IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v221y2021ics036054422100150x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prognostics of battery cycle life in the early-cycle stage based on hybrid model

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Yu
  • Peng, Zhen
  • Guan, Yong
  • Wu, Lifeng

Abstract

Accurately predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries in early-cycle stage can speed up the battery improvement and optimization. However, slowly varying and weak predictability of the characteristic quantities in early-cycle stage make it challenging to predict RUL. To overcome this problem, the paper proposes a hybrid prediction model, which integrates random forest (RF), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) and general regression neural network (GRNN), called RF-ABC-GRNN. First, a new feature space is obtained by performing linear and non-linear transformations on the original features that are slowly changed in early-cycle stage, such as discharge capacity, terminal voltage, discharge current, and internal resistance. Second, RF is used to measure and rank the importance of these new features so as to screen out the high-importance feature combination. Third, the prediction model based on GRNN is constructed. Considering that the smoothing parameter of the model has great influence on the prediction performance, ABC is used for parameter optimization. Finally, in order to verify performance of the model, initial cycles data that have yet to exhibit apparent degradation is used. Comparison results show that the proposed model could effectively screen out the high-importance features and make accurate prediction much earlier.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Yu & Peng, Zhen & Guan, Yong & Wu, Lifeng, 2021. "Prognostics of battery cycle life in the early-cycle stage based on hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:221:y:2021:i:c:s036054422100150x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.119901
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S036054422100150X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2021.119901?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Meng, Jinhao & Cai, Lei & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan & Ma, Junpeng & Luo, Guangzhao & Teodorescu, Remus, 2020. "An optimized ensemble learning framework for lithium-ion Battery State of Health estimation in energy storage system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    2. Chen, Lin & Wang, Huimin & Liu, Bohao & Wang, Yijue & Ding, Yunhui & Pan, Haihong, 2021. "Battery state-of-health estimation based on a metabolic extreme learning machine combining degradation state model and error compensation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PA).
    3. Sun, Daoming & Yu, Xiaoli & Wang, Chongming & Zhang, Cheng & Huang, Rui & Zhou, Quan & Amietszajew, Taz & Bhagat, Rohit, 2021. "State of charge estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an Intelligent Adaptive Extended Kalman Filter with improved noise estimator," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    4. Antanasijević, Davor & Pocajt, Viktor & Ristić, Mirjana & Perić-Grujić, Aleksandra, 2015. "Modeling of energy consumption and related GHG (greenhouse gas) intensity and emissions in Europe using general regression neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 816-824.
    5. Li, Xiaoyu & Yuan, Changgui & Li, Xiaohui & Wang, Zhenpo, 2020. "State of health estimation for Li-Ion battery using incremental capacity analysis and Gaussian process regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    6. Bian, Chong & He, Huoliang & Yang, Shunkun, 2020. "Stacked bidirectional long short-term memory networks for state-of-charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    7. Liang, Yi & Niu, Dongxiao & Hong, Wei-Chiang, 2019. "Short term load forecasting based on feature extraction and improved general regression neural network model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 653-663.
    8. Wu, Ji & Zhang, Chenbin & Chen, Zonghai, 2016. "An online method for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life estimation using importance sampling and neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 134-140.
    9. Bendu, Harisankar & Deepak, B.B.V.L. & Murugan, S., 2017. "Multi-objective optimization of ethanol fuelled HCCI engine performance using hybrid GRNN–PSO," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 601-611.
    10. Patil, Meru A. & Tagade, Piyush & Hariharan, Krishnan S. & Kolake, Subramanya M. & Song, Taewon & Yeo, Taejung & Doo, Seokgwang, 2015. "A novel multistage Support Vector Machine based approach for Li ion battery remaining useful life estimation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 285-297.
    11. Deng, Zhongwei & Hu, Xiaosong & Lin, Xianke & Che, Yunhong & Xu, Le & Guo, Wenchao, 2020. "Data-driven state of charge estimation for lithium-ion battery packs based on Gaussian process regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    12. Li, Yi & Zou, Changfu & Berecibar, Maitane & Nanini-Maury, Elise & Chan, Jonathan C.-W. & van den Bossche, Peter & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Omar, Noshin, 2018. "Random forest regression for online capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C), pages 197-210.
    13. Xiong, Rui & Tian, Jinpeng & Mu, Hao & Wang, Chun, 2017. "A systematic model-based degradation behavior recognition and health monitoring method for lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 372-383.
