IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecosta/v22y2022icp172-189.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for grouping dependence structures and selecting copula functions

Author

Listed:
  • Zhuang, Haoxin
  • Diao, Liqun
  • Yi, Grace Y.

Abstract

The demand for advanced dependence modeling arises in a variety of fields, including finance, insurance and health science. When analyzing dependent data, it is important but challenging to properly model the dependence structure in order to carry out valid and efficient inferences. Grouping the data according to the similarity in the dependence structure is necessary, especially for data of a small size. A copula-based model, indexed by copula selection indicators and dependence parameters, is introduced to delineate dependent data and group similar dependence structures. To conduct inference, a Bayesian nonparametric method with the prior distributions specified as a Dirichlet Process is proposed as a mixture of Dirichlet process mixture copula model (M-DPM-CM). Extensive simulation studies have been conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed procedure, and the results show that the proposed M-DPM-CM can recover the true grouping structure and achieve high accuracy in copula model selection under various finite sample settings. The M-DPM-CM is applied to analyze the Vertebral Column dataset from UCI Machine Learning Repository.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhuang, Haoxin & Diao, Liqun & Yi, Grace Y., 2022. "A Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for grouping dependence structures and selecting copula functions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 172-189.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:22:y:2022:i:c:p:172-189
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.03.009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452306221000526
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Contains open access articles
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecosta.2021.03.009?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Genest, Christian & Rémillard, Bruno & Beaudoin, David, 2009. "Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas: A review and a power study," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 199-213, April.
    2. Aas, Kjersti & Czado, Claudia & Frigessi, Arnoldo & Bakken, Henrik, 2009. "Pair-copula constructions of multiple dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 182-198, April.
    3. Frahm, Gabriel & Junker, Markus & Szimayer, Alexander, 2003. "Elliptical copulas: applicability and limitations," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(3), pages 275-286, July.
    4. Fermanian, Jean-David, 2005. "Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 119-152, July.
    5. Chen, Xiaohong & Fan, Yanqin, 2006. "Estimation and model selection of semiparametric copula-based multivariate dynamic models under copula misspecification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 125-154.
    6. Christian Genest & Jean‐François Quessy & Bruno Rémillard, 2006. "Goodness‐of‐fit Procedures for Copula Models Based on the Probability Integral Transformation," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 33(2), pages 337-366, June.
    7. Sinae Kim & Mahlet G. Tadesse & Marina Vannucci, 2006. "Variable selection in clustering via Dirichlet process mixture models," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 93(4), pages 877-893, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hirofumi Michimae & Takeshi Emura, 2022. "Likelihood Inference for Copula Models Based on Left-Truncated and Competing Risks Data from Field Studies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-15, June.
    2. Zhang, Zili & Charalambous, Christiana & Foster, Peter, 2023. "A Gaussian copula joint model for longitudinal and time-to-event data with random effects," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2013-041 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2023. "Predicting binary outcomes based on the pair-copula construction," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(6), pages 3089-3119, June.
    3. Jean-David Fermanian, 2012. "An overview of the goodness-of-fit test problem for copulas," Papers 1211.4416, arXiv.org.
    4. Zhang, Shulin & Okhrin, Ostap & Zhou, Qian M. & Song, Peter X.-K., 2016. "Goodness-of-fit test for specification of semiparametric copula dependence models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 215-233.
    5. Lu, Xiaohui & Zheng, Xu, 2020. "A goodness-of-fit test for copulas based on martingale transformation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 84-117.
    6. Okhrin, Ostap & Okhrin, Yarema & Schmid, Wolfgang, 2013. "On the structure and estimation of hierarchical Archimedean copulas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(2), pages 189-204.
    7. Fantazzini, Dean, 2011. "Analysis of multidimensional probability distributions with copula functions. III," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 24(4), pages 100-130.
    8. Juan Lin & Ximing Wu, 2015. "Smooth Tests of Copula Specifications," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 128-143, January.
    9. Marc Gronwald & Janina Ketterer & Stefan Trück, 2011. "The Dependence Structure between Carbon Emission Allowances and Financial Markets - A Copula Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 3418, CESifo.
    10. Wanling Huang & Artem Prokhorov, 2014. "A Goodness-of-fit Test for Copulas," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(7), pages 751-771, October.
    11. Boubaker, Heni & Sghaier, Nadia, 2013. "Portfolio optimization in the presence of dependent financial returns with long memory: A copula based approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 361-377.
    12. Bruno Rémillard, 2017. "Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Copulas of Multivariate Time Series," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-23, March.
    13. Diks, Cees & Panchenko, Valentyn & van Dijk, Dick, 2010. "Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(9), pages 1596-1609, September.
    14. Sebastian Kiwitt & Natalie Neumeyer, 2013. "A note on testing independence by a copula-based order selection approach," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(1), pages 62-82, March.
    15. Perepolkin, Dmytro & Lindsröm, Erik & Sahlin, Ullrika, 2023. "Quantile-parameterized distributions for expert knowledge elicitation," OSF Preprints tq3an, Center for Open Science.
    16. Mejdoub, Hanène & Ben Arab, Mounira, 2018. "Impact of dependence modeling of non-life insurance risks on capital requirement: D-Vine Copula approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 208-218.
    17. Can, S.U. & Einmahl, John & Laeven, R.J.A., 2020. "Goodness-of-fit testing for copulas: A distribution-free approach," Other publications TiSEM 211b2be9-b46e-41e2-9b95-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    18. Min, Aleksey & Czado, Claudia, 2014. "SCOMDY models based on pair-copula constructions with application to exchange rates," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 523-535.
    19. Derumigny Alexis & Fermanian Jean-David, 2017. "About tests of the “simplifying” assumption for conditional copulas," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 154-197, August.
    20. Quessy, Jean-François & Durocher, Martin, 2019. "The class of copulas arising from squared distributions: Properties and inference," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 148-166.
    21. Daniel Berg & Jean‐François Quessy, 2009. "Local Power Analyses of Goodness‐of‐fit Tests for Copulas," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 36(3), pages 389-412, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:22:y:2022:i:c:p:172-189. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/econometrics-and-statistics .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.