IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v238y2022ipas0360544221020028.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Remaining discharge energy estimation for lithium-ion batteries based on future load prediction considering temperature and ageing effects

Author

Listed:
  • Lai, Xin
  • Huang, Yunfeng
  • Gu, Huanghui
  • Han, Xuebing
  • Feng, Xuning
  • Dai, Haifeng
  • Zheng, Yuejiu
  • Ouyang, Minggao

Abstract

The estimation of remaining discharge energy (RDE) of lithium-ion batteries is the basis for the remaining driving range estimation of electric vehicles. The RDE estimation is affected by many factors, such as battery future load, battery ageing and temperature. In this study, an RDE estimation method based on the future load prediction considering battery temperature and ageing effects is proposed. First, the hidden Markov model (HMM) is implemented to predict the future load of battery. Then, the capacity test at different temperatures is conducted to determine the limited state-of-charge (SOC) in the prediction field. Third, a forgetting factor recursive least square (FFRLS) algorithm is used to identify and update the battery model parameters online to address the parameter mismatch issue caused by battery ageing and temperature fluctuation. Finally, based on the predicted current, SOC, and voltage sequences, the RDE is estimated under different operation conditions. In particular, a battery simulation driving condition is constructed using the real vehicle speed to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method in complex conditions. The results demonstrate that the accuracy and robustness of the proposed method against various operation conditions and battery ageing are satisfactory.

