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Economic cycles, asymmetric crises and tourism competitiveness: emerging versus mature destinations

Author

Listed:
  • Jose Fco. Perles-ribes

    () (Department of Applied Economic Analysis, University of Alicante)

  • Ana Belén Ramón-rodríguez

    () (Department of Applied Economic Analysis, University of Alicante)

Abstract

This paper considers the influence of business cycles and economic crises on tourism destinations competitiveness. This competitiveness is measured by its share in world tourism. Analysing a period of forty years, the differential permanent or temporary effects that economic crises has on competitiveness of mature and emerging destinations are observed. Furthermore, it identifies the economic transmission mechanisms operating within this context, analysing them using the framework of the most relevant explanatory models of tourism destination competitiveness. The preliminary results obtained suggest that the effects of these shocks on competitiveness are not neutral. In mature destinations the negative effects are more persistent in highly intensive crises. In emerging destinations with a growing natural trend on tourism demand, the effects of the economic crises are softer and limited, reinforcing the process of convergence between destinations. This effect works through two basic transmission mechanisms: the reduction of internal and external tourism demand and the decrease on investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Jose Fco. Perles-ribes & Ana Belén Ramón-rodríguez, 2013. "Economic cycles, asymmetric crises and tourism competitiveness: emerging versus mature destinations," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(3), pages 2080-2097.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-13-00531
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2013/Volume33/EB-13-V33-I3-P195.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic crisis; tourism destination competitiveness; permanent shocks; economics transmission mechanisms; emerging and mature destinations.;

    JEL classification:

    • L8 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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