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Growth, Instability and Decomposition Analysis of Chilli Cultivation in India

Author

Listed:
  • Pavani, Mangalapuri
  • Sharon, Mandepudi Mary
  • Suseela, K.

Abstract

This study analyzed the growth, instability and decomposition of chili cultivation in India over a period of 30-year using secondary data. The study was divided into three sub-periods: 1993–2002, 2003–2012 and 2013–2022, examining variations in area, production, and yield. Growth trends were measured using the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), and variability was assessed through the Cuddy-Della Valle Instability Index (CDVI). Despite a decline in cultivated area, the results showed that chili production and yield increased, especially during the period 2013–2022. The decomposition analysis revealed that improvements in yield were the primary driver of production growth, although fluctuations in area and the interaction between yield and area impacted overall production. The study emphasized the importance of stabilizing production and enhancing farming practices to sustain growth in chili cultivation.

Suggested Citation

  • Pavani, Mangalapuri & Sharon, Mandepudi Mary & Suseela, K., 2025. "Growth, Instability and Decomposition Analysis of Chilli Cultivation in India," Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, vol. 43(3), pages 1-7.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ajaees:368228
    as

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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/368228/files/Pavani4332025AJAEES131922.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cuddy, John D A & Della Valle, P A, 1978. "Measuring the Instability of Time Series Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 40(1), pages 79-85, February.
    2. Kiruthika, N., 2024. "Economics of Mundu Chilli Cultivation in Ramanathapuram District of Tamil Nadu, India," Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, vol. 42(1), pages 1-4.
    3. Angles, S. & Sundar, A. & Chinnadurai, M., 2011. "Impact of Globalization on Production and Export of Turmeric in India – An Economic Analysis," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 24(2), December.
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