Suggested Citation

  • Lai, Xin & Huang, Yunfeng & Gu, Huanghui & Han, Xuebing & Feng, Xuning & Dai, Haifeng & Zheng, Yuejiu & Ouyang, Minggao, 2022. "Remaining discharge energy estimation for lithium-ion batteries based on future load prediction considering temperature and ageing effects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:238:y:2022:i:pa:s0360544221020028
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121754
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544221020028
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121754?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sun, Li & Li, Guanru & You, Fengqi, 2020. "Combined internal resistance and state-of-charge estimation of lithium-ion battery based on extended state observer," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Wang, Yujie & Tian, Jiaqiang & Sun, Zhendong & Wang, Li & Xu, Ruilong & Li, Mince & Chen, Zonghai, 2020. "A comprehensive review of battery modeling and state estimation approaches for advanced battery management systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    3. Ouyang, Tiancheng & Xu, Peihang & Chen, Jingxian & Su, Zixiang & Huang, Guicong & Chen, Nan, 2021. "A novel state of charge estimation method for lithium-ion batteries based on bias compensation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    4. Liu, Guangming & Ouyang, Minggao & Lu, Languang & Li, Jianqiu & Hua, Jianfeng, 2015. "A highly accurate predictive-adaptive method for lithium-ion battery remaining discharge energy prediction in electric vehicle applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 297-314.
    5. Lai, Xin & Yi, Wei & Cui, Yifan & Qin, Chao & Han, Xuebing & Sun, Tao & Zhou, Long & Zheng, Yuejiu, 2021. "Capacity estimation of lithium-ion cells by combining model-based and data-driven methods based on a sequential extended Kalman filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    6. Akaike, Hirotugu, 1981. "Likelihood of a model and information criteria," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 3-14, May.
    7. Lin, Cheng & Mu, Hao & Xiong, Rui & Cao, Jiayi, 2017. "Multi-model probabilities based state fusion estimation method of lithium-ion battery for electric vehicles: State-of-energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 560-568.
    8. Jiang, Cong & Wang, Shunli & Wu, Bin & Fernandez, Carlos & Xiong, Xin & Coffie-Ken, James, 2021. "A state-of-charge estimation method of the power lithium-ion battery in complex conditions based on adaptive square root extended Kalman filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    9. Zhang, Xu & Wang, Yujie & Wu, Ji & Chen, Zonghai, 2018. "A novel method for lithium-ion battery state of energy and state of power estimation based on multi-time-scale filter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 442-451.
    10. Mousavi G., S.M. & Nikdel, M., 2014. "Various battery models for various simulation studies and applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 477-485.
    11. Dong, Guangzhong & Zhang, Xu & Zhang, Chenbin & Chen, Zonghai, 2015. "A method for state of energy estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on neural network model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P1), pages 879-888.
    12. He, HongWen & Zhang, YongZhi & Xiong, Rui & Wang, Chun, 2015. "A novel Gaussian model based battery state estimation approach: State-of-Energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 41-48.
    13. Zheng, Linfeng & Zhu, Jianguo & Wang, Guoxiu & He, Tingting & Wei, Yiying, 2016. "Novel methods for estimating lithium-ion battery state of energy and maximum available energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1-8.
    14. Hu, Xiaosong & Feng, Fei & Liu, Kailong & Zhang, Lei & Xie, Jiale & Liu, Bo, 2019. "State estimation for advanced battery management: Key challenges and future trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-1.
    15. Seo, Minhwan & Song, Youngbin & Kim, Jake & Paek, Sung Wook & Kim, Gi-Heon & Kim, Sang Woo, 2021. "Innovative lumped-battery model for state of charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries under various ambient temperatures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    16. Ren, Dongsheng & Feng, Xuning & Lu, Languang & He, Xiangming & Ouyang, Minggao, 2019. "Overcharge behaviors and failure mechanism of lithium-ion batteries under different test conditions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 323-332.
    17. Jiang, Bo & Dai, Haifeng & Wei, Xuezhe & Xu, Tianjiao, 2019. "Joint estimation of lithium-ion battery state of charge and capacity within an adaptive variable multi-timescale framework considering current measurement offset," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    18. Deng, Zhongwei & Hu, Xiaosong & Lin, Xianke & Che, Yunhong & Xu, Le & Guo, Wenchao, 2020. "Data-driven state of charge estimation for lithium-ion battery packs based on Gaussian process regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    19. Xia, Bizhong & Chen, Chaoren & Tian, Yong & Wang, Mingwang & Sun, Wei & Xu, Zhihui, 2015. "State of charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on an improved parameter identification method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P2), pages 1426-1434.
    20. Li, Xiaoyu & Xu, Jianhua & Hong, Jianxun & Tian, Jindong & Tian, Yong, 2021. "State of energy estimation for a series-connected lithium-ion battery pack based on an adaptive weighted strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wei, Changyin & Chen, Yong & Li, Xiaoyu & Lin, Xiaozhe, 2022. "Integrating intelligent driving pattern recognition with adaptive energy management strategy for extender range electric logistics vehicle," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    2. Sun, Tao & Wang, Shaoqing & Jiang, Sheng & Xu, Bowen & Han, Xuebing & Lai, Xin & Zheng, Yuejiu, 2022. "A cloud-edge collaborative strategy for capacity prognostic of lithium-ion batteries based on dynamic weight allocation and machine learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PC).
    3. Xingxing Wang & Yujie Zhang & Hongjun Ni & Shuaishuai Lv & Fubao Zhang & Yu Zhu & Yinnan Yuan & Yelin Deng, 2022. "Influence of Different Ambient Temperatures on the Discharge Performance of Square Ternary Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-22, July.
