IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v136y2020ics0960077920302058.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fractal-fractional differentiation for the modeling and mathematical analysis of nonlinear diarrhea transmission dynamics under the use of real data

Author

Listed:
  • Qureshi, Sania
  • Atangana, Abdon

Abstract

In connection with issues pertinent with humans’ health, it is highly significant to comprehend the complex dynamics of the related infectious disease since the non-Markovian effects play a vital role in its spread. This research analysis investigates an epidemiological model related with diarrhea transmission dynamics that occurred in Ghana during 2008–2018. The real data of 11 years have been obtained from Ministry of Health-Ghana and used to validate the proposed model. The epidemiological model is designed for the very first time with newly devised fractal fractional Caputo type operator having the fractional order α and the fractal dimension τ. The working parameters of the model are estimated and fitted with the real data using nonlinear least-squares fitting method and the basic reproduction number is found to be R0≈2.09665. Existence and uniqueness of the special solution of the proposed model are investigated. The disease free and the endemic equilibria are also computed. Finally, numerical simulations of the model are carried out via proposed numerical method and results in the graphical illustrations based upon effects of the estimated and fitted parameters show that the disease can either be substantially controlled or eradicated if the transmission rate of the epidemic is reduced and the rate of treatment is increased.

Suggested Citation

  • Qureshi, Sania & Atangana, Abdon, 2020. "Fractal-fractional differentiation for the modeling and mathematical analysis of nonlinear diarrhea transmission dynamics under the use of real data," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:136:y:2020:i:c:s0960077920302058
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109812
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077920302058
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109812?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Atangana, Abdon & Qureshi, Sania, 2019. "Modeling attractors of chaotic dynamical systems with fractal–fractional operators," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 320-337.
    2. Qureshi, Sania & Yusuf, Abdullahi, 2019. "Modeling chickenpox disease with fractional derivatives: From caputo to atangana-baleanu," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 111-118.
    3. Qureshi, Sania & Atangana, Abdon, 2019. "Mathematical analysis of dengue fever outbreak by novel fractional operators with field data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    4. Aliyu, Aliyu Isa & Inc, Mustafa & Yusuf, Abdullahi & Baleanu, Dumitru, 2018. "A fractional model of vertical transmission and cure of vector-borne diseases pertaining to the Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivatives," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 268-277.
    5. Jajarmi, Amin & Arshad, Sadia & Baleanu, Dumitru, 2019. "A new fractional modelling and control strategy for the outbreak of dengue fever," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    6. Atangana, Abdon, 2017. "Fractal-fractional differentiation and integration: Connecting fractal calculus and fractional calculus to predict complex system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 396-406.
    7. Abdon Atangana & Necdet Bildik, 2013. "Approximate Solution of Tuberculosis Disease Population Dynamics Model," Abstract and Applied Analysis, Hindawi, vol. 2013, pages 1-8, June.
    8. Ullah, Saif & Altaf Khan, Muhammad & Farooq, Muhammad, 2018. "A fractional model for the dynamics of TB virus," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 63-71.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Akgül, Ali & Partohaghighi, Mohammad, 2022. "New fractional modelling and control analysis of the circumscribed self-excited spherical strange attractor," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. Yadav, Ram Prasad & Renu Verma,, 2020. "A numerical simulation of fractional order mathematical modeling of COVID-19 disease in case of Wuhan China," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    3. Chaudhary, Naveed Ishtiaq & Raja, Muhammad Asif Zahoor & Khan, Zeshan Aslam & Mehmood, Ammara & Shah, Syed Muslim, 2022. "Design of fractional hierarchical gradient descent algorithm for parameter estimation of nonlinear control autoregressive systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    4. Algehyne, Ebrahem A. & Ibrahim, Muhammad, 2021. "Fractal-fractional order mathematical vaccine model of COVID-19 under non-singular kernel," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    5. Xuan, Liu & Ahmad, Shabir & Ullah, Aman & Saifullah, Sayed & Akgül, Ali & Qu, Haidong, 2022. "Bifurcations, stability analysis and complex dynamics of Caputo fractal-fractional cancer model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    6. Singh, Harendra, 2021. "Analysis of drug treatment of the fractional HIV infection model of CD4+ T-cells," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. Rayal, Ashish & Ram Verma, Sag, 2020. "Numerical analysis of pantograph differential equation of the stretched type associated with fractal-fractional derivatives via fractional order Legendre wavelets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    8. Babaei, A. & Jafari, H. & Banihashemi, S. & Ahmadi, M., 2021. "Mathematical analysis of a stochastic model for spread of Coronavirus," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    9. Mehmood, Ammara & Raja, Muhammad Asif Zahoor, 2022. "Fuzzy-weighted differential evolution computing paradigm for fractional order nonlinear wiener systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    10. Heydari, M.H. & Razzaghi, M. & Avazzadeh, Z., 2021. "Orthonormal shifted discrete Chebyshev polynomials: Application for a