IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cwk/ajocsk/2025-80.html

Chronic And Transitory Poverty in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Uduakobong Etop Ukpe

    (Department of Economics, University of Uyo, Uyo, Nigeria)

  • Ettah Bassey Essien

    (Department of Economics, University of Uyo, Uyo, Nigeria)

  • Akpan Ekomabasi

    (Department of Economics, University of Uyo, Uyo, Nigeria)

Abstract

The broad objective of this study was to examine the dynamic nature of poverty in Nigeria using the Nigerian General Household Survey (NGHS) data covering the period 2010–2020. The study used an ex post facto approach and employed a spell approach to decompose poverty into chronic and transitory poverty, while a multinomial logit model was used to determine the factors influencing both forms of poverty. Results revealed that 36.8% of households experienced chronic poverty while 28.4% experienced transitory poverty. Chronic poverty was more prevalent in northern Nigeria. Key determinants include household size, urban residence, access to electricity, potable water, and credit access. The study recommends regionally targeted poverty reduction policies and adoption of population control measures to reduce household size.

Suggested Citation

  • Uduakobong Etop Ukpe & Ettah Bassey Essien & Akpan Ekomabasi, 2025. "Chronic And Transitory Poverty in Nigeria," African Journal of Commercial Studies, African Journal of Commercial Studies, vol. 6(4).
  • Handle: RePEc:cwk:ajocsk:2025-80
    DOI: 10.59413/ajocs/v6.i4.7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ijcsacademia.com/index.php/journal/article/view/296
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.59413/ajocs/v6.i4.7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Victoria Danaan, 2018. "Analysing Poverty in Nigeria through Theoretical Lenses," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, January.
    2. repec:ags:ijamad:151893 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Bob Baulch & John Hoddinott, 2000. "Economic mobility and poverty dynamics in developing countries," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6), pages 1-24.
    4. Etim, Nsikak-Abasi A. & Udoh, Edet J., 2013. "The Determinants of Rural Poverty in Nigeria," International Journal of Agricultural Management and Development (IJAMAD), Iranian Association of Agricultural Economics, vol. 3(2), pages 1-11, June.
    5. G. M. Arif & Faiz Bilquees, 2007. "Chronic and Transitory Poverty in Pakistan: Evidence from a Longitudinal Household Survey," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 46(2), pages 111-127.
    6. Arden Finn & Murray Leibbrandt & James Levinsohn, 2014. "Income mobility in a high-inequality society: Evidence from the first two waves of the National Income Dynamics Study," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 16-30, January.
    7. Fredu Nega & Erik Mathijs & Jozef Deckers & Mitiku Haile & Jan Nyssen & Eric Tollens, 2010. "Rural Poverty Dynamics and Impact of Intervention Programs upon Chronic and Transitory Poverty in Northern Ethiopia," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 22(1), pages 92-114.
    8. Zuhumnan Dapel, 2018. "Three Decades of Poverty Mobility in Nigeria: The Trapped, the Freed, and the Never Trapped," Working Papers 485, Center for Global Development.
    9. Alma Kudebayeva, 2018. "Chronic Poverty in Kazakhstan," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp627, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    10. Arne Bigsten & Abebe Shimeles, 2004. "Dynamics of Poverty in Ethiopia," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2004-39, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    11. Hai-Anh H. Dang & Andrew L. Dabalen, 2019. "Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(7), pages 1527-1547, July.
    12. Igbokwe-Ibeto Chinyeaka Justine & Akhakpe Ighodalo & Oteh, Chukwuemeka Okpo, 2012. "Poverty and Sustainable Socio-Economic Development in Africa: The Nigerian Experience," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(2), pages 367-381, June.
    13. Igbokwe-Ibeto Chinyeaka Justine & Akhakpe Ighodalo & Oteh Chukwuemeka Okpo, 2012. "Poverty and Sustainable Socio-Economic Development in Africa: The Nigerian Experience," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(2), pages 367-381.
    14. Mary Jo Bane & David T. Ellwood, 1983. "Slipping into and out of Poverty: The Dynamics of Spells," NBER Working Papers 1199, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Ronelle Burger & Servaas Berg & Sarel Walt & Derek Yu, 2017. "The Long Walk: Considering the Enduring Spatial and Racial Dimensions of Deprivation Two Decades After the Fall of Apartheid," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 130(3), pages 1101-1123, February.