    4. Pan, Yue & Kong, Xiangdong & Yuan, Yuebo & Sun, Yukun & Han, Xuebing & Yang, Hongxin & Zhang, Jianbiao & Liu, Xiaoan & Gao, Panlong & Li, Yihui & Lu, Languang & Ouyang, Minggao, 2023. "Detecting the foreign matter defect in lithium-ion batteries based on battery pilot manufacturing line data analyses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
    5. An, Fulai & Zhang, Weige & Sun, Bingxiang & Jiang, Jiuchun & Fan, Xinyuan, 2023. "A novel battery pack inconsistency model and influence degree analysis of inconsistency on output energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    6. Zhong, Hao & Lei, Fei & Zhu, Wenhao & Zhang, Zhe, 2022. "An operation efficacy-oriented predictive control management for power-redistributable lithium-ion battery pack," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    7. Marko Emanović & Martina Jakara & Danijela Barić, 2022. "Challenges and Opportunities for Future BEVs Adoption in Croatia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-18, July.
    8. Chein-Chung Sun & Chun-Hung Chou & Yu-Liang Lin & Yu-Hua Huang, 2022. "A Cost-Effective Passive/Active Hybrid Equalizer Circuit Design," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Yujie & Tian, Jiaqiang & Sun, Zhendong & Wang, Li & Xu, Ruilong & Li, Mince & Chen, Zonghai, 2020. "A comprehensive review of battery modeling and state estimation approaches for advanced battery management systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Zhang, Xu & Wang, Yujie & Wu, Ji & Chen, Zonghai, 2018. "A novel method for lithium-ion battery state of energy and state of power estimation based on multi-time-scale filter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 442-451.
    3. Jiang, Bo & Tao, Siyi & Wang, Xueyuan & Zhu, Jiangong & Wei, Xuezhe & Dai, Haifeng, 2023. "Mechanics-based state of charge estimation for lithium-ion pouch battery using deep learning technique," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    4. Takyi-Aninakwa, Paul & Wang, Shunli & Zhang, Hongying & Yang, Xiao & Fernandez, Carlos, 2023. "A hybrid probabilistic correction model for the state of charge estimation of lithium-ion batteries considering dynamic currents and temperatures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    5. Hu, Xiaosong & Feng, Fei & Liu, Kailong & Zhang, Lei & Xie, Jiale & Liu, Bo, 2019. "State estimation for advanced battery management: Key challenges and future trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-1.
    6. Wang, Ya-Xiong & Chen, Zhenhang & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "Lithium-ion battery state-of-charge estimation for small target sample sets using the improved GRU-based transfer learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PB).
    7. Zhihang Zhang & Languang Lu & Yalun Li & Hewu Wang & Minggao Ouyang, 2023. "Accurate Remaining Available Energy Estimation of LiFePO 4 Battery in Dynamic Frequency Regulation for EVs with Thermal-Electric-Hysteresis Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-28, July.
    8. Hou, Jie & Liu, Jiawei & Chen, Fengwei & Li, Penghua & Zhang, Tao & Jiang, Jincheng & Chen, Xiaolei, 2023. "Robust lithium-ion state-of-charge and battery parameters joint estimation based on an enhanced adaptive unscented Kalman filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    9. Wang, Yujie & Chen, Zonghai & Zhang, Chenbin, 2017. "On-line remaining energy prediction: A case study in embedded battery management system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 688-695.
    10. Naseri, F. & Gil, S. & Barbu, C. & Cetkin, E. & Yarimca, G. & Jensen, A.C. & Larsen, P.G. & Gomes, C., 2023. "Digital twin of electric vehicle battery systems: Comprehensive review of the use cases, requirements, and platforms," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    11. Li, Xiaoyu & Xu, Jianhua & Hong, Jianxun & Tian, Jindong & Tian, Yong, 2021. "State of energy estimation for a series-connected lithium-ion battery pack based on an adaptive weighted strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    12. Chen, Zheng & Zhao, Hongqian & Shu, Xing & Zhang, Yuanjian & Shen, Jiangwei & Liu, Yonggang, 2021. "Synthetic state of charge estimation for lithium-ion batteries based on long short-term memory network modeling and adaptive H-Infinity filter," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    13. Tang, Xiaopeng & Liu, Kailong & Lu, Jingyi & Liu, Boyang & Wang, Xin & Gao, Furong, 2020. "Battery incremental capacity curve extraction by a two-dimensional Luenberger–Gaussian-moving-average filter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    14. Shahjalal, Mohammad & Roy, Probir Kumar & Shams, Tamanna & Fly, Ashley & Chowdhury, Jahedul Islam & Ahmed, Md. Rishad & Liu, Kailong, 2022. "A review on second-life of Li-ion batteries: prospects, challenges, and issues," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    15. Qiaohua Fang & Xuezhe Wei & Haifeng Dai, 2019. "A Remaining Discharge Energy Prediction Method for Lithium-Ion Battery Pack Considering SOC and Parameter Inconsistency," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, March.
    16. Sun, Daoming & Yu, Xiaoli & Wang, Chongming & Zhang, Cheng & Huang, Rui & Zhou, Quan & Amietszajew, Taz & Bhagat, Rohit, 2021. "State of charge estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an Intelligent Adaptive Extended Kalman Filter with improved noise estimator," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    17. Shrivastava, Prashant & Soon, Tey Kok & Idris, Mohd Yamani Idna Bin & Mekhilef, Saad, 2019. "Overview of model-based online state-of-charge estimation using Kalman filter family for lithium-ion batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    18. Wang, Shunli & Shang, Liping & Li, Zhanfeng & Deng, Hu & Li, Jianchao, 2016. "Online dynamic equalization adjustment of high-power lithium-ion battery packs based on the state of balance estimation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 44-58.
    19. Che, Yunhong & Deng, Zhongwei & Li, Penghua & Tang, Xiaolin & Khosravinia, Kavian & Lin, Xianke & Hu, Xiaosong, 2022. "State of health prognostics for series battery packs: A universal deep learning method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    20. Fotouhi, Abbas & Auger, Daniel J. & Propp, Karsten & Longo, Stefano & Wild, Mark, 2016. "A review on electric vehicle battery modelling: From Lithium-ion toward Lithium–Sulphur," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1008-1021.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:238:y:2022:i:pa:s0360544221020028. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.