And After That, Who Knows?: Detailing the Marginal Accuracy of Weekly College Football Polls
This paper determines that rankings in both the Media and Coaches college football Top 25 Polls are significantly accurate at their tops, insignificantly accurate towards their bottoms, and significantly more accurate at their tops than their bottoms. The computer-based Sagarin Poll is significantly accurate at both its top and bottom, and significantly more accurate at its top than its bottom. Comparing the Media and Coaches Polls to the Sagarin Poll suggests that the Media and Coaches Polls have diminishing accuracy because of both imperfections in voter behavior and smaller actual differences in team quality at lower ranks.
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Volume (Year): 7 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
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References listed on IDEAS
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- Noel D. Campbell & Tammy M. Rogers & R. Zachary Finney, 2007. "Evidence of Television Exposure Effects in AP Top 25 College Football Rankings," Journal of Sports Economics, The North American Association of Sports Economists, vol. 8(4), pages 425-434, August.
- Michael Dummett, 1998. "The Borda count and agenda manipulation," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 15(2), pages 289-296.
- Lebovic, James H. & Sigelman, Lee, 2001. "The forecasting accuracy and determinants of football rankings," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 105-120.
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