IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifodre/v10y2003i05p9-26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Wirtschafts- und Arbeitsmarktentwicklung Sachsens in der laufenden und den nächsten Dekaden

Author

Listed:
  • Wolfgang Gerstenberger

Abstract

In dem entwickelten Szenario überwiegen die Auftriebskräfte so stark, daß das sächsische Bruttoinlandsprodukt über dem deutschen Durchschnitt wachsen wird. Dies gilt insbesonderer für die laufende Dekade. Danach werden sich die Standortbedingungen in Sachsen relativ verschlechtern. Bei den Erwerbstätigen zeichnet sich ein weitreichender Strukturwandel ab. Obwohl die Gesamtzahl im Trend leicht sinken wird, dürfte der Berg von heute 400.000 Erwerbslosen bis 2030 weitgehend abgeschmolzen sein, da im gleichen Zeitraum aus demographischen Gründen das Arbeitskräfteangebot in Sachsen deutlich abnehmen wird.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Gerstenberger, 2003. "Wirtschafts- und Arbeitsmarktentwicklung Sachsens in der laufenden und den nächsten Dekaden," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 10(05), pages 9-26, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:10:y:2003:i:05:p:9-26
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifodb_2003_5_09-26.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2002. "The red tail light - The reasons for Germany's weak growth and the necessary reforms," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(23), pages 3-32, December.
    2. Michaela Votteler, 2002. "Sächsische Exporte expandieren 2003 wieder kräftig," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 9(06), pages 28-40, October.
    3. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2003. "The demographic deficit - the facts, the consequences, the causes and their politics implications," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(05), pages 20-36, March.
    4. Wolfgang Franz & Rainer Fehn, 2002. "Die Vorschläge der Hartz-Kommission," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(15), pages 3-9, August.
    5. Hans-Werner Sinn & Christian Holzner & Wolfgang Meister & Wolfgang Ochel & Martin Werding, 2002. "Active Welfare - A path to higher employment and growth," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(09), pages 03-52, May.
    6. repec:ces:ifosdt:v::y:2003:i::p:20-36 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Wolfgang Ochel, 2003. "Hartz and more: Reducing joblessness through loan employment," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(01), pages 21-32, January.
    8. Wolfgang Gerstenberger, 2001. "Wachstumsbremse Bau - Wann kehrt Ostdeutschland wieder zum Aufholpfad zurück?," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 8(05), pages 36-43, September.
    9. Wolfgang Ochel & Martin Werding, 2002. "And where do the jobs come from? Critical comments on the proposals of the Hartz Commission," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(15), pages 10-18, August.
    10. repec:ces:ifosdt:v::y:2002:i::p:03-52 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wolfgang Gerstenberger & Beate Henschel & Herbert Hofmann & Carsten Pohl & Heinz Schmalholz & Carola Boede & Michaela Fuchs & Martin Werding, 2004. "Auswirkungen der EU-Osterweiterung auf Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 35.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hans-Werner Sinn & Michael Vierling, 2002. "Postscript: The propositions of the Hartz Commission," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(18), pages 14-20, September.
    2. Wolfgang Gerstenberger & Beate Henschel & Herbert Hofmann & Carsten Pohl & Heinz Schmalholz & Carola Boede & Michaela Fuchs & Martin Werding, 2004. "Auswirkungen der EU-Osterweiterung auf Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 35.
    3. Christian Holzner & Wolfgang Ochel & Martin Werding, 2003. "Vom OFFENSIV-Gesetz zur "Aktivierenden Sozialhilfe" : Ein Konzept zur Reform der Arbeitsmarkt- und Sozialpolitik als Beitrag zu mehr Beschäftigung und Wachstum ; Studie im Auftrag der hessis," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 17.
    4. Wolfgang Ochel, 2003. "Hartz and more: Reducing joblessness through loan employment," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(01), pages 21-32, January.
    5. Hans-Werner Sinn & Christian Holzner & Wolfgang Meister & Wolfgang Ochel & Martin Werding, 2006. "Activating social welfare 2006 - the combi-wage model of the Ifo Institute," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(02), pages 06-27, January.
    6. Volker Rußig, 2003. "Continuing decline in housing completions in Europe," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(02), pages 11-19, January.
    7. Adda & Dustmann, 2004. "Career Progression and Formal versus on the Job Training," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 492, Econometric Society.
    8. Andreas Peichl & Nico Pestel & Sebastian Siegloch, 2013. "Ist Deutschland wirklich so progressiv? Einkommensumverteilung im europäischen Vergleich," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(1), pages 111-127.
    9. Sinn, Hans-Werner, 2006. "Das deutsche Rätsel," Munich Reprints in Economics 950, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    10. Joachim Wilde, 2007. "Ein Konzept der Anreizethik zur Weiterentwicklung der sozialen Grundsicherung nach Hartz IV," Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Unternehmensethik - Journal for Business, Economics & Ethics, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft mbH & Co. KG, vol. 8(2), pages 145-158.
    11. Sinn Hans-Werner, 2019. "Der Streit um die Targetsalden : Kommentar zu Martin Hellwigs Artikel „Target-Falle oder Empörungsfalle?“," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 20(3), pages 170-217, September.
    12. Heblich, Stephan, 2007. "Eigenverantwortliche Individuen und Pro-Aktive Unternehmen," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Volkswirtschaftliche Reihe V-48-07, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    13. Spermann, Alexander & Strotmann, Harald, 2005. "The Targeted Negative Income Tax (TNIT) in Germany: Evidence from a Quasi Experiment," ZEW Discussion Papers 05-68, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    14. Hans‐Werner Sinn, 2006. "Das deutsche Rätsel: Warum wir Exportweltmeister und Schlusslicht zugleich sind," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, February.
    15. Bergs Christian & Schaefer Thilo & Fuest Clemens & Peichl Andreas, 2007. "Reformoptionen der Familienbesteuerung: Aufkommens-, Verteilungs- und Arbeitsangebotseffekte," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 58(1), pages 1-27, April.
    16. Spermann, Alexander, 2006. "Basic Income Reform in Germany: Better Gradualism than Cold Turkey," ZEW Discussion Papers 06-064, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    17. Müller, Kai-Uwe & Steiner, Viktor, 2011. "Beschäftigungswirkungen von Lohnsubventionen und Mindestlöhnen - Zur Reform des Niedriglohnsektors in Deutschland," Discussion Papers 2011/4, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    18. Stefan Boeters & Nicole Gürtzgen & Reinhold Schnabel, 2006. "Reforming Social Welfare in Germany: An Applied General Equilibrium Analysis," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 7(4), pages 363-388, November.
    19. Alois Guger, 2007. "WIFO-Weißbuch: Arbeitsmarktflexibilität und soziale Absicherung," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 80(5), pages 469-481, May.
    20. Ronnie Schöb und Joachim Weimann & Joachim Weimann, 2003. "Kombilohn: Die Magdeburger Alternative," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 4(1), pages 1-17, February.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:10:y:2003:i:05:p:9-26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.