fractal-fractional version of the coupled Schrödinger-Boussinesq system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. Yusuf, Abdullahi & Tasiu Mustapha, Umar & Abdulkadir Sulaiman, Tukur & Hincal, Evren & Bayram, Mustafa, 2021. "Modeling the effect of horizontal and vertical transmissions of HIV infection with Caputo fractional derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    12. Ogunmiloro, Oluwatayo Michael, 2021. "Mathematical analysis and approximate solution of a fractional order caputo fascioliasis disease model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    13. Rihan, F.A. & Rajivganthi, C, 2020. "Dynamics of fractional-order delay differential model of prey-predator system with Holling-type III and infection among predators," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    14. Shringi, Sakshi & Sharma, Harish & Rathie, Pushpa Narayan & Bansal, Jagdish Chand & Nagar, Atulya, 2021. "Modified SIRD Model for COVID-19 Spread Prediction for Northern and Southern States of India," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Zhongfei & Liu, Zhuang & Khan, Muhammad Altaf, 2020. "Fractional investigation of bank data with fractal-fractional Caputo derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Wang, Wanting & Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Fatmawati, & Kumam, P. & Thounthong, P., 2019. "A comparison study of bank data in fractional calculus," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 369-384.
    3. Qureshi, Sania & Yusuf, Abdullahi, 2019. "Mathematical modeling for the impacts of deforestation on wildlife species using Caputo differential operator," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 32-40.
    4. Berhe, Hailay Weldegiorgis & Qureshi, Sania & Shaikh, Asif Ali, 2020. "Deterministic modeling of dysentery diarrhea epidemic under fractional Caputo differential operator via real statistical analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Atangana, Abdon & Qureshi, Sania, 2019. "Modeling attractors of chaotic dynamical systems with fractal–fractional operators," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 320-337.
    6. Yusuf, Abdullahi & Qureshi, Sania & Feroz Shah, Syed, 2020. "Mathematical analysis for an autonomous financial dynamical system via classical and modern fractional operators," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    7. Abro, Kashif Ali & Khan, Ilyas & Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy, 2019. "Novel technique of Atangana and Baleanu for heat dissipation in transmission line of electrical circuit," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 40-45.
    8. Mustapha, Umar Tasiu & Qureshi, Sania & Yusuf, Abdullahi & Hincal, Evren, 2020. "Fractional modeling for the spread of Hookworm infection under Caputo operator," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    9. Qureshi, Sania & Memon, Zaib-un-Nisa, 2020. "Monotonically decreasing behavior of measles epidemic well captured by Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo fractional operator under real measles data of Pakistan," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    10. Qureshi, Sania & Aziz, Shaheen, 2020. "Fractional modeling for a chemical kinetic reaction in a batch reactor via nonlocal operator with power law kernel," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).
    11. Qureshi, Sania, 2020. "Periodic dynamics of rubella epidemic under standard and fractional Caputo operator with real data from Pakistan," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 151-165.
    12. Djaoue, Seraphin & Guilsou Kolaye, Gabriel & Abboubakar, Hamadjam & Abba Ari, Ado Adamou & Damakoa, Irepran, 2020. "Mathematical modeling, analysis and numerical simulation of the COVID-19 transmission with mitigation of control strategies used in Cameroon," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    13. Akgül, Ali & Partohaghighi, Mohammad, 2022. "New fractional modelling and control analysis of the circumscribed self-excited spherical strange attractor," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    14. Rihan, F.A. & Rajivganthi, C, 2020. "Dynamics of fractional-order delay differential model of prey-predator system with Holling-type III and infection among predators," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    15. Shloof, A.M. & Senu, N. & Ahmadian, A. & Salahshour, Soheil, 2021. "An efficient operation matrix method for solving fractal–fractional differential equations with generalized Caputo-type fractional–fractal derivative," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 415-435.
    16. Fatmawati, & Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Azizah, Muftiyatul & Windarto, & Ullah, Saif, 2019. "A fractional model for the dynamics of competition between commercial and rural banks in Indonesia," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 32-46.
    17. Abboubakar, Hamadjam & Kombou, Lausaire Kemayou & Koko, Adamou Dang & Fouda, Henri Paul Ekobena & Kumar, Anoop, 2021. "Projections and fractional dynamics of the typhoid fever: A case study of Mbandjock in the Centre Region of Cameroon," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    18. Sina Etemad & Albert Shikongo & Kolade M. Owolabi & Brahim Tellab & İbrahim Avcı & Shahram Rezapour & Ravi P. Agarwal, 2022. "A New Fractal-Fractional Version of Giving up Smoking Model: Application of Lagrangian Piece-Wise Interpolation along with Asymptotical Stability," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(22), pages 1-31, November.
    19. Qureshi, Sania & Yusuf, Abdullahi, 2019. "Modeling chickenpox disease with fractional derivatives: From caputo to atangana-baleanu," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 111-118.
    20. Nabi, Khondoker Nazmoon & Abboubakar, Hamadjam & Kumar, Pushpendra, 2020. "Forecasting of COVID-19 pandemic: From integer derivatives to fractional derivatives," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:136:y:2020:i:c:s0960077920302058. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.