IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/apmaco/v437y2023ics0096300322005690.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Discrete-time risk models with surplus-dependent premium corrections

Author

Listed:
  • Osatakul, Dhiti
  • Li, Shuanming
  • Wu, Xueyuan

Abstract

This paper studies discrete-time risk models with insurance premiums adjusted according to claims experience. The premium correction mechanism follows the well-known principle in the non-life insurance industry, the so-called bonus-malus system. The bonus-malus framework that we study here extends the current literature by allowing the premium correction rules to vary according to the current surplus level of the insurance company. The main goal of this paper is to evaluate the risk of ruin for the insurer who implements the proposed bonus-malus system. Two premiums correction principles are examined: by aggregate claims or by claim frequency. Further, the Parisian type of ruin is also considered, where the premium adjustment rules are different in positive- and negative-surplus environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Osatakul, Dhiti & Li, Shuanming & Wu, Xueyuan, 2023. "Discrete-time risk models with surplus-dependent premium corrections," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 437(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:apmaco:v:437:y:2023:i:c:s0096300322005690
    DOI: 10.1016/j.amc.2022.127495
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0096300322005690
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.amc.2022.127495?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wagner, Christian, 2001. "A Note on Ruin in a Two State Markov Model1," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(2), pages 349-358, November.
    2. Dhiti Osatakul & Xueyuan Wu, 2021. "Discrete-Time Risk Models with Claim Correlated Premiums in a Markovian Environment," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
    3. Afonso, Lourdes B. & Cardoso, Rui M. R. & Egídio dos Reis, Alfredo D. & Guerreiro, Gracinda Rita, 2017. "Measuring The Impact Of A Bonus-Malus System In Finite And Continuous Time Ruin Probabilities For Large Portfolios In Motor Insurance," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(2), pages 417-435, May.
    4. Ewa Marciniak & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2016. "On the Optimal Dividend Problem for Insurance Risk Models with Surplus-Dependent Premiums," Papers 1604.06892, arXiv.org.
    5. Corina Constantinescu & Suhang Dai & Weihong Ni & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2016. "Ruin Probabilities with Dependence on the Number of Claims within a Fixed Time Window," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-23, June.
    6. Lourdes B. Afonso & Rui M. R. Cardoso & Alfredo D. Egídio dos Reis & Gracinda R. Guerreiro, 2020. "Ruin Probabilities And Capital Requirement for Open Automobile Portfolios With a Bonus‐Malus System Based on Claim Counts," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 87(2), pages 501-522, June.
    7. Wu, Xueyuan & Chen, Mi & Guo, Junyi & Jin, Can, 2015. "On a discrete-time risk model with claim correlated premiums," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 322-342, September.
    8. Xiaoqing Liang & Virginia R. Young, 2020. "Minimizing the Probability of Lifetime Exponential Parisian Ruin," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 184(3), pages 1036-1064, March.
    9. Ewa Marciniak & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2016. "On the Optimal Dividend Problem for Insurance Risk Models with Surplus-Dependent Premiums," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 168(2), pages 723-742, February.
    10. Budhi Surya & Wenyuan Wang & Xianghua Zhao & Xiaowen Zhou, 2020. "Parisian excursion with capital injection for draw-down reflected Levy insurance risk process," Papers 2005.09214, arXiv.org.
    11. Li, Shu & Landriault, David & Lemieux, Christiane, 2015. "A risk model with varying premiums: Its risk management implications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 38-46.
    12. David Landriault & Jean-François Renaud & Xiaowen Zhou, 2014. "An Insurance Risk Model with Parisian Implementation Delays," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 583-607, September.
    13. Li, Bo & Ni, Weihong & Constantinescu, Corina, 2015. "Risk models with premiums adjusted to claims number," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 94-102.
    14. Julien Trufin & Stéphane Loisel, 2013. "Ultimate ruin probability in discrete time with Bühlmann credibility premium adjustments," Post-Print hal-00426790, HAL.
    15. Afonso, Lourdes B. & dos Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio & Waters, Howard R., 2009. "Calculating Continuous Time Ruin Probabilities for a Large Portfolio with Varying Premiums," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(1), pages 117-136, May.
    16. Afonso, Lourdes B. & Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dos & Waters, Howard R., 2010. "Numerical Evaluation of Continuous Time Ruin Probabilities for a Portfolio with Credibility Updated Premiums," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(1), pages 399-414, May.
    17. Ronnie Loeffen & Irmina Czarna & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2011. "Parisian ruin probability for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy processes," Papers 1102.4055, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
    18. Ewa Marciniak & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2018. "On the Optimal Dividend Problem in the Dual Model with Surplus-Dependent Premiums," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 179(2), pages 533-552, November.
    19. Wagner, Christian, 2002. "Time in the red in a two state Markov model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 365-372, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dhiti Osatakul & Xueyuan Wu, 2021. "Discrete-Time Risk Models with Claim Correlated Premiums in a Markovian Environment," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
    2. Li, Shu & Landriault, David & Lemieux, Christiane, 2015. "A risk model with varying premiums: Its risk management implications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 38-46.
    3. Wang, Zijia & Landriault, David & Li, Shu, 2021. "An insurance risk process with a generalized income process: A solvency analysis," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 133-146.
    4. Ka-Meng Siu & Ka-Hou Chan & Sio-Kei Im, 2023. "A Study of Assessment of Casinos’ Risk of Ruin in Casino Games with Poisson Distribution," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Ewa Marciniak & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2018. "On the Optimal Dividend Problem in the Dual Model with Surplus-Dependent Premiums," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 179(2), pages 533-552, November.
    6. Guérin, Hélène & Renaud, Jean-François, 2017. "On the distribution of cumulative Parisian ruin," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 116-123.
    7. Xiaoqing Liang & Virginia R. Young, 2020. "Minimizing the Probability of Lifetime Exponential Parisian Ruin," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 184(3), pages 1036-1064, March.
    8. Loeffen, R. & Palmowski, Z. & Surya, B.A., 2018. "Discounted penalty function at Parisian ruin for Lévy insurance risk process," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 190-197.
    9. Ran Xu & Wenyuan Wang & Jose Garrido, 2022. "Optimal Dividend Strategy Under Parisian Ruin with Affine Penalty," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 1385-1409, September.
    10. Czarna, Irmina & Renaud, Jean-François, 2016. "A note on Parisian ruin with an ultimate bankruptcy level for Lévy insurance risk processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 54-61.
    11. Mohamed Amine Lkabous & Irmina Czarna & Jean-Franc{c}ois Renaud, 2016. "Parisian ruin for a refracted L\'evy process," Papers 1603.09324, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2017.
    12. Linlin Tian & Lihua Bai & Junyi Guo, 2020. "Optimal Singular Dividend Problem Under the Sparre Andersen Model," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 184(2), pages 603-626, February.
    13. Li, Shu & Zhou, Xiaowen, 2022. "The Parisian and ultimate drawdowns of Lévy insurance models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 140-160.
    14. Ewa Marciniak & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2016. "On the Optimal Dividend Problem in the Dual Model with