    16. Jalan, Jyotsna & Ravallion, Martin, 1998. "Transient Poverty in Postreform Rural China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 338-357, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marco Stampini & Marcos Robles & Mayra Sáenz & Pablo Ibarrarán & Nadin Medellín, 2016. "Poverty, vulnerability, and the middle class in Latin America," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 25(1), pages 1-44, December.
    2. Pritchett, Lant & Suryahadi, Asep & Sumarto, Sudarno, 2000. "Quantifying vulnerability to poverty - a proposed measure, applied to Indonesia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2437, The World Bank.
    3. Himanshu & Peter Lanjouw, 2020. "Income mobility in the developing world: Recent approaches and evidence," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-7, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Purwono, Rudi & Wardana, Wahyu Wisnu & Haryanto, Tri & Khoerul Mubin, M., 2021. "Poverty dynamics in Indonesia: empirical evidence from three main approaches," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    5. Coudouel, Aline & Hentschel, Jesko & Wodon, Quentin, 2002. "Измерение И Анализ Бедности [Poverty Measurement and Analysis]," MPRA Paper 10492, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Duclos, Jean-Yves & Araar, Abdelkrim & Giles, John, 2010. "Chronic and transient poverty: Measurement and estimation, with evidence from China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 266-277, March.
    7. Glauben, Thomas & Herzfeld, Thomas & Rozelle, Scott & Wang, Xiaobing, 2012. "Persistent Poverty in Rural China: Where, Why, and How to Escape?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 784-795.
    8. Takashi Kurosaki, 2006. "The measurement of transient poverty: Theory and application to Pakistan," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 4(3), pages 325-345, December.
    9. Rodrigo Carrillo Valles & Patricia Lopez Rodriguez & Isidro Soloaga, 2020. "Dinamicas de pobreza en Mexico, 2008-2018," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 17(2), pages 7-32, Julio-Dic.
    10. Ward, Patrick S., 2016. "Transient Poverty, Poverty Dynamics, and Vulnerability to Poverty: An Empirical Analysis Using a Balanced Panel from Rural China," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 541-553.
    11. Jing You & Sangui Wang & Laurence Roope, 2014. "Multi-dimensional Intertemporal Poverty in Rural China," CSAE Working Paper Series 2014-36, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    12. Jennifer Fernández-Ramos & Ana K. Garcia-Guerra & Jorge Garza-Rodriguez & Gabriela Morales-Ramirez, 2016. "The dynamics of poverty transitions in Mexico," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(11), pages 1082-1095, November.
    13. Luttmer,Erzo F.P., 2001. "Measuring poverty dynamics and inequality in transition economies - disentangling real events from noisy data," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2549, The World Bank.
    14. Jean-Pierre Lachaud, 2002. "La dynamique de pauvreté au Burkina Faso revisitée : pauvreté durable et transitoire, et vulnérabilité," Documents de travail 77, Groupe d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV.
    15. Isabel Günther & Johannes K. Maier, 2014. "Poverty, Vulnerability, and Reference-Dependent Utility," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 60(1), pages 155-181, March.
    16. Carlos Gradin, 2015. "Poverty and Ethnicity among Black South Africans," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 27(5), pages 921-942, December.
    17. Gisele Kamanou & Jonathan Morduch, 2002. "Measuring Vulnerability to Poverty," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2002-58, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    18. Garza-Rodriguez, Jorge & Fernández-Ramos, Jennifer & Garcia-Guerra, Ana K. & Morales-Ramirez, Gabriela, 2015. "The dynamics of poverty in Mexico: A multinomial logistic regression analysis," MPRA Paper 77743, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Zhang, Xiaobo & Rockmore, Marc & Chamberlin, Jordan, 2007. "A typology for vulnerability and agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa," IFPRI discussion papers 734, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cwk:ajocsk:2025-80. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Charles G. Kamau (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ijcsacademia.com/index.php/journal .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.