IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifosdt/v63y2010i04p03-23.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Explodierende Staatsschulden, drohende Staatsbankrotte: Was kommt auf uns zu?

Author

Listed:
  • Charles B. Blankart
  • Erik R. Fasten
  • Jörn Axel Kämmerer
  • Hans-Bernd Schäfer
  • Jörg Asmussen
  • Christian Tietje
  • Michael Kühl
  • Renate Ohr

Abstract

Seit Ausbruch der Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise ist weltweit ein enormer Anstieg staatlicher Defizite und Schuldenstände zu beobachten. Was bedeutet die Entwicklung für die Europäische Währungsunion? Charles B. Blankart und Erik R. Fasten, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, finden es wünschenswert, »vom Nichtauslösungsartikel auszugehen und diesen mit einem Verfahren wie dem des Eurostabilitätspaktes zu verbinden. Die Mitgliedstaaten sagen Hilfe zur Restrukturierung zu. Aber wenn dies alles nichts fruchtet, so steht am Ende … nicht die Auslösung, sondern der Staatsbankrott«. Jörn Axel Kämmerer und Hans-Bernd Schäfer, Bucerius Law School, Hochschule für Rechtswissenschaft, Hamburg, sehen die Europäische Union vor einem äußerst schmalen Grat. Die EU dürfe das Bail-out-Verbot nicht zum Schaden des Euro in einer Weise aufweichen, dass »die Ausnahme zur Regel« werde. Aber sie könne auch nicht untätig bleiben. Jörg Asmussen, Bundesministerium der Finanzen, unterstreicht, dass sich der Stabilitäts- und Wachstumspakt als fiskalpolitisches Koordinierungsinstrument bewährt habe. Auf der anderen Seite werden jetzt die Regeln wieder restriktiver angewandt. Dies bedeute, dass alle Mitgliedstaaten ihre Haushalts- und/oder Strukturprobleme aus eigener Kraft in den Griff bekommen müssen. Für Christian Tietje, Universität Halle-Wittenberg, bleibt es zunächst immer bei der Selbstverantwortung der Staaten der Eurogruppe für ihre Wirtschaftspolitik, finanzielle Solidaritätsmaßnahmen müssen die Ultima Ratio im Euroraum bleiben. Michael Kühl und Renate Ohr, Universität Göttingen, sind der Meinung, dass hochverschuldete Länder, wie z.B. Griechenland, selbst einen Weg finden müssen, ihre Staatsfinanzen zu konsolidieren.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles B. Blankart & Erik R. Fasten & Jörn Axel Kämmerer & Hans-Bernd Schäfer & Jörg Asmussen & Christian Tietje & Michael Kühl & Renate Ohr, 2010. "Explodierende Staatsschulden, drohende Staatsbankrotte: Was kommt auf uns zu?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(04), pages 03-23, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:63:y:2010:i:04:p:03-23
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifosd_2010_4_1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Manganelli, Simone & Wolswijk, Guido, 2007. "Market discipline, financial integration and fiscal rules: what drives spreads in the euro area government bond market?," Working Paper Series 745, European Central Bank.
    2. Ohr Renate & Schmidt André, 2006. "Institutionelle Alternativen in der Europäischen Union: Das Beispiel des Stabilitäts- und Wachstumspaktes," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 55(2), pages 127-149, August.
    3. Bohn, Henning, 2007. "Are stationarity and cointegration restrictions really necessary for the intertemporal budget constraint?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1837-1847, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. D’Erasmo, P. & Mendoza, E.G. & Zhang, J., 2016. "What is a Sustainable Public Debt?," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2493-2597, Elsevier.
    2. Reischmann, Markus, 2016. "Creative accounting and electoral motives: Evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 243-257.
    3. Jamel Boukhatem, 2024. "The effects of financial risk components on local-currency bond markets: theory and empirical evidence," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 1-19, April.
    4. Victor A. Beker, 2016. "The European Debt Crisis," Financial and Monetary Policy Studies, in: Modern Financial Crises, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 135-160, Springer.
    5. Christian Schoder, 2014. "The fundamentals of sovereign debt sustainability: evidence from 15 OECD countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(2), pages 247-271, May.
    6. Hua Chai & Mr. Jun I Kim, 2018. "Demographics, Pension Systems and the Saving-Investment Balance," IMF Working Papers 2018/265, International Monetary Fund.
    7. María Lorena Marí Del Cristo & Marta Gómez-Puig, 2013. "Fiscal dynamics in a dollarized, oil-exporting country: Ecuador," Working Papers 13-06, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
    8. António Afonso & José Alves & Oļegs Matvejevs & Oļegs Tkačevs, 2023. "Fiscal Sustainability and the Role of Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series 10843, CESifo.
    9. Lankester-Campos, Valerie & Loaiza-Marín, Kerry & Monge-Badilla, Carlos, 2020. "Assessing public debt sustainability for Costa Rica using the fiscal reaction function," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).
    10. Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler & Julia Wolfinger, 2020. "Modeling fiscal sustainability in dynamic macro-panels with heterogeneous effects: evidence from German federal states," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 27(1), pages 215-239, February.
    11. Christidou, Maria & Panagiotidis, Theodore & Sharma, Abhijit, 2013. "On the stationarity of per capita carbon dioxide emissions over a century," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 918-925.
    12. Cyrus MUTUKU, 2015. "Assessing Fiscal Policy Cyclicality and Sustainability: A Fiscal Reaction Function for Kenya," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 173-191, September.
    13. Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Díaz-Roldán, Carmen & Esteve, Vicente, 2014. "Deficit sustainability, and monetary versus fiscal dominance: The case of Spain, 1850–2000," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 924-937.
    14. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2020. "Changes in sovereign debt dynamics in Central and Eastern Europe," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 63-71, January.
    15. Viviane Luporini, 2014. "Sustainability Of Brazilian Fiscalpolicy, Once Again: Corrective Policy Response Over Time," Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 064, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    16. Gabriella Legrenzi & Costas Milas, 2012. "Long-Run Debt Sustainability and Threshold Adjustments: Non-Linear Empirical Evidence from the GIIPS," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2586-2593.
    17. Ernst, Ekkehard & Semmler, Willi & Haider, Alexander, 2017. "Debt-deflation, financial market stress and regime change – Evidence from Europe using MRVAR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-139.
    18. Christophe Blot & Marion Cochard & Jérôme Creel & Bruno Ducoudré & Danielle Schweisguth & Xavier Timbeau, 2014. "Is There an Alternative Strategy for Reducing Public Debt by 2032?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(1), pages 39-57.
    19. Beirne, John & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2013. "The pricing of sovereign risk and contagion during the European sovereign debt crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 60-82.
    20. António Afonso & Catarina Farinha Miranda, 2025. "Compliance With Fiscal Sustainability And The Euro," Working Papers REM 2025/0371, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Öffentliche Schulden; Wirtschaftskrise; Haushaltskonsolidierung; Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion; Staatsbankrott; Finanzpolitik; Deutschland; Griechenland; Italien; Belgien; EU-Staaten;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:63:y:2010:i:04:p:03-23. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.