IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v285y2021ics0306261921000106.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of the risk and benefit of the complementary operation of the large wind-photovoltaic-hydropower system considering forecast uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Tan, Qiaofeng
  • Wen, Xin
  • Sun, Yuanliang
  • Lei, Xiaohui
  • Wang, Zhenni
  • Qin, Guanghua

Abstract

The complementary operation of wind, photovoltaic and hydropower systems has the potential to increase the integration of renewable energy sources into an existing grid. However, the high variability and forecast uncertainty of wind and photovoltaic power may pose potential risks to the grid and cascade reservoirs. In this study, the benefit and risk of the complementary operation of the wind-photovoltaic-hydropower hybrid system are evaluated. First, an optimal day-ahead complementary operation model is proposed to guide the daily operation of the hybrid system. Then, an optimal real-time load allocation model is developed to deal with power generation derivation resulting from the uncertainty of wind and photovoltaic power forecasting. Finally, the benefit and risk of the complementary operation of the wind-photovoltaic-hydropower system are evaluated. A case study is performed with the wind-photovoltaic-hydropower system in the Yalong River basin of China. The results show that (1) the total power generation, the power generation profit, and the utilization efficiency of electricity transmission lines are significantly increased, but the profit of hydropower stations is sacrificed to compensate for wind and photovoltaic power generation; and (2) the negative effect of the variability of wind and photovoltaic power generation on the power grid can be alleviated; (3) reliable power supply can be achieved, and power loss occurs mainly in the flood season and the maximum load loss is acceptable; and (4) it may lead to an increase in release variation, especially in the dry season, and thus flood control gates and hydropower generating units need to be operated more flexibly.