    14. Yang, Fangfang & Zhang, Shaohui & Li, Weihua & Miao, Qiang, 2020. "State-of-charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries using LSTM and UKF," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    15. Li, Xiaoyu & Yuan, Changgui & Wang, Zhenpo, 2020. "State of health estimation for Li-ion battery via partial incremental capacity analysis based on support vector regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    16. Khaleghi, S. & Firouz, Y. & Van Mierlo, J. & Van den Bossche, P., 2019. "Developing a real-time data-driven battery health diagnosis method, using time and frequency domain condition indicators," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Du, Jingcai & Zhang, Caiping & Li, Shuowei & Zhang, Linjing & Zhang, Weige, 2024. "Two-stage prediction method for capacity aging trajectories of lithium-ion batteries based on Siamese-convolutional neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    2. Zhang, Meng & Hu, Tao & Wu, Lifeng & Kang, Guoqing & Guan, Yong, 2021. "A method for capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on adaptive time-shifting broad learning system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    3. Cheng, Gong & Wang, Xinzhi & He, Yurong, 2021. "Remaining useful life and state of health prediction for lithium batteries based on empirical mode decomposition and a long and short memory neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    4. Zhang, Meng & Kang, Guoqing & Wu, Lifeng & Guan, Yong, 2022. "A method for capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries under small sample conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    5. Fei, Zicheng & Yang, Fangfang & Tsui, Kwok-Leung & Li, Lishuai & Zhang, Zijun, 2021. "Early prediction of battery lifetime via a machine learning based framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    6. Chen, Dinghong & Zhang, Weige & Zhang, Caiping & Sun, Bingxiang & Cong, XinWei & Wei, Shaoyuan & Jiang, Jiuchun, 2022. "A novel deep learning-based life prediction method for lithium-ion batteries with strong generalization capability under multiple cycle profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    7. Fan, Xinyuan & Zhang, Weige & Sun, Bingxiang & Zhang, Junwei & He, Xitian, 2022. "Battery pack consistency modeling based on generative adversarial networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).
    8. Yao, Fang & He, Wenxuan & Wu, Youxi & Ding, Fei & Meng, Defang, 2022. "Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries using a hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    9. He, Jiabei & Wu, Lifeng, 2023. "Cross-conditions capacity estimation of lithium-ion battery with constrained adversarial domain adaptation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    10. Park, Jinhyeong & Kim, Kunwoo & Park, Seongyun & Baek, Jongbok & Kim, Jonghoon, 2021. "Complementary cooperative SOC/capacity estimator based on the discrete variational derivative combined with the DEKF for electric power applications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    11. Zhang, Chen & Wang, Hongmin & Wu, Lifeng, 2023. "Life prediction model for lithium-ion battery considering fast-charging protocol," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    12. Zhang, Jiusi & Jiang, Yuchen & Li, Xiang & Huo, Mingyi & Luo, Hao & Yin, Shen, 2022. "An adaptive remaining useful life prediction approach for single battery with unlabeled small sample data and parameter uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    13. Yan, Lisen & Peng, Jun & Gao, Dianzhu & Wu, Yue & Liu, Yongjie & Li, Heng & Liu, Weirong & Huang, Zhiwu, 2022. "A hybrid method with cascaded structure for early-stage remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    14. Wu, Lifeng & Zhang, Yu, 2023. "Attention-based encoder-decoder networks for state of charge estimation of lithium-ion battery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    15. Ma, Yan & Shan, Ce & Gao, Jinwu & Chen, Hong, 2022. "A novel method for state of health estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on improved LSTM and health indicators extraction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    16. Seo, Minhwan & Song, Youngbin & Kim, Jake & Paek, Sung Wook & Kim, Gi-Heon & Kim, Sang Woo, 2021. "Innovative lumped-battery model for state of charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries under various ambient temperatures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    17. Wang, Yixiu & Zhu, Jiangong & Cao, Liang & Gopaluni, Bhushan & Cao, Yankai, 2023. "Long Short-Term Memory Network with Transfer Learning for Lithium-ion Battery Capacity Fade and Cycle Life Prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    18. Dai, Houde & Wang, Jiaxin & Huang, Yiyang & Lai, Yuan & Zhu, Liqi, 2024. "Lightweight state-of-health estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on statistical feature optimization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wu, Lifeng & Zhang, Yu, 