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And After That, Who Knows?: Detailing the Marginal Accuracy of Weekly College Football Polls


  • Nutting Andrew W.

    (University of Idaho)


This paper determines that rankings in both the Media and Coaches college football Top 25 Polls are significantly accurate at their tops, insignificantly accurate towards their bottoms, and significantly more accurate at their tops than their bottoms. The computer-based Sagarin Poll is significantly accurate at both its top and bottom, and significantly more accurate at its top than its bottom. Comparing the Media and Coaches Polls to the Sagarin Poll suggests that the Media and Coaches Polls have diminishing accuracy because of both imperfections in voter behavior and smaller actual differences in team quality at lower ranks.

Suggested Citation

  • Nutting Andrew W., 2011. "And After That, Who Knows?: Detailing the Marginal Accuracy of Weekly College Football Polls," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 7(3), pages 1-17, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:7:y:2011:i:3:n:10

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Noel D. Campbell & Tammy M. Rogers & R. Zachary Finney, 2007. "Evidence of Television Exposure Effects in AP Top 25 College Football Rankings," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 8(4), pages 425-434, August.
    2. Trevon Logan, 2011. "Econometric tests of American college football's conventional wisdom," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(20), pages 2493-2518.
    3. Lebovic, James H. & Sigelman, Lee, 2001. "The forecasting accuracy and determinants of football rankings," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 105-120.
    4. Michael Dummett, 1998. "The Borda count and agenda manipulation," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 15(2), pages 289-296.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Stone & Basit Zafar, 2014. "Do we follow others when we should outside the lab? Evidence from the AP top 25," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 73-102, August.

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