IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/agr/journl/v1(634)y2023i1(634)p215-226.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An economic analysis of trade war and deglobalization in current international relations within the paradigm of globalization

Author

Listed:
  • Altaf Hussain PADDER

    (Annamalai University, Chidambaram Tamil Nadu, India)

Abstract

The purpose of the article is on the deglobalization processes currently taking place in international economic interactions, and also attempts to examine how the trade blocs of the major economies affect the rest of globalization. The Kinked Exponential Model was used to determine decadal growth rates based on 31 years of panel data from 1990 to 2020 for 15 large countries (gross domestic product). Three different regression models i.e., Pooled OLS, Fixed- and Randomeffect models were estimated to examine the effects of trade blocs and wars between nations on the world economy. Over the study period, disparities and increasing economic inequality between variables have widened. In addition, international conflicts have had a negative impact on international trade and have significantly affected globalization. More importantly, trade blocs, particularly the OECD, APEC, and BRICS have slowed trade with the rest of the world, reflecting a process known as regionalization, in which countries cooperate rather than at the global level. In particular, during the third decade of the twentieth century, when the growth rate of trade flows among major countries declined rapidly by 8.8 per cent, this regionalization did not stop and expanded significantly.

Suggested Citation

  • Altaf Hussain PADDER, 2023. "An economic analysis of trade war and deglobalization in current international relations within the paradigm of globalization," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(634), S), pages 215-226, Spring.
  • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:1(634):y:2023:i:1(634):p:215-226
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1651.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.ectap.ro/articol.php?id=1651&rid=150
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wencheng Huang & Bin Shuai & Eric Antwi, 2019. "A two-stage optimization approach for subscription bus services network design: the China case," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 589-616, October.
    2. Summary, Rebecca M, 1989. "A Political-Economic Model of U.S. Bilateral Trade," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(1), pages 179-182, February.
    3. Josef C. Brada & Jose A. Mendez, 1983. "Regional Economic Integration and the Volume of Intra‐Regional Trade: A Comparison of Developed and Developing Country Experience," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 589-603, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Aswini Kumar Mishra & Jigar N. Gadhia & N. Kubendran & Makara Sahoo, 2015. "Trade Flows between India and Other BRICS Countries: An Empirical Analysis Using Gravity Model," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(1), pages 107-122, February.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Zohre Ardalani, 2006. "Exchange Rate Sensitivity of U.S. Trade Flows: Evidence from Industry Data," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 72(3), pages 542-559, January.
    3. Erzan, Refik & Holmes, Christopher & Safadi, Raed, 1992. "How changes in the former CMEA area may affect international trade in manufactures," Policy Research Working Paper Series 973, The World Bank.
    4. Kashcheeva, Mila & Tsui, Kevin K., 2015. "Political influence in commercial and financial oil trading : the evidence from US firms," IDE Discussion Papers 491, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    5. Fock, Achim & von Ledebur, Oliver, 1998. "Struktur und Potentiale des Agraraußenhandels Mittel- und Osteuropas," IAMO Discussion Papers 14, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    6. Langhammer, Rolf J. & Hiemenz, Ulrich, 1990. "Regional integration among developing countries: opportunities, obstacles and options," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 416, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    7. Juliette Milgram, 2003. "Quantitative Restrictions on Clothing Imports: Impact and Determinants of the Common Trade Policy Towards Developing Countries," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2003/04, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
    8. Claire Economidou & Vivian Lei & Janet Netz, 2006. "International Integration and Growth: A Further Investigation on Developing Countries," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 12(4), pages 435-448, November.
    9. Misa OKABE, 2015. "Impact of Free Trade Agreements on Trade in East Asia," Working Papers DP-2015-01, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    10. Mohd Rosli, 2013. "Book Review: Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) Access to Finance in Selected East Asian Economies, by Charlies Harvie, Sothea Oum and Dionisius A. Narjoko, (eds), ERIA Research Project Report 2010-1," Institutions and Economies (formerly known as International Journal of Institutions and Economies), Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya, vol. 5(2), pages 159-160, July.
    11. Zhang, Daowei & Nguyen, Ly, 2018. "Tariff and U.S. Paper Products Trade," 2018 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2018, Jacksonville, Florida 266771, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    12. Koo, Won W., 1990. "Determinants Of World Wheat Trade Flows And Policy Analysis: An Application Of Gravity Model," 1990 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Vancouver, Canada 271042, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    13. Shehu U.R. Aliyu & Sani Bawa, 2015. "Gravity model by panel data approach: empirical evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(1), pages 42-57.
    14. Koo, Won W. & Taylor, Richard D. & Karemera, David, 1992. "Determinants of Red Meat Trade Flows," Agricultural Economics Reports 23448, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    15. Jaime R. Marquez, 1992. "The autonomy of trade elasticities: choice and consequences," International Finance Discussion Papers 422, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2006. "How sensitive are Malaysia's bilateral trade flows to depreciation?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(11), pages 1279-1286.
    17. Chiu, Yi-Bin & Sun, Chia-Hung D., 2016. "The role of savings rate in exchange rate and trade imbalance nexus: Cross-countries evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 1017-1025.
    18. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2005:i:15:p:1-12 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2009. "Some economic historic perspectives on the 2009 world trade collapse," ISS Working Papers - General Series 476, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    20. I-Hui Cheng & Howard J. Wall, 2005. "Controlling for heterogeneity in gravity models of trade and integration," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 87(Jan), pages 49-63.
    21. Amjad Naveed & Ghulam Shabbir & Shabib Haider Syed & Muhammad Ashfaq & Muhammad Ali Khan, 2022. "Can a path to peace promote export growth? Evidence from Pakistan and its trading partners," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3309-3324, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:1(634):y:2023:i:1(634):p:215-226. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mircea Dinu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/agerrea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.