A linearly distributed lag estimator with r-convex coefficients
The purpose of linearly distributed lag models is to estimate, from time series data, values of the dependent variable by incorporating prior information of the independent variable. A least-squares calculation is proposed for estimating the lag coefficients subject to the condition that the rth differences of the coefficients are non-negative, where r is a prescribed positive integer. Such priors do not assume any parameterization of the coefficients, and in several cases they provide such an accurate representation of the prior knowledge, so as to compare favorably to established methods. In particular, the choice of the prior knowledge parameter r gives the lag coefficients interesting special features such as monotonicity, convexity, convexity/concavity, etc. The proposed estimation problem is a strictly convex quadratic programming calculation, where each of the constraint functions depends on r+1 adjacent lag coefficients multiplied by the binomial numbers with alternating signs that arise in the expansion of the rth power of (1-1). The most distinctive feature of this calculation is the Toeplitz structure of the constraint coefficient matrix, which allows the development of a special active set method that is faster than general quadratic programming algorithms. Most of this efficiency is due to reducing the equality constrained minimization calculations, which occur during the quadratic programming iterations, to unconstrained minimization ones that depend on much fewer variables. Some examples with real and simulated data are presented in order to illustrate this approach.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Polasek, Wolfgang, 1990. "Vector distributed lag models with smoothness priors," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 133-141, October.
- N/A, 1977. "Chapter I. The Home Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 82(1), pages 6-19, November.
- N/A, 1977. "Calendar of Economic Events Aprilâ€”June 1977," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 81(1), pages 82-84, August.
- Shiller, Robert J, 1973. "A Distributed Lag Estimator Derived from Smoothness Priors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(4), pages 775-88, July.
- anonymous, 1977. "Banking in the world economy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Fall, pages 3-5.
- Rodgers G. & Wery R., 1977. "Effects of economic policy on fertility.," ILO Working Papers 991715733402676, International Labour Organization.
- N/A, 1977. "Chapter V. World Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 79(1), pages 69-95, February.
- N/A, 1977. "Chapter III. The World Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 82(1), pages 26-40, November.
- N/A, 1977. "Chapter II. The Home Economy in 1977 and 1978," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 79(1), pages 26-37, February.
- Gemini, 1977. "Peking Revises Economic Policies," China Report, Institute of Chinese Studies, vol. 13(2), pages 14-18, March.
- Harezlak, Jaroslaw & Coull, Brent A. & Laird, Nan M. & Magari, Shannon R. & Christiani, David C., 2007. "Penalized solutions to functional regression problems," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(10), pages 4911-4925, June.
- repec:ilo:ilowps:171573 is not listed on IDEAS
- N/A, 1977. "Calendar of Economic Events January-March 1977," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 80(1), pages 58-60, May.
- anonymous, 1977. "The economy in 1976," Federal Reserve Bulletin, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), issue Jan, pages 1-14.
- Corradi, Corrado, 1977. "Smooth distributed lag estimators and smoothing spline functions in Hilbert spaces," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 211-219, March.
- N/A, 1977. "Chapter III. the World Economy," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 81(1), pages 30-44, August.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:11:p:2836-2849. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Shamier, Wendy)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.