IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v497y2024ics0304380024002394.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling the spread of a novel endosymbiont infection in field populations of an aphid pest

Author

Listed:
  • Slavenko, Alex
  • Ross, Perran A
  • Mata, Luis
  • Hoffmann, Ary A
  • Umina, Paul A

Abstract

Endosymbiotic bacteria are being increasingly considered in novel methods of suppressing pest populations and/or reducing their potential to vector viruses. Here, we develop a generic modelling approach to explore the potential impacts of endosymbionts on pest populations. The model is presented as a modular R package, EndoSim. We use it to model demographic changes in the green peach aphid (Myzus persicae), which has recently been transinfected with the facultative endosymbiont, Rickettsiella. This novel transinfection has deleterious fitness effects following transfer to M. persicae. We consider a range of scenarios including different temperatures, thermal response curves, plant-based transmission dynamics, introduction dates and initial introduction sizes to investigate conditions under which Rickettsiella is expected to suppress M. persicae populations. We show that impacts on field pest populations are influenced by endosymbiont transmission dynamics, which are temperature-dependent, as well as aphid population processes. Our modelling approach suggests Rickettsiella could be used as a potential biological control to suppress M. persicae in natural settings. Furthermore, it highlights critical information that is required to accurately estimate the likely efficacy of novel endosymbiont transinfections in aphid pest control.

Suggested Citation

  • Slavenko, Alex & Ross, Perran A & Mata, Luis & Hoffmann, Ary A & Umina, Paul A, 2024. "Modelling the spread of a novel endosymbiont infection in field populations of an aphid pest," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 497(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:497:y:2024:i:c:s0304380024002394
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110851
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380024002394
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110851?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Schreinemachers, Pepijn & Tipraqsa, Prasnee, 2012. "Agricultural pesticides and land use intensification in high, middle and low income countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 616-626.
    2. A. A. Hoffmann & B. L. Montgomery & J. Popovici & I. Iturbe-Ormaetxe & P. H. Johnson & F. Muzzi & M. Greenfield & M. Durkan & Y. S. Leong & Y. Dong & H. Cook & J. Axford & A. G. Callahan & N. Kenny & , 2011. "Successful establishment of Wolbachia in Aedes populations to suppress dengue transmission," Nature, Nature, vol. 476(7361), pages 454-457, August.
    3. Barton, Madeleine & Parry, Hazel & Ward, Samantha & Hoffmann, Ary A. & Umina, Paul A. & van Helden, Maarten & Macfadyen, Sarina, 2021. "Forecasting impacts of biological control under future climates: mechanistic modelling of an aphid pest and a parasitic wasp," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 457(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ruiyao Ying & Li Zhou & Wuyang Hu & Dan Pan, 2017. "Agricultural technical education and agrochemical use by rice farmers in China," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 522-536, September.
    2. Hasibuan, Abdul Muis & Gregg, Daniel & Stringer, Randy, 2022. "Risk preferences, intra-household dynamics and spatial effects on chemical inputs use: Case of small-scale citrus farmers in Indonesia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    3. Feng, Shuaizhang & Han, Yujie & Qiu, Huanguang, 2021. "Does crop insurance reduce pesticide usage? Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Auliya A. Suwantika & Angga P. Kautsar & Woro Supadmi & Neily Zakiyah & Rizky Abdulah & Mohammad Ali & Maarten J. Postma, 2020. "Cost-Effectiveness of Dengue Vaccination in Indonesia: Considering Integrated Programs with Wolbachia -Infected Mosquitos and Health Education," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-15, June.
    5. Xingtong Liu & Yuanshun Tan & Bo Zheng, 2022. "Dynamic Behavior of an Interactive Mosquito Model under Stochastic Interference," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-18, June.
    6. Manuel Serrano Valera & Nuria Vela & Grasiela Piuvezam & Francisco Mateo-Ramírez & Isac Davidson Santiago Fernandes Pimenta & Isabel Martínez-Alcalá, 2024. "Prevalence and concentration of pesticides in European waters: A protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(3), pages 1-9, March.
    7. Martin Foureaux Koppensteiner & Lívia Menezes, 2024. "Maternal Dengue and Health Outcomes of Children," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 530-553, April.
    8. Philipp Walch & Petr Broz, 2024. "Viral-bacterial co-infections screen in vitro reveals molecular processes affecting pathogen proliferation and host cell viability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.
    9. Andreia F. Mesquita & Fernando J. M. Gonçalves & Ana M. M. Gonçalves, 2023. "The Lethal and Sub-Lethal Effects of Fluorinated and Copper-Based Pesticides—A Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-22, February.
    10. Agata Di Noi & Silvia Casini & Tommaso Campani & Giampiero Cai & Ilaria Caliani, 2021. "Review on Sublethal Effects of Environmental Contaminants in Honey Bees ( Apis mellifera ), Knowledge Gaps and Future Perspectives," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-19, February.
    11. Xiang, Tao & Malik, Tariq H. & Nielsen, Klaus, 2020. "The impact of population pressure on global fertiliser use intensity, 1970–2011: An analysis of policy-induced mediation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    12. Asghar Bagheri & Naier Emami & Christos A. Damalas, 2023. "Monitoring point source pollution by pesticide use: an analysis of farmers’ environmental behavior in waste disposal," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 6711-6726, July.
    13. Jing Zhang & Jianhua Wang & Xiaoshi Zhou, 2019. "Farm Machine Use and Pesticide Expenditure in Maize Production: Health and Environment Implications," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-13, May.
    14. Kristina K. Gonzales & Immo A. Hansen, 2016. "Artificial Diets for Mosquitoes," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-13, December.
    15. Tefera, T. & Kassie, M. & Midingoyi, S. & Muriithi, B., 2018. "Do farmers and the environment benefit from adopting IPM practices? Evidence from Kenya," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 275946, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    16. Patrizia Schwegler, 2015. "Economic valuation of environmental costs of soil erosion and the loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services caused by food wastage," Journal of Socio-Economics in Agriculture (Until 2015: Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture), Swiss Society for Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, vol. 8(2).
    17. Tiago França Melo De Lima & Raquel Martins Lana & Tiago Garcia De Senna Carneiro & Cláudia Torres Codeço & Gabriel Souza Machado & Lucas Saraiva Ferreira & Líliam César De Castro Medeiros & Clodoveu A, 2016. "DengueME: A Tool for the Modeling and Simulation of Dengue Spatiotemporal Dynamics," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-21, September.
    18. repec:plo:pntd00:0001797 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Qing-Bo Tu & Hui-Cong Shi & Ping Li & Sheng Sheng & Fu-An Wu, 2022. "Antibacterial Activity of Ferulic Acid Ester against Ralstonia solanacearum and Its Synergy with Essential Oils," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-12, December.
    20. Jianhua Wang & Yuanyuan Deng & Hanyu Diao, 2018. "Market Returns, External Pressure, and Safe Pesticide Practice—Moderation Role of Information Acquisition," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-16, August.
    21. Becky Mansfield & Marion Werner & Christian Berndt & Annie Shattuck & Ryan Galt & Bryan Williams & Lucía Argüelles & Fernando Rafael Barri & Marcia Ishii & Johana Kunin & Pablo Lapegna & Adam Romero &, 2024. "A new critical social science research agenda on pesticides," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 41(2), pages 395-412, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:497:y:2024:i:c:s0304380024002394. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.