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UK Stock Returns and the Impact of Domestic Monetary Policy Shocks

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  • Don Bredin
  • Stuart Hyde
  • Dirk Nitzsche
  • Gerard O'reilly

Abstract

We investigate the influence of changes in UK monetary policy on UK stock returns and the possible reasons behind such a response. Firstly, we conduct an event study to assess the impact of unexpected changes in monetary policy on aggregate and sectoral stock returns. The decomposition of unexpected changes in the policy rate is based on futures markets data. Secondly, using a variance decomposition in the spirit of Campbell (1991) we attempt to identity the channels behind the response of stock returns to monetary policy surprises. The variance decomposition results indicate that the monetary policy shock leads to a persistent negative response in terms of future excess returns for a number of sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Don Bredin & Stuart Hyde & Dirk Nitzsche & Gerard O'reilly, 2007. "UK Stock Returns and the Impact of Domestic Monetary Policy Shocks," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(5‐6), pages 872-888, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:34:y:2007:i:5-6:p:872-888
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5957.2006.02001.x
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    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.2006.02001.x
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2017. "The international REIT’s time-varying response to the U.S. monetary policy and macroeconomic surprises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 640-653.
    2. Gurgul, Henryk & Mitterer, Christoph & Wójtowicz, Tomasz, 2020. "The impact of US macroeconomic news on the prices of single stocks on the Vienna Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper 103352, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Fredj Jawadi & Mohamed Hedi Arouri & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2010. "Global financial crisis, liquidity pressure in stock markets and efficiency of central bank interventions," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(8), pages 669-680.
    4. Wang, Shen & Mayes, David G., 2012. "Monetary policy announcements and stock reactions: An international comparison," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 145-164.
    5. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gupta, Rangan & Gormus, Alper & Soytas, Ugur, 2020. "Price and volatility linkages between international REITs and oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Alaa M. Soliman & Muhammad Shahbaz, 0. "Operational aspect of the policy coordination for financial stability: role of Jeffreys–Lindley’s paradox in operations research," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-25.
    7. Oguzhan Ozcelebi & Nurtac Yildirim, 2017. "Impacts of short-term interest rates on stock returns and exchange rates: Empirical evidence from EAGLE countries," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 228-255, February.
    8. John H. Rogers & Chiara Scotti & Jonathan H. Wright, 2014. "Evaluating Asset-Market Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Cross-Country Comparison," International Finance Discussion Papers 1101, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 07 Mar 2014.

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