IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v167y2023ics0960077922012310.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The complex dynamics of correlations within chaotic systems

Author

Listed:
  • Wu, Tao
  • Gao, Xiangyun
  • An, Feng
  • Kurths, Jürgen

Abstract

It is widely reported that the functional connectivity estimated by statistical correlations is often varying within nonlinear systems. Generally, these varying correlations between time series are detected by sliding windows. Still, it is unclear how these correlations evolve within a chaotic system. This work intends to give a quantitative framework to identify the dynamics of correlations within chaotic systems. To this end, we embed the pairwise statistical correlations (from time series within a system) into a correlation-based system by sliding windows. This allows for detecting the dynamics of correlations within a complex system through the embedded correlation-based system. Three chaotic systems (i.e., the Lorenz, the Rossler, and the Chen systems) are employed as benchmark examples. We find that both linear and nonlinear correlations within three chaotic systems show chaotic behaviors on some short window sizes, then transit to non-chaotic states with window size increasing. Moreover, the chaotic dynamics of nonlinear correlations exhibit higher uncertainty than the linear one and the original chaotic systems. The chaotic behaviors of correlations within chaotic systems give another evidence of the difficulty of prediction for chaotic systems. Meanwhile, the identified state transitions (concerning the window size) of correlations may provide a quantitative rule to select an appropriate window size for sliding windows.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Tao & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Feng & Kurths, Jürgen, 2023. "The complex dynamics of correlations within chaotic systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:167:y:2023:i:c:s0960077922012310
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.113052
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077922012310
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.113052?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sun, Yeong-Jeu, 2009. "An exponential observer for the generalized Rossler chaotic system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 2457-2461.
    2. Morariu, V.V. & Isvoran, Adriana & Zainea, Oana, 2007. "A non-linear approach to the structure–mobility relationship in protein main chains," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1305-1315.
    3. Daniel J. Fenn & Mason A. Porter & Peter J. Mucha & Mark McDonald & Stacy Williams & Neil F. Johnson & Nick S. Jones, 2012. "Dynamical clustering of exchange rates," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(10), pages 1493-1520, October.
    4. Wu, Tao & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Sufang & Liu, Siyao, 2021. "Time-varying pattern causality inference in global stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Pei Chen & Rui Liu & Kazuyuki Aihara & Luonan Chen, 2020. "Autoreservoir computing for multistep ahead prediction based on the spatiotemporal information transformation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Niu, Hongli, 2021. "Correlations between crude oil and stocks prices of renewable energy and technology companies: A multiscale time-dependent analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Tao & An, Feng & Gao, Xiangyun & Wang, Ze, 2023. "Hidden causality between oil prices and exchange rates," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Zhang, Fan & Shang, Pengjian & Zhang, Boyi, 2024. "A new spectral distance based on adaptive selection algorithm for non-stationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 636(C).
    3. Wu, Tao & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Feng & Xu, Xin & Kurths, Jürgen, 2024. "Forecasting the dynamics of correlations in complex systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wu, Tao & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Feng & Xu, Xin & Kurths, Jürgen, 2024. "Forecasting the dynamics of correlations in complex systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    2. Assaf Almog & Ferry Besamusca & Mel MacMahon & Diego Garlaschelli, 2015. "Mesoscopic Community Structure of Financial Markets Revealed by Price and Sign Fluctuations," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-16, July.
    3. Sebastiano Michele Zema & Giorgio Fagiolo & Tiziano Squartini & Diego Garlaschelli, 2021. "Mesoscopic Structure of the Stock Market and Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2112.06544, arXiv.org.
    4. Nicoló Musmeci & Tomaso Aste & T Di Matteo, 2015. "Relation between Financial Market Structure and the Real Economy: Comparison between Clustering Methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-24, March.
    5. Assaf Almog & Ferry Besamusca & Mel MacMahon & Diego Garlaschelli, 2015. "Mesoscopic Community Structure of Financial Markets Revealed by Price and Sign Fluctuations," Papers 1504.00590, arXiv.org.
    6. Nicol'o Musmeci & Tomaso Aste & Tiziana Di Matteo, 2014. "Risk diversification: a study of persistence with a filtered correlation-network approach," Papers 1410.5621, arXiv.org.
    7. Xin Yang & Shigang Wen & Zhifeng Liu & Cai Li & Chuangxia Huang, 2019. "Dynamic Properties of Foreign Exchange Complex Network," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Connectivity and spillover during crises: Highlighting the prominent and growing role of green energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    9. Nicolo Musmeci & Tomaso Aste & Tiziana Di Matteo, 2014. "Relation between Financial Market Structure and the Real Economy: Comparison between Clustering Methods," Papers 1406.0496, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2015.
    10. Hajimohammadi, Zeinab & Baharifard, Fatemeh & Ghodsi, Ali & Parand, Kourosh, 2021. "Fractional Chebyshev deep neural network (FCDNN) for solving differential models," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P2).
    11. Chen, Yanhua & Li, Youwei & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2022. "Short-run disequilibrium adjustment and long-run equilibrium in the international stock markets: A network-based approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    12. Azam Kheyri & Andriette Bekker & Mohammad Arashi, 2022. "High-Dimensional Precision Matrix Estimation through GSOS with Application in the Foreign Exchange Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(22), pages 1-19, November.
    13. Xu, Na & Shang, Pengjian & Kamae, Santi, 2009. "Minimizing the effect of exponential trends in detrended fluctuation analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 311-316.
    14. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Yongfei & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The impacts of El Niño-southern oscillation on renewable energy stock markets: Evidence from quantile perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    15. Wu, Tao & An, Feng & Gao, Xiangyun & Wang, Ze, 2023. "Hidden causality between oil prices and exchange rates," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    16. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    17. Ben Amar, Amine & Bouattour, Mondher & Bellalah, Makram & Goutte, Stéphane, 2023. "Shift contagion and minimum causal intensity portfolio during the COVID-19 and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    18. Nicolò Musmeci & Vincenzo Nicosia & Tomaso Aste & Tiziana Di Matteo & Vito Latora, 2017. "The Multiplex Dependency Structure of Financial Markets," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-13, September.
    19. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Haoyang & Zhang, Xinhua, 2022. "Dynamic spillover effects and portfolio strategies between crude oil, gold and Chinese stock markets related to new energy vehicle," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    20. Ciorsac, Alecu & Craciun, Dana & Ostafe, Vasile & Isvoran, Adriana, 2011. "Nonlinear correlations in the hydrophobicity and average flexibility along the glycolytic enzymes sequences," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 191-197.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:167:y:2023:i:c:s0960077922012310. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.