Flexible design of renewable hydrogen production systems through identifying bottlenecks under uncertainty

Renewable hydrogen production technology within the energy sector stands as a vital avenue towards decarbonization in process industries. However, for systems characterized by high penetration of renewable energy, the challenges posed by uncertain parameters impacting stable production present significant obstacles to the large-scale application of hydrogen production from renewable energy. To address the issues, this work proposed a comprehensive four-step strategy for the bottleneck identification and optimization of the renewable hydrogen production systems (RHPS), which encompasses four models including system configuration optimization, flexibility analysis, bottleneck identification, and debottlenecking models. The effectiveness of the proposed strategy is substantiated through a case study. The results indicate that positive fluctuations on supply side and negative fluctuations on demand side contribute to bolstering the flexibility of RHPS. When the RHPS possesses sufficient flexibility, the critical fluctuation amplitude for photovoltaic power is −36 %, whereas for wind turbine power, it stands at −32 %. It highlights that when the photovoltaic power fluctuates, the ability of RHPS to maintain its own stability is stronger than when the wind turbine power fluctuates. Furthermore, when the fluctuations of supply side are positive, the rate of change in critical fluctuation amplitudes on the supply side is 4.63 times than that of the demand side. This underscores that the power decline in the supply side has a more pronounced detrimental effect on the stability of RHPS than an increase in the demand side. The proposed strategy for optimizing RHPS offers valuable theoretical insights for the system design and retrofitting under uncertainty.