodong & Li, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Ruigang, 2021. "Global Sensitivity Analysis on Temperature-Dependent Parameters of A Reduced-Order Electrochemical Model And Robust State-of-Charge Estimation at Different Temperatures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    22. Liu, Hongwei & Maghoul, Pooneh & Bahari, Ako & Kavgic, Miroslava, 2019. "Feasibility study of snow melting system for bridge decks using geothermal energy piles integrated with heat pump in Canada," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 1266-1280.
    23. Jiang, Meng & Ding, Kun & Chen, Xiang & Cui, Liu & Zhang, Jingwei & Cang, Yi & Yang, Hang & Gao, Ruiguang, 2024. "CGH-GTO method for model parameter identification based on improved grey wolf optimizer, honey badger algorithm, and gorilla troops optimizer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    24. Zhang, Weiyi & Zhou, Haiyang & Bao, Xiaohua & Cui, Hongzhi, 2023. "Outlet water temperature prediction of energy pile based on spatial-temporal feature extraction through CNN–LSTM hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    25. Deb, C. & Schlueter, A., 2021. "Review of data-driven energy modelling techniques for building retrofit," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    26. Fan, Ruijia & Chang, Guofeng & Xu, Yiming & Xu, Jiamin, 2024. "Investigating and quantifying the effects of catalyst layer gradients, operating conditions, and their interactions on PEMFC performance through global sensitivity analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    27. Loveridge, Fleur & Powrie, William, 2013. "Temperature response functions (G-functions) for single pile heat exchangers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 554-564.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cunha, R.P. & Bourne-Webb, P.J., 2022. "A critical review on the current knowledge of geothermal energy piles to sustainably climatize buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. Ma, Qijie & Fan, Jianhua & Liu, Hantao, 2023. "Energy pile-based ground source heat pump system with seasonal solar energy storage," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1132-1146.
    3. Figueira, João S. & García Gil, Alejandro & Vieira, Ana & Michopoulos, Apostolos K. & Boon, David P. & Loveridge, Fleur & Cecinato, Francesco & Götzl, Gregor & Epting, Jannis & Zosseder, Kai & Bloemen, 2024. "Shallow geothermal energy systems for district heating and cooling networks: Review and technological progression through case studies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    4. Sani, Abubakar Kawuwa & Singh, Rao Martand & Amis, Tony & Cavarretta, Ignazio, 2019. "A review on the performance of geothermal energy pile foundation, its design process and applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 54-78.
    5. Paul Christodoulides & Ana Vieira & Stanislav Lenart & João Maranha & Gregor Vidmar & Rumen Popov & Aleksandar Georgiev & Lazaros Aresti & Georgios Florides, 2020. "Reviewing the Modeling Aspects and Practices of Shallow Geothermal Energy Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-45, August.
    6. Zhou, Yang & Wang, Jinyun & Li, Chong & Kong, Gangqiang & Li, Renrong, 2024. "Thermal interference process between two energy piles in 2D model using transparent soil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    7. Yu, Ruyang & Zhang, Kai & Ramasubramanian, Brindha & Jiang, Shu & Ramakrishna, Seeram & Tang, Yuhang, 2024. "Ensemble learning for predicting average thermal extraction load of a hydrothermal geothermal field: A case study in Guanzhong Basin, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    8. Zhou, Xinlei & Lin, Wenye & Kumar, Ritunesh & Cui, Ping & Ma, Zhenjun, 2022. "A data-driven strategy using long short term memory models and reinforcement learning to predict building electricity consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    9. Laveet Kumar & Md. Shouquat Hossain & Mamdouh El Haj Assad & Mansoor Urf Manoo, 2022. "Technological Advancements and Challenges of Geothermal Energy Systems: A Comprehensive Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-18, November.
    10. Zhao, Qiang & Chen, Baoming & Tian, Maocheng & Liu, Fang, 2018. "Investigation on the thermal behavior of energy piles and borehole heat exchangers: A case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 787-797.
    11. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    12. Li, Guannan & Li, Fan & Ahmad, Tanveer & Liu, Jiangyan & Li, Tao & Fang, Xi & Wu, Yubei, 2022. "Performance evaluation of sequence-to-sequence-Attention model for short-term multi-step ahead building energy predictions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    13. Zhang, Xu & Sun, Yongjun & Gao, Dian-ce & Zou, Wenke & Fu, Jianping & Ma, Xiaowen, 2022. "Similarity-based grouping method for evaluation and optimization of dataset structure in machine-learning based short-term building cooling load prediction without measurable occupancy information," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    14. Wang, Xiaozhe & Zhang, Hao & Cui, Lin & Wang, Jingying & Lee, Chunhian & Zhu, Xiaoxuan & Dong, Yong, 2024. "Borehole thermal energy storage for building heating application: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    15. Lazaros Aresti & Paul Christodoulides & Gregoris P. Panayiotou & Georgios Florides, 2020. "Residential Buildings’ Foundations as a Ground Heat Exchanger and Comparison among Different Types in a Moderate Climate Country," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-22, November.
    16. Lu, Chujie & Li, Sihui & Reddy Penaka, Santhan & Olofsson, Thomas, 2023. "Automated machine learning-based framework of heating and cooling load prediction for quick residential building design," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    17. Romanov, D. & Leiss, B., 2022. "Geothermal energy at different depths for district heating and cooling of existing and future building stock," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    18. Saari, Jussi & Kozlova, Mariia & Suikkanen, Heikki & Sermyagina, Ekaterina & Hyvärinen, Juhani & Yeomans, Julian Scott, 2024. "Global sensitivity analysis of nuclear district heating reactor primary heat exchanger and pressure vessel optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    19. Fu, Chun & Miller, Clayton, 2022. "Using Google Trends as a proxy for occupant behavior to predict building energy consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    20. Ma, Qijie & Wang, Peijun, 2020. "Underground solar energy storage via energy piles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:313:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224037782. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.