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Wirtschafts- und Arbeitsmarktentwicklung Sachsens in der laufenden und den nächsten Dekaden

  • Wolfgang Gerstenberger
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    In dem entwickelten Szenario überwiegen die Auftriebskräfte so stark, daß das sächsische Bruttoinlandsprodukt über dem deutschen Durchschnitt wachsen wird. Dies gilt insbesonderer für die laufende Dekade. Danach werden sich die Standortbedingungen in Sachsen relativ verschlechtern. Bei den Erwerbstätigen zeichnet sich ein weitreichender Strukturwandel ab. Obwohl die Gesamtzahl im Trend leicht sinken wird, dürfte der Berg von heute 400.000 Erwerbslosen bis 2030 weitgehend abgeschmolzen sein, da im gleichen Zeitraum aus demographischen Gründen das Arbeitskräfteangebot in Sachsen deutlich abnehmen wird.

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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Dresden_berichtet/zs-drber-2003/ifodb_2003_5_09-26.pdf
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    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

    Volume (Year): 10 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 05 (06)
    Pages: 9-26

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:10:y:2003:i:05:p:9-26
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    1. Wolfgang Ochel, 2003. "Hartz and more: Zum Abbau der Arbeitslosigkeit durch Leiharbeit," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(01), pages 21-32, 01.
    2. Hans-Werner Sinn & Christian Holzner & Wolfgang Meister & Wolfgang Ochel & Martin Werding, 2002. "Aktivierende Sozialhilfe - Ein Weg zu mehr Beschäftigung und Wachstum," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(09), pages 03-52, 05.
    3. repec:ces:ifosdt:v::y:2002:i::p:03-52 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2002. "Die rote Laterne Die Gründe für Deutschlands Wachstumsschwäche und die notwendigen Reformen," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(23), pages 3-32, December.
    5. Michaela Votteler, 2002. "Sächsische Exporte expandieren 2003 wieder kräftig," ifo Dresden berichtet, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 9(06), pages 28-40, October.
    6. repec:ces:ifosdt:v::y:2003:i::p:20-36 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2003. "Das demographische Defizit - die Fakten, die Folgen, die Ursachen und ihre Politikimplikationen," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(05), pages 20-36, 03.
    8. Wolfgang Franz & Rainer Fehn, 2002. "Die Vorschläge der Hartz-Kommission," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(15), pages 3-9, 08.
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