IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/abg/anprac/v26y2022i11490.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Resseguro e Capital de Solvência: Atenuantes da Probabilidade de Ruína de SeguradorasReinsurance and Solvency Capital: Mitigating Insurance Companies’ Ruin Probability

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge Wilson Euphasio Junior
  • João Vinícius França Carvalho

Abstract

Context: insurance companies are important to society, since they guarantee financial protection to individuals from property losses, in addition to fostering the capital market through the allocation of guarantee assets. Thus, it is essential to evaluate the instruments that guarantee their long-term financial solvency. Among them are the adoption of reinsurance treaties, the sizing of the solvency capital, and the actuarial modeling of risk processes, which allow the measurement of the ruin probability. Objective: estimate the ruin probability in risk processes with the adoption of reinsurance contracts (quota share and excess of loss), compared to scenarios without such treaties. Methods: the Cramér-Lundberg process was simulated using the Monte Carlo method, adjusting several probabilistic distributions to the severity of the compound Poisson process, which is calibrated with a set of 3,917,863 real microdata, from 30 insurance lines of business. Results: it was found that, although each branch presents particularities in the claim severity, the correct choice of reinsurance (proportional or not) implies the reduction of the ruin probability for a fixed solvency capital. Conclusion: the appropriate choice of the reinsurance contract, especially when there is evidence of high kurtosis in the claim values, intensifies the exponential decline in the relationship between the solvency capital and the ruin probability.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Wilson Euphasio Junior & João Vinícius França Carvalho, 2022. "Resseguro e Capital de Solvência: Atenuantes da Probabilidade de Ruína de SeguradorasReinsurance and Solvency Capital: Mitigating Insurance Companies’ Ruin Probability," RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea (Journal of Contemporary Administration), ANPAD - Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração, vol. 26(1), pages 200191-2001.
    • Handle: RePEc:abg:anprac:v:26:y:2022:i:1:1490
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://rac.anpad.org.br/index.php/rac/article/view/1490
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://rac.anpad.org.br/index.php/rac/article/view/1490/1679
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Afonso, Lourdes B. & Cardoso, Rui M. R. & Egídio dos Reis, Alfredo D. & Guerreiro, Gracinda Rita, 2017. "Measuring The Impact Of A Bonus-Malus System In Finite And Continuous Time Ruin Probabilities For Large Portfolios In Motor Insurance," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(2), pages 417-435, May.
    2. Touazi, A. & Benouaret, Z. & Aissani, D. & Adjabi, S., 2017. "Nonparametric estimation of the claim amount in the strong stability analysis of the classical risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 78-83.
    3. Tamturk, Muhsin & Utev, Sergey, 2018. "Ruin probability via Quantum Mechanics Approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 69-74.
    4. Baumgartner, Benjamin & Gatto, Riccardo, 2010. "A Bootstrap Test for the Probability of Ruin in the Compound Poisson Risk Process," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(1), pages 241-255, May.
    5. Aicha Bareche & Mouloud Cherfaoui, 2019. "Sensitivity of the Stability Bound for Ruin Probabilities to Claim Distributions," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1259-1281, December.
    6. England, P.D. & Verrall, R.J. & Wüthrich, M.V., 2019. "On the lifetime and one-year views of reserve risk, with application to IFRS 17 and Solvency II risk margins," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 74-88.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dhiti Osatakul & Xueyuan Wu, 2021. "Discrete-Time Risk Models with Claim Correlated Premiums in a Markovian Environment," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
    2. Claude Lefèvre & Stéphane Loisel & Muhsin Tamturk & Sergey Utev, 2018. "A Quantum-Type Approach to Non-Life Insurance Risk Modelling," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-17, September.
    3. Muhsin Tamturk & Dominic Cortis & Mark Farrell, 2020. "Examining the Effects of Gradual Catastrophes on Capital Modelling and the Solvency of Insurers: The Case of COVID-19," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Emilio Gómez-Déniz & José María Sarabia & Enrique Calderín-Ojeda, 2019. "Ruin Probability Functions and Severity of Ruin as a Statistical Decision Problem," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-16, June.
    5. Eling, Martin & Jung, Kwangmin, 2020. "Risk aggregation in non-life insurance: Standard models vs. internal models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 183-198.
    6. Anja Breuer & Yves Staudt, 2022. "Equalization Reserves for Reinsurance and Non-Life Undertakings in Switzerland," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-41, March.
    7. Lourdes B. Afonso & Rui M. R. Cardoso & Alfredo D. Egídio dos Reis & Gracinda R. Guerreiro, 2020. "Ruin Probabilities And Capital Requirement for Open Automobile Portfolios With a Bonus‐Malus System Based on Claim Counts," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 87(2), pages 501-522, June.
    8. Muhsin Tamturk & Sergey Utev, 2019. "Optimal Reinsurance via Dirac-Feynman Approach," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 647-659, June.
    9. Aicha Bareche & Mouloud Cherfaoui, 2019. "Sensitivity of the Stability Bound for Ruin Probabilities to Claim Distributions," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1259-1281, December.
    10. Jan Hájek, 2020. "Effect of tax deductibility on technical reserves recognized by Czech and Slovak insurance companies [Vliv daňové uznatelnosti na výši technických rezerv tvořených českými a slovenskými pojišťovnam," Český finanční a účetní časopis, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(3-4), pages 25-37.
    11. Yuan Gao & Lingju Chen & Jiancheng Jiang & Honglong You, 2020. "Nonparametric Estimation of the Ruin Probability in the Classical Compound Poisson Risk Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-12, November.
    12. Chen, An & Li, Hong & Schultze, Mark B., 2023. "Optimal longevity risk transfer under asymmetric information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    13. Muhsin Tamturk, 2023. "Quantum Computing in Insurance Capital Modelling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-13, January.
    14. Marcin Szatkowski, 2022. "Study of Actuarial Characteristics of One-Year and Ultimate Reserve Risk Distributions Based on Market Data," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 14(4), pages 225-262, December.
    15. Marcin Szatkowski & Łukasz Delong, 2021. "One-Year and Ultimate Reserve Risk in Mack Chain Ladder Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-29, August.
    16. Jan Hájek, 2020. "Effect of tax deductibility on technical reserves recognized by Czech and Slovak insurance companies [Vliv daňové uznatelnosti na výši technických rezerv tvořených českými a slovenskými pojišťovnam," Český finanční a účetní časopis, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(3-4).
    17. You, Honglong & Guo, Junyi & Jiang, Jiancheng, 2020. "Interval estimation of the ruin probability in the classical compound Poisson risk model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    18. Osatakul, Dhiti & Li, Shuanming & Wu, Xueyuan, 2023. "Discrete-time risk models with surplus-dependent premium corrections," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 437(C).
    19. Yixing Zhao & Rogemar Mamon & Heng Xiong, 2021. "Claim reserving for insurance contracts in line with the International Financial Reporting Standards 17: a new paid-incurred chain approach to risk adjustments," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-26, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:abg:anprac:v:26:y:2022:i:1:1490. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Information Technology of ANPAD (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://anpad.org.br .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.