Financial markets are markets in stories: Some possible advantages of using interviews to supplement existing economic data sources
Fifty-two research interviews were conducted with money managers controlling over $500 billion. This paper presents detailed material from one interview to argue interviews usefully describe their shared reality and provide information about the conditions of action facing financial decision-makers with implications for aggregate behaviour. Their shared reality was dominated by “radical” uncertainty and information ambiguity which severely limited the scope for “fully rational” decision-making. How they managed to commit to decisions was by creating narratives. The study suggests it may be useful to reconsider prejudices against the usefulness of talking to individual economic agents about what they actually do.
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- Tuckett, David, 2009. "Addressing the psychology of financial markets," Economics Discussion Papers 2009-37, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
- Heber Farnsworth & Jonathan Taylor, 2006. "Evidence On The Compensation Of Portfolio Managers," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(3), pages 305-324.
- George A. Akerlof, 2009. "How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1175-1175.
- Gordon J. Alexander & Gjergji Cici & Scott Gibson, 2007. "Does Motivation Matter When Assessing Trade Performance? An Analysis of Mutual Funds," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(1), pages 125-150, January.
- Tuckett, David, 2009. "Addressing the psychology of financial markets," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), vol. 3, pages 1-22.
- Riccardo Rebonato, 2007.
"Introduction to Plight of the Fortune Tellers: Why We Need to Manage Financial Risk Differently
[Plight of the Fortune Tellers: Why We Need to Manage Financial Risk Differently]," Introductory Chapters, Princeton University Press.
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