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Decisions and tradable production quota when yield is uncertain

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  • Hennessy, David A.
  • Wei, Wei

Abstract

This article analyses optimal decisions under regulation by tradable agricultural production/marketing quotas when production is stochastic. For risk‐neutral and risk‐averse producers the fraction of planned production that is covered by quota is separable from input decisions when yield randomness is additive. The role of quota in protecting against the risk of production shortfall is investigated. A producer is shown to benefit from being allowed to treat as one all tranches of production quota under his control. Production decisions are invariant to this amalgamation. But when production randomness is additive normal, the qualitative impact of amalgamation on quota positions depends upon whether the ratio of rental price to the price difference that is being protected exceeds one half.

Suggested Citation

  • Hennessy, David A. & Wei, Wei, 2000. "Decisions and tradable production quota when yield is uncertain," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 44(2), pages 1-15.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aareaj:117837
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rob Fraser, 1995. "An Analysis Of The Role Of Uncertainty In The Marketing Of Perishable Products," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(2), pages 233-240.
    2. David A. Hennessy & Bruce A. Babcock & Dermot J. Hayes, 1997. "Budgetary and Producer Welfare Effects of Revenue Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(3), pages 1024-1034.
    3. Richard E. Just & Quinn Weninger, 1999. "Are Crop Yields Normally Distributed?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(2), pages 287-304.
    4. Hennessy, David A. & Roosen, Jutta, 1999. "Stochastic Pollution, Permits, and Merger Incentives," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 211-232, May.
    5. Fraser, R W, 1986. "Uncertainty and Production Quotas," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 62(178), pages 338-342, September.
    6. David A. Hennessy & Bruce A. Babcock & Dermot J. Hayes, 1997. "Budgetary and Producer Welfare Effects of Revenue Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(3), pages 1024-1034.
    7. Fraser, Rob W., 1995. "A Note: A Clarification Of The Role Of Yield Uncertainty In Influencing Over-Quota Production," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 39(2), pages 1-5, August.
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    Keywords

    Risk and Uncertainty;

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