IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/matcom/v234y2025icp135-150.html

Parameter estimation study of temporal fractional HIV/AIDS transmission model with fractal dimensions using real data in India

Author

Listed:
  • Verma, Lalchand
  • Meher, Ramakanta
  • Pandya, Darshak P.

Abstract

This work considers a temporal fractional HIV/AIDS model with fractal dimensions to examine the influence of awareness on the dynamics of HIV/AIDS. It investigates an epidemiological model of the dynamics of HIV/AIDS transmission in India using actual data from 1990 to 2016 to authenticate the proposed model. The Picard–Lindelof approach is employed to demonstrate the uniqueness and existence of the solutions where the stability analysis is done with the disease-free equilibrium point and basic reproduction number R0. The Adams–Bashforth method employs a two-step Lagrange polynomial in the generalised power-law kernel form to obtain the proposed model’s numerical solution. Finally, the least square curve fitting method is used to estimate the parametric study of the proposed model with the actual data on HIV cases reported in India from 1990 to 2016.

Suggested Citation

  • Verma, Lalchand & Meher, Ramakanta & Pandya, Darshak P., 2025. "Parameter estimation study of temporal fractional HIV/AIDS transmission model with fractal dimensions using real data in India," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 234(C), pages 135-150.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:234:y:2025:i:c:p:135-150
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2025.02.011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378475425000473
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.matcom.2025.02.011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Naik, Parvaiz Ahmad & Owolabi, Kolade M. & Yavuz, Mehmet & Zu, Jian, 2020. "Chaotic dynamics of a fractional order HIV-1 model involving AIDS-related cancer cells," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    2. Zhai, Xuanpei & Li, Wenshuang & Wei, Fengying & Mao, Xuerong, 2023. "Dynamics of an HIV/AIDS transmission model with protection awareness and fluctuations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    3. Atangana, Abdon & Qureshi, Sania, 2019. "Modeling attractors of chaotic dynamical systems with fractal–fractional operators," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 320-337.
    4. Atangana, Abdon, 2017. "Fractal-fractional differentiation and integration: Connecting fractal calculus and fractional calculus to predict complex system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 396-406.
    5. Silva, Cristiana J. & Torres, Delfim F.M., 2019. "Stability of a fractional HIV/AIDS model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 180-190.
    6. Fatmawati, & Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Odinsyah, Hafidz Putra, 2020. "Fractional model of HIV transmission with awareness effect," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Saif Ullah & Mohamed Altanji & Muhammad Altaf Khan & Ahmed Alshaheri & Wojciech Sumelka, 2023. "The Dynamics Of Hiv/Aids Model With Fractal-Fractional Caputo Derivative," FRACTALS (fractals), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 31(02), pages 1-20.
    8. Dineshkumar, C. & Udhayakumar, R. & Vijayakumar, V. & Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy & Shukla, Anurag, 2021. "A note on the approximate controllability of Sobolev type fractional stochastic integro-differential delay inclusions with order 1," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1003-1026.
    9. Qureshi, Sania & Atangana, Abdon, 2019. "Mathematical analysis of dengue fever outbreak by novel fractional operators with field data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    10. Ullah, Saif & Altaf Khan, Muhammad & Farooq, Muhammad, 2018. "A fractional model for the dynamics of TB virus," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 63-71.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Zhongfei & Liu, Zhuang & Khan, Muhammad Altaf, 2020. "Fractional investigation of bank data with fractal-fractional Caputo derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Qureshi, Sania & Atangana, Abdon, 2020. "Fractal-fractional differentiation for the modeling and mathematical analysis of nonlinear diarrhea transmission dynamics under the use of real data," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Qureshi, Sania & Yusuf, Abdullahi, 2019. "Mathematical modeling for the impacts of deforestation on wildlife species using Caputo differential operator," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 32-40.
    4. Yusuf, Abdullahi & Qureshi, Sania & Feroz Shah, Syed, 2020. "Mathematical analysis for an autonomous financial dynamical system via classical and modern fractional operators," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Wang, Wanting & Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Fatmawati, & Kumam, P. & Thounthong, P., 2019. "A comparison study of bank data in fractional calculus," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 369-384.
    6. Berhe, Hailay Weldegiorgis & Qureshi, Sania & Shaikh, Asif Ali, 2020. "Deterministic modeling of dysentery diarrhea epidemic under fractional Caputo differential operator via real statistical analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    7. Akgül, Ali & Partohaghighi, Mohammad, 2022. "New fractional modelling and control analysis of the circumscribed self-excited spherical strange attractor," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    8. Abro, Kashif Ali & Khan, Ilyas & Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy, 2019. "Novel technique of Atangana and Baleanu for heat dissipation in transmission line of electrical circuit," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 40-45.
    9. Sekerci, Yadigar & Ozarslan, Ramazan, 2020. "Respiration Effect on Plankton–Oxygen Dynamics in view of non-singular time fractional derivatives," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
    10. Imran, M.A., 2020. "Application of fractal fractional derivative of power law kernel (FFP0Dxα,β) to MHD viscous fluid flow between two plates," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    11. Kumar, Ajay & Kumar, Sunil & Momani, Shaher & Hadid, Samir, 2024. "A chaos study of fractal–fractional predator–prey model of mathematical ecology," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 857-888.
    12. Babu, N. Ramesh & Balasubramaniam, P., 2022. "Master-slave synchronization of a new fractal-fractional order quaternion-valued neural networks with time-varying delays," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    13. Gao, Fei & Li, Xiling & Li, Wenqin & Zhou, Xianjin, 2021. "Stability analysis of a fractional-order novel hepatitis B virus model with immune delay based on Caputo-Fabrizio derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    14. Qureshi, Sania & Memon, Zaib-un-Nisa, 2020. "Monotonically decreasing behavior of measles epidemic well captured by Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo fractional operator under real measles data of Pakistan," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    15. Naik, Parvaiz Ahmad & Zu, Jian & Owolabi, Kolade M., 2020. "Modeling the mechanics of viral kinetics under immune control during primary infection of HIV-1 with treatment in fractional order," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    16. Saifullah, Sayed & Ali, Amir & Franc Doungmo Goufo, Emile, 2021. "Investigation of complex behaviour of fractal fractional chaotic attractor with mittag-leffler Kernel," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    17. Ahmad, Shabir & Ullah, Aman & Akgül, Ali, 2021. "Investigating the complex behaviour of multi-scroll chaotic system with Caputo fractal-fractional operator," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    18. Shojaeizadeh, T. & Mahmoudi, M. & Darehmiraki, M., 2021. "Optimal control problem of advection-diffusion-reaction equation of kind fractal-fractional applying shifted Jacobi polynomials," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    19. Qureshi, Sania, 2020. "Periodic dynamics of rubella epidemic under standard and fractional Caputo operator with real data from Pakistan," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 151-165.
    20. Djaoue, Seraphin & Guilsou Kolaye, Gabriel & Abboubakar, Hamadjam & Abba Ari, Ado Adamou & Damakoa, Irepran, 2020. "Mathematical modeling, analysis and numerical simulation of the COVID-19 transmission with mitigation of control strategies used in Cameroon," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:234:y:2025:i:c:p:135-150. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/mathematics-and-computers-in-simulation/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.