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Managing Dairy Profit Risk Using Weather Derivatives

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  • Chen, Gang
  • Roberts, Matthew C.
  • Thraen, Cameron S.

Abstract

Weather conditions are a primary source of dairy production risk. Hot and humid weather induces heat stress, which reduces lactation. Heat abatement, such as ventilation, directly affects the temperature and humidity. Abatement can increase expected profit, but cannot eliminate the lost revenue caused by heat stress. Weather derivatives can reduce weather-induced profit risk and act as a substitute for abatement at the margin. We test the risk management value of weather derivatives in a utility-maximization framework. The result is that weather derivatives can expand the efficient portfolio frontier. Simultaneously using the weather derivatives and abatement equipment is more favorable than using either alone.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Gang & Roberts, Matthew C. & Thraen, Cameron S., 2006. "Managing Dairy Profit Risk Using Weather Derivatives," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-14, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:8624
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.8624
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 6-16, March.
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    3. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Raucci, Gian Lucca & Silveira, Rodrigo Lanna F. & Capitani, Daniel H D, 2018. "Development Of Weather Derivatives: Evidence From Brazilian Soybean Market," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274105, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Haruyoshi Ito & Jing Ai & Akihiko Ozawa, 2016. "Managing Weather Risks: The Case of J. League Soccer Teams in Japan," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 83(4), pages 877-912, December.
    3. Tonsor, Glynn T., 2008. "Hedging in Presence of Market Access Risk," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37621, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Vroege, Willemijn & Dalhaus, Tobias & Wauters, Erwin & Finger, Robert, 2023. "Effects of extreme heat on milk quantity and quality," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    5. Å tulec, Ivana & Petljak, Kristina & Naletina, Dora, 2019. "Weather impact on retail sales: How can weather derivatives help with adverse weather deviations?," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1-10.
    6. Deng, Xiaohui & Barnett, Barry J. & Hoogenboom, Gerrit & Yu, Yingzhuo & Garcia, Axel, 2006. "Evaluating the Efficiency of Crop Index Insurance Products," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35333, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    7. Musshoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Xu, Wei, 2005. "Zur Bewertung von Wetterderivaten als innovative Risikomanagementinstrumente in der Landwirtschaft," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 54(04), pages 1-13.
    8. Ivana STULEC & Kristina PETLJAK & Tomislav BAKOVIC, 2016. "Effectiveness of weather derivatives as a hedge against the weather risk in agriculture," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 62(8), pages 356-362.

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