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Der Wandel von der 'Sozialdemokratischen Geborgenheit' zur 'Neuen Unsicherheit' - Eine vernachlässigte Ursache der Stagnation

Author

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  • Gunther Tichy

Abstract

Die Kommission der EU führt die Stagnation der europäischen Wirtschaft vor allem auf überhöhte Sozialausgaben und zu geringe Flexibilität zurück. Nun ist nicht zu leugnen, dass gerade die großen europäischen Staaten die Periode raschen Wirtschaftswachstums, in der sie einen erheblichen Teil ihres Produktivitätsrückstands gegenüber den USA aufholten, nicht zu einer Anpassung von Sozialsystemen und Regulierung an die neuen Bedingungen des vervielfachten Wohlstands nutzten; der daraus resultierende Reformstau ist aber bloß eine, keinesfalls die wichtigste und bloß indirekte Ursache der europäischen Stagnation. Die wichtigsten Ursachen sind zweifellos die falsche, zu restriktive Geldpolitik der Europäischen Zentralbank sowie die kontraproduktive Maastricht-Regelung, die die Staaten zu einer prozyklischen Fiskalpolitik zwingt; die Schwächen der europäischen F&E-Politik dürfen gleichfalls nicht übersehen werden. ln dem Beitrag wird eine weitere wichtige Erklärung, die ,Neue Unsicherheit', aufgezeigt und deren Verursachung untersucht.

Suggested Citation

  • Gunther Tichy, 2004. "Der Wandel von der 'Sozialdemokratischen Geborgenheit' zur 'Neuen Unsicherheit' - Eine vernachlässigte Ursache der Stagnation," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 30(1), pages 9-26.
    • Handle: RePEc:clr:wugarc:y:2004v:30i:1p:9
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barr, Nicholas, 2001. "The Welfare State as Piggy Bank: Information, Risk, Uncertainty, and the Role of the State," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199246595.
    2. Karl Aiginger, 2003. "The Relative Importance of Labour Market Reforms to Economic Growth," WIFO Working Papers 208, WIFO.
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    Cited by:

    1. Karl Aiginger, 2003. "Insufficient investment into future growth: the forgotten cause of low growth in Germany," Economics working papers 2003-14, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    2. Gunther Tichy, 2005. "Die ,Neue Unsicherheit‚ als Ursache der europäischen Wachstumsschwäche," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 6(3), pages 385-407, August.

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