IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v295y2024ics0360544224007199.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Two-stage prediction method for capacity aging trajectories of lithium-ion batteries based on Siamese-convolutional neural network

Author

Listed:
  • Du, Jingcai
  • Zhang, Caiping
  • Li, Shuowei
  • Zhang, Linjing
  • Zhang, Weige

Abstract

Accurate battery lifespan prediction can guarantee battery safety in applications. Considering the complex nonlinear nature of battery degradation, it is more challenging to predict battery aging trajectories utilizing less data. A two-stage prediction method for battery capacity aging trajectories is proposed. The first stage is battery lifespan prediction based on the Siamese-Convolutional neural network (Siamese-CNN). Taking the predicted lifespan as its prior information, the second stage is predicting capacity aging trajectories with the Convolutional neural network (CNN). The method only requires partial voltage-current data from 30 cycles, of which the similarity in different batteries is obtained by the Siamese-CNN. The lifespan-unknown batteries in the testing set are fed into the Siamese-CNN to match the lifespan-known training set battery with the highest similarity. Then, CNN is employed to predict the capacity aging trajectories under different profiles. The ratio of each cell's predicted lifespan to the fixed length of the CNN output sequence is regarded as the interval for uniform sampling to keep the series consistent. The prediction accuracy of the method is validated by an open dataset. It is demonstrated that the battery lifespan and capacity aging trajectory prediction achieve a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 2.44% and 1.28%, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Du, Jingcai & Zhang, Caiping & Li, Shuowei & Zhang, Linjing & Zhang, Weige, 2024. "Two-stage prediction method for capacity aging trajectories of lithium-ion batteries based on Siamese-convolutional neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:295:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224007199
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.130947
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544224007199
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2024.130947?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hong, Joonki & Lee, Dongheon & Jeong, Eui-Rim & Yi, Yung, 2020. "Towards the swift prediction of the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries with end-to-end deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    2. Chen, Lin & Ding, Yunhui & Liu, Bohao & Wu, Shuxiao & Wang, Yaodong & Pan, Haihong, 2022. "Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery using a novel particle filter framework with grey neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
    3. Kristen A. Severson & Peter M. Attia & Norman Jin & Nicholas Perkins & Benben Jiang & Zi Yang & Michael H. Chen & Muratahan Aykol & Patrick K. Herring & Dimitrios Fraggedakis & Martin Z. Bazant & Step, 2019. "Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 383-391, May.
    4. Li, Weihan & Cao, Decheng & Jöst, Dominik & Ringbeck, Florian & Kuipers, Matthias & Frie, Fabian & Sauer, Dirk Uwe, 2020. "Parameter sensitivity analysis of electrochemical model-based battery management systems for lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    5. Chen, Zhang & Chen, Liqun & Ma, Zhengwei & Xu, Kangkang & Zhou, Yu & Shen, Wenjing, 2023. "Joint modeling for early predictions of Li-ion battery cycle life and degradation trajectory," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    6. Xie, Qilong & Liu, Rongchuan & Huang, Jihao & Su, Jianhui, 2023. "Residual life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on data preprocessing and a priori knowledge-assisted CNN-LSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    7. Ding, Pan & Liu, Xiaojuan & Li, Huiqin & Huang, Zequan & Zhang, Ke & Shao, Long & Abedinia, Oveis, 2021. "Useful life prediction based on wavelet packet decomposition and two-dimensional convolutional neural network for lithium-ion batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    8. Xu, Tingting & Peng, Zhen & Wu, Lifeng, 2021. "A novel data-driven method for predicting the circulating capacity of lithium-ion battery under random variable current," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    9. Qian, Cheng & Xu, Binghui & Chang, Liang & Sun, Bo & Feng, Qiang & Yang, Dezhen & Ren, Yi & Wang, Zili, 2021. "Convolutional neural network based capacity estimation using random segments of the charging curves for lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    10. Zhang, Qisong & Yang, Lin & Guo, Wenchao & Qiang, Jiaxi & Peng, Cheng & Li, Qinyi & Deng, Zhongwei, 2022. "A deep learning method for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction based on sparse segment data via cloud computing system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    11. Zhang, Yu & Peng, Zhen & Guan, Yong & Wu, Lifeng, 2021. "Prognostics of battery cycle life in the early-cycle stage based on hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    12. Zhang, Ying & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Prognostics and health management of Lithium-ion battery using deep learning methods: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    13. Hsu, Chia-Wei & Xiong, Rui & Chen, Nan-Yow & Li, Ju & Tsou, Nien-Ti, 2022. "Deep neural network battery life and voltage prediction by using data