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Sectoral Output, Growth And Economic Linkages In The Barbados Economy Over The Past Five Decades

Author

Listed:
  • Roland CRAIGWELL
  • Darrin DOWNES
  • Kevin GREENIDGE
  • Keva STEADMAN

Abstract

Using multivariate cointegration analysis, this paper investigates the long run and short-run relationships between the agriculture, industry and service sectors for Barbados over the past five decades. Sectoral real output is analysed in two sub-periods: 1946 to 1969 and the years 1970-2003. The reason for splitting the sample is to investigate whether the commonly held view that a structural transformation from an economy dominated by agriculture to one that is predominantly service-oriented was reflected in the data. One cointegrating relationship is found in both sub-periods. The results suggest that for the earlier period, increases in industrial output (services output) were associated with lower (higher) agricultural GDP over the long run. In the short run, only changes in industrial output promoted growth in agricultural output. In the latter period, an expansion in services output was found to be the only determinant of industrial output in both the short and long run, as agricultural output did not appear to have any statistically significant impact in either timeframe.

Suggested Citation

  • Roland CRAIGWELL & Darrin DOWNES & Kevin GREENIDGE & Keva STEADMAN, 2008. "Sectoral Output, Growth And Economic Linkages In The Barbados Economy Over The Past Five Decades," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(2), pages 123-136.
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:8:y:2008:i:2_10
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic linkages; Structural change; Growth; Sectoral output;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O0 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - General
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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