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Distribution-free tests for time series models specification

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  • Delgado, Miguel A.
  • Velasco, Carlos

Abstract

We consider a class of time series specification tests based on quadratic forms of weighted sums of residuals autocorrelations. Asymptotically distribution-free tests in the presence of estimated parameters are obtained by suitably transforming the weights, which can be optimally chosen to maximize the power function when testing in the direction of local alternatives. We discuss in detail an asymptotically optimal distribution-free alternative to the popular Box-Pierce when testing in the direction of AR or MA alternatives. The performance of the test with small samples is studied by means of a Monte Carlo experiment.

Suggested Citation

  • Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2010. "Distribution-free tests for time series models specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 155(2), pages 128-137, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:155:y:2010:i:2:p:128-137
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lobato I. N., 2001. "Testing That a Dependent Process Is Uncorrelated," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1066-1076, September.
    2. Miguel A. Delgado & Javier Hidalgo & Carlos Velasco, 2009. "Distribution-free specification tests for dynamic linear models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(s1), pages 105-134, January.
    3. Lobato, Ignacio & Nankervis, John C & Savin, N E, 2001. "Testing for Autocorrelation Using a Modified Box-Pierce Q Test," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 42(1), pages 187-205, February.
    4. Durbin, J, 1970. "Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression When Some of the Regressors are Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 410-421, May.
    5. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    6. Delgado, Miguel A. & Hidalgo, Javier & Velasco, Carlos, 2005. "Distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for linear processes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6840, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Quantile Time Series Regression Models Revisited," Papers 2308.06617, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    2. Pedro H. C. Sant’Anna, 2017. "Testing for Uncorrelated Residuals in Dynamic Count Models With an Application to Corporate Bankruptcy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 349-358, July.
    3. Wenceslao González-Manteiga & Rosa Crujeiras, 2013. "An updated review of Goodness-of-Fit tests for regression models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(3), pages 361-411, September.

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