2023. "Attention-based encoder-decoder networks for state of charge estimation of lithium-ion battery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    2. Shen, Dongxu & Wu, Lifeng & Kang, Guoqing & Guan, Yong & Peng, Zhen, 2021. "A novel online method for predicting the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries considering random variable discharge current," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    3. Semeraro, Concetta & Caggiano, Mariateresa & Olabi, Abdul-Ghani & Dassisti, Michele, 2022. "Battery monitoring and prognostics optimization techniques: Challenges and opportunities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    4. Liu, Gengfeng & Zhang, Xiangwen & Liu, Zhiming, 2022. "State of health estimation of power batteries based on multi-feature fusion models using stacking algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    5. Rauf, Huzaifa & Khalid, Muhammad & Arshad, Naveed, 2022. "Machine learning in state of health and remaining useful life estimation: Theoretical and technological development in battery degradation modelling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    6. Wei, Jingwen & Chen, Chunlin, 2021. "A multi-timescale framework for state monitoring and lifetime prognosis of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. Li, Guanzheng & Li, Bin & Li, Chao & Wang, Shuai, 2023. "State-of-health rapid estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an interpretable stacking ensemble model with short-term voltage profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    8. Zhang, Yajun & Liu, Yajie & Wang, Jia & Zhang, Tao, 2022. "State-of-health estimation for lithium-ion batteries by combining model-based incremental capacity analysis with support vector regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    9. Shi, Mingjie & Xu, Jun & Lin, Chuanping & Mei, Xuesong, 2022. "A fast state-of-health estimation method using single linear feature for lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    10. Sui, Xin & He, Shan & Vilsen, Søren B. & Meng, Jinhao & Teodorescu, Remus & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan, 2021. "A review of non-probabilistic machine learning-based state of health estimation techniques for Lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    11. Lyu, Zhiqiang & Wang, Geng & Gao, Renjing, 2022. "Synchronous state of health estimation and remaining useful lifetime prediction of Li-Ion battery through optimized relevance vector machine framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    12. Fei, Zicheng & Yang, Fangfang & Tsui, Kwok-Leung & Li, Lishuai & Zhang, Zijun, 2021. "Early prediction of battery lifetime via a machine learning based framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    13. Takyi-Aninakwa, Paul & Wang, Shunli & Zhang, Hongying & Yang, Xiaoyong & Fernandez, Carlos, 2022. "An optimized long short-term memory-weighted fading extended Kalman filtering model with wide temperature adaptation for the state of charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    14. Chen, Zheng & Zhao, Hongqian & Shu, Xing & Zhang, Yuanjian & Shen, Jiangwei & Liu, Yonggang, 2021. "Synthetic state of charge estimation for lithium-ion batteries based on long short-term memory network modeling and adaptive H-Infinity filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    15. Wang, Yixiu & Zhu, Jiangong & Cao, Liang & Gopaluni, Bhushan & Cao, Yankai, 2023. "Long Short-Term Memory Network with Transfer Learning for Lithium-ion Battery Capacity Fade and Cycle Life Prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    16. Panagiotis Eleftheriadis & Spyridon Giazitzis & Sonia Leva & Emanuele Ogliari, 2023. "Data-Driven Methods for the State of Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries: An Overview," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-24, September.
    17. Ospina Agudelo, Brian & Zamboni, Walter & Monmasson, Eric, 2021. "Application domain extension of incremental capacity-based battery SoH indicators," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    18. S. Tamilselvi & S. Gunasundari & N. Karuppiah & Abdul Razak RK & S. Madhusudan & Vikas Madhav Nagarajan & T. Sathish & Mohammed Zubair M. Shamim & C. Ahamed Saleel & Asif Afzal, 2021. "A Review on Battery Modelling Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-26, September.
    19. Khaleghi, Sahar & Hosen, Md Sazzad & Karimi, Danial & Behi, Hamidreza & Beheshti, S. Hamidreza & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Berecibar, Maitane, 2022. "Developing an online data-driven approach for prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    20. Xu, Zhicheng & Wang, Jun & Lund, Peter D. & Zhang, Yaoming, 2021. "Estimation and prediction of state of health of electric vehicle batteries using discrete incremental capacity analysis based on real driving data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:221:y:2021:i:c:s036054422100150x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.