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A Decomposition Of Stock Index Futures Mispricing And The Price Effect Of Index Arbitrage

  • TUSHAJ Arjin

    (University of Tirana, Albania)

  • SINAJ Valentina

    (University of Tirana, Albania)

Registered author(s):

    The importance of the arbitrage theories and the notion of efficient evaluation for the usual market index give a strong motivation for an empirical analysis of the relationship between the current prices and lost future prices. This article developed an empirical system that attempts to characterize the dynamic interactions between these variables. The analysis in this article is motivated from the existence of interrelated markets that trade inter-convertible goods and the common future index. The importance of the mispricing prospective is a whole comprehension of future market efficiency. Mispricing series should be decomposed respectively in equivalency’s relative contribution and future markets. This article attempts to get such decomposition and to bring to light on what was done in the past with the usual future index sources, the mispricing and the market efficiency.

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    File URL: http://eccsf.ulbsibiu.ro/RePEc/blg/journl/7214tushaj&sinaj.pdf
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    Article provided by Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences in its journal Studies in Business and Economics.

    Volume (Year): 7 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 2 (August)
    Pages: 184-196

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    Handle: RePEc:blg:journl:v:7:y:2012:i:2:p:184-196
    Contact details of provider: Postal: Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences Dumbravii Avenue, No 17, postal code 550324, Sibiu, Romania
    Phone: 004 0269 210375
    Fax: 004 0269 210375
    Web page: http://economice.ulbsibiu.ro/
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    1. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1979. "Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models," Working Papers 127, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    2. Hasbrouck, Joel, 1991. " Measuring the Information Content of Stock Trades," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 179-207, March.
    3. Neal, Robert, 1996. "Direct Tests of Index Arbitrage Models," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(04), pages 541-562, December.
    4. Gerald P. Dwyer, Jr. & Peter Locke & Wei Yu, 1995. "Index arbitrage and nonlinear dynamics between the S&P 500 futures and cash," Working Paper 95-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    5. Chan, Louis K. C. & Lakonishok, Josef, 1993. "Institutional trades and intraday stock price behavior," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 173-199, April.
    6. Peiers, Bettina, 1997. " Informed Traders, Intervention, and Price Leadership: A Deeper View of the Microstructure of the Foreign Exchange Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1589-1614, September.
    7. Chung, Y Peter, 1991. " A Transactions Data Test of Stock Index Futures Market Efficiency and Index Arbitrage Profitability," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1791-809, December.
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