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Strukturelle Konsolidierung ohne Finanzpolitik – Zu den Ergebnissen der Steuerschätzung vom Mai 2012

Listed author(s):
  • Christian Breuer


Der Arbeitskreis »Steuerschätzungen« hat auf seiner 140. Sitzung die Prognose für die Aufkommensentwicklung der Steuereinnahmen erneut nach oben korrigiert. Dabei wird der Optimismus der Schätzungen von der für das Steueraufkommen günstigen Entwicklung der Verteilung und Verwendung des Inlandsprodukts getragen, obgleich die Prognose für das Bruttoinlandsprodukt insgesamt kaum korrigiert wurde. Die steigenden Löhne und Konsumausgaben induzieren eine strukturelle Verbesserung der Einnahmen. Die Finanzpolitik wirkt nicht restriktiv, vermeidet aber bisher eine prozyklische Expansion.

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Article provided by ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 65 (2012)
Issue (Month): 10 (May)
Pages: 38-43

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:65:y:2012:i:10:p:38-43
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  1. Christian Breuer & Thiess Büttner, 2010. "Auf Sand gebaut: Das strukturelle Defizit im Auf und Ab der Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(11), pages 28-31, June.
  2. Christian Breuer, 2011. "Lohnentwicklung treibt Steueraufkommen: Zu den Ergebnissen der Steuerschätzung vom November 2011," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(21), pages 32-36, November.
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