Suggested Citation

  • Tan, Qiaofeng & Wen, Xin & Sun, Yuanliang & Lei, Xiaohui & Wang, Zhenni & Qin, Guanghua, 2021. "Evaluation of the risk and benefit of the complementary operation of the large wind-photovoltaic-hydropower system considering forecast uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:285:y:2021:i:c:s0306261921000106
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116442
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261921000106
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116442?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pan Liu & Shenglian Guo & Xiaowei Xu & Jionghong Chen, 2011. "Derivation of Aggregation-Based Joint Operating Rule Curves for Cascade Hydropower Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3177-3200, October.
    2. Ma, Tao & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin & Peng, Jinqing, 2014. "Technical feasibility study on a standalone hybrid solar-wind system with pumped hydro storage for a remote island in Hong Kong," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 7-15.
    3. Kaldellis, J. K. & Kavadias, K. A., 2001. "Optimal wind-hydro solution for Aegean Sea islands' electricity-demand fulfilment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 333-354, December.
    4. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V. & Pican, E. & Leahy, M., 2012. "The technical and economic implications of integrating fluctuating renewable energy using energy storage," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 47-60.
    5. Bekele, Getachew & Tadesse, Getnet, 2012. "Feasibility study of small Hydro/PV/Wind hybrid system for off-grid rural electrification in Ethiopia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 5-15.
    6. Ma, Tao & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin & Peng, Jinqing, 2015. "Pumped storage-based standalone photovoltaic power generation system: Modeling and techno-economic optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 649-659.
    7. Siddaiah, Rajanna & Saini, R.P., 2016. "A review on planning, configurations, modeling and optimization techniques of hybrid renewable energy systems for off grid applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 376-396.
    8. Manolakos, D & Papadakis, G & Papantonis, D & Kyritsis, S, 2004. "A stand-alone photovoltaic power system for remote villages using pumped water energy storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 57-69.
    9. Ming, Bo & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Zhang, Xiaoqi & Feng, Maoyuan & Wang, Xianxun, 2017. "Optimizing utility-scale photovoltaic power generation for integration into a hydropower reservoir by incorporating long- and short-term operational decisions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 432-445.
    10. Manolakos, D & Papadakis, G & Papantonis, D & Kyritsis, S, 2001. "A simulation-optimisation programme for designing hybrid energy systems for supplying electricity and fresh water through desalination to remote areas," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 679-704.
    11. Hui Qin & Jianzhong Zhou & Youlin Lu & Yinghai Li & Yongchuan Zhang, 2010. "Multi-objective Cultured Differential Evolution for Generating Optimal Trade-offs in Reservoir Flood Control Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(11), pages 2611-2632, September.
    12. Khare, Vikas & Nema, Savita & Baredar, Prashant, 2016. "Solar–wind hybrid renewable energy system: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 23-33.
    13. Thang Trung Nguyen & Nguyen Vu Quynh & Minh Quan Duong & Le Van Dai, 2018. "Modified Differential Evolution Algorithm: A Novel Approach to Optimize the Operation of Hydrothermal Power Systems while Considering the Different Constraints and Valve Point Loading Effects," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-30, March.
    14. Kapsali, M. & Kaldellis, J.K., 2010. "Combining hydro and variable wind power generation by means of pumped-storage under economically viable terms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(11), pages 3475-3485, November.
    15. Tan, Qiao-feng & Lei, Xiao-hui & Wen, Xin & Fang, Guo-hua & Wang, Xu & Wang, Chao & Ji, Yi & Huang, Xian-feng, 2019. "Two-stage stochastic optimal operation model for hydropower station based on the approximate utility function of the carryover stage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 670-682.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Javed, Muhammad Shahzad & Ma, Tao & Jurasz, Jakub & Amin, Muhammad Yasir, 2020. "Solar and wind power generation systems with pumped hydro storage: Review and future perspectives," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 176-192.
    2. Ma, Tao & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin & Peng, Jinqing, 2015. "Pumped storage-based standalone photovoltaic power generation system: Modeling and techno-economic optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 649-659.
    3. Rehman, Shafiqur & Al-Hadhrami, Luai M. & Alam, Md. Mahbub, 2015. "Pumped hydro energy storage system: A technological review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 586-598.
    4. Li, He & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Ming, Bo & Cheng, Lei & Yang, Zhikai, 2019. "Long-term complementary operation of a large-scale hydro-photovoltaic hybrid power plant using explicit stochastic optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 863-875.
    5. Wen, Xin & Sun, Yuanliang & Tan, Qiaofeng & Tang, Zhengyang & Wang, Zhenni & Liu, Zhehua & Ding, Ziyu, 2022. "Optimizing the sizes of wind and photovoltaic plants complementarily operating with cascade hydropower stations: Balancing risk and benefit," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    6. Shabani, Masoume & Mahmoudimehr, Javad, 2018. "Techno-economic role of PV tracking technology in a hybrid PV-hydroelectric standalone power system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 84-108.
    7. Javed, Muhammad Shahzad & Zhong, Dan & Ma, Tao & Song, Aotian & Ahmed, Salman, 2020. "Hybrid pumped hydro and battery storage for renewable energy based power supply system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    8. Olukunle O. Owolabi & Kathryn Lawson & Sanhita Sengupta & Yingsi Huang & Lan Wang & Chaopeng Shen & Mila Getmansky Sherman & Deborah A. Sunter, 2022. "A Robust Statistical Analysis of the Role of Hydropower on the System Electricity Price and Price Volatility," Papers 2203.02089, arXiv.org.
    9. Javed, Muhammad Shahzad & Ma, Tao & Jurasz, Jakub & Canales, Fausto A. & Lin, Shaoquan & Ahmed, Salman & Zhang, Yijie, 2021. "Economic analysis and optimization of a renewable energy based power supply system with different energy storages for a remote island," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1376-1394.
    10. Shabani, Masoume & Mahmoudimehr, Javad, 2019. "Influence of climatological data records on design of a standalone hybrid PV-hydroelectric power system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 181-194.
    11. Meschede, Henning & Holzapfel, Peter & Kadelbach, Florian & Hesselbach, Jens, 2016. "Classification of global island regarding the opportunity of using RES," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 251-258.
    12. Wang, Gang & Zhang, Zhen & Lin, Jianqing, 2024. "Multi-energy complementary power systems based on solar energy: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    13. Ma, Tao & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin & Peng, Jinqing, 2014. "Technical feasibility study on a standalone hybrid solar-wind system with pumped hydro storage for a remote island in Hong Kong," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 7-15.
    14. Jurasz, Jakub & Dąbek, Paweł B. & Kaźmierczak, Bartosz & Kies, Alexander & Wdowikowski, Marcin, 2018. "Large scale complementary solar and wind energy sources coupled with pumped-storage hydroelectricity for Lower Silesia (Poland)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 183-192.
    15. Solomon, A.A. & Kammen, Daniel M. & Callaway, D., 2016. "Investigating the impact of wind–solar complementarities on energy storage requirement and the corresponding supply reliability criteria," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 130-145.
    16. Tan, Qiaofeng & Nie, Zhuang & Wen, Xin & Su, Huaying & Fang, Guohua & Zhang, Ziyi, 2024. "Complementary scheduling rules for hybrid pumped storage hydropower-photovoltaic power system reconstructing from conventional cascade hydropower stations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    17. Ming, Bo & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Zhang, Xiaoqi & Feng, Maoyuan & Wang, Xianxun, 2017. "Optimizing utility-scale photovoltaic power generation for integration into a hydropower reservoir by incorporating long- and short-term operational decisions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 432-445.
    18. Bhattacharjee, Subhadeep & Nayak, Pabitra Kumar, 2019. "PV-pumped energy storage option for convalescing performance of hydroelectric station under declining precipitation trend," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 288-302.
    19. Javed, Muhammad Shahzad & Song, Aotian & Ma, Tao, 2019. "Techno-economic assessment of a stand-alone hybrid solar-wind-battery system for a remote island using genetic algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 704-717.
    20. Pali, Bahadur Singh & Vadhera, Shelly, 2018. "A novel pumped hydro-energy storage scheme with wind energy for power generation at constant voltage in rural areas," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 802-810.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:285:y:2021:i:c:s0306261921000106. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.