IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v295y2024ics0360544224008302.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Simultaneous forecasting of wind speed for multiple stations based on attribute-augmented spatiotemporal graph convolutional network and tree-structured parzen estimator

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Chu
  • Qiao, Xiujie
  • Zhang, Zhao
  • Wang, Yuhan
  • Fu, Yongyan
  • Nazir, Muhammad Shahzad
  • Peng, Tian

Abstract

The global increase in energy demand and environmental concerns have made the development of wind energy increasingly important. Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for maximizing the benefits of wind energy. In order to further improve the accuracy of multi-site wind speed prediction, this study adopts an evolutionary algorithm-based deep learning model that fully considers the spatiotemporal relationships among multiple station's wind speed data. Firstly, the mutual information (MI) method is used to select variables with stronger correlations to wind speed as auxiliary input factors. Then, an improved version of Attribute-Augmented Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Network (IASTGCN) is employed to process data from multiple stations, taking into account both temporal and spatial factors. Additionally, an MI-based wind speed data relationship matrix between multiple stations is calculated to replace the original distance relationship matrix in the model, enabling the model to better capture and utilize the relationships between stations. Next, the Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (TPE) is used to optimize the hyperparameters of the model. This ultimately achieves multi-site multi-step wind speed prediction. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms baseline models and models that only consider either temporal or spatial factors in various scenarios, exhibiting better predictive performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Chu & Qiao, Xiujie & Zhang, Zhao & Wang, Yuhan & Fu, Yongyan & Nazir, Muhammad Shahzad & Peng, Tian, 2024. "Simultaneous forecasting of wind speed for multiple stations based on attribute-augmented spatiotemporal graph convolutional network and tree-structured parzen estimator," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:295:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224008302
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.131058
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544224008302
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2024.131058?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:295:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224008302. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.