of one cycle only," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    14. Chen, Dinghong & Zhang, Weige & Zhang, Caiping & Sun, Bingxiang & Cong, XinWei & Wei, Shaoyuan & Jiang, Jiuchun, 2022. "A novel deep learning-based life prediction method for lithium-ion batteries with strong generalization capability under multiple cycle profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    15. Li, Yi & Liu, Kailong & Foley, Aoife M. & Zülke, Alana & Berecibar, Maitane & Nanini-Maury, Elise & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Hoster, Harry E., 2019. "Data-driven health estimation and lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kurucan, Mehmet & Özbaltan, Mete & Yetgin, Zeki & Alkaya, Alkan, 2024. "Applications of artificial neural network based battery management systems: A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    2. Li, Chuan & Zhang, Huahua & Ding, Ping & Yang, Shuai & Bai, Yun, 2023. "Deep feature extraction in lifetime prognostics of lithium-ion batteries: Advances, challenges and perspectives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    3. Zhao, Bo & Zhang, Weige & Zhang, Yanru & Zhang, Caiping & Zhang, Chi & Zhang, Junwei, 2024. "Research on the remaining useful life prediction method for lithium-ion batteries by fusion of feature engineering and deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    4. Zhang, Ying & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Prognostics and health management of Lithium-ion battery using deep learning methods: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    5. Wang, Cong & Chen, Yunxia & Zhang, Qingyuan & Zhu, Jiaxiao, 2023. "Dynamic early recognition of abnormal lithium-ion batteries before capacity drops using self-adaptive quantum clustering," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    6. Zhang, Meng & Hu, Tao & Wu, Lifeng & Kang, Guoqing & Guan, Yong, 2021. "A method for capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on adaptive time-shifting broad learning system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    7. Wang, Huan & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Ying, 2023. "Bioinspired spiking spatiotemporal attention framework for lithium-ion batteries state-of-health estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    8. Zhu, Yuli & Jiang, Bo & Zhu, Jiangong & Wang, Xueyuan & Wang, Rong & Wei, Xuezhe & Dai, Haifeng, 2023. "Adaptive state of health estimation for lithium-ion batteries using impedance-based timescale information and ensemble learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    9. Yan, Lisen & Peng, Jun & Gao, Dianzhu & Wu, Yue & Liu, Yongjie & Li, Heng & Liu, Weirong & Huang, Zhiwu, 2022. "A hybrid method with cascaded structure for early-stage remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    10. Pepe, Simona & Ciucci, Francesco, 2023. "Long-range battery state-of-health and end-of-life prediction with neural networks and feature engineering," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    11. Lin, Yan-Hui & Ruan, Sheng-Jia & Chen, Yun-Xia & Li, Yan-Fu, 2023. "Physics-informed deep learning for lithium-ion battery diagnostics using electrochemical impedance spectroscopy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    12. Zhang, Qisong & Yang, Lin & Guo, Wenchao & Qiang, Jiaxi & Peng, Cheng & Li, Qinyi & Deng, Zhongwei, 2022. "A deep learning method for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction based on sparse segment data via cloud computing system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    13. Zhang, Meng & Kang, Guoqing & Wu, Lifeng & Guan, Yong, 2022. "A method for capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries under small sample conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    14. Ma, Yan & Shan, Ce & Gao, Jinwu & Chen, Hong, 2022. "A novel method for state of health estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on improved LSTM and health indicators extraction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    15. Zhang, Chen & Wang, Hongmin & Wu, Lifeng, 2023. "Life prediction model for lithium-ion battery considering fast-charging protocol," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    16. Chen, Zhang & Shen, Wenjing & Chen, Liqun & Wang, Shuqiang, 2022. "Adaptive online capacity prediction based on transfer learning for fast charging lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    17. Zhao, Guangcai & Kang, Yongzhe & Huang, Peng & Duan, Bin & Zhang, Chenghui, 2023. "Battery health prognostic using efficient and robust aging trajectory matching with ensemble deep transfer learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    18. Liu, Yunpeng & Hou, Bo & Ahmed, Moin & Mao, Zhiyu & Feng, Jiangtao & Chen, Zhongwei, 2024. "A hybrid deep learning approach for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on discharging fragments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    19. He, Ning & Wang, Qiqi & Lu, Zhenfeng & Chai, Yike & Yang, Fangfang, 2024. "Early prediction of battery lifetime based on graphical features and convolutional neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    20. Wang, Zhe & Yang, Fangfang & Xu, Qiang & Wang, Yongjian & Yan, Hong & Xie, Min, 2023. "Capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on data aggregation and feature fusion via graph neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:295:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224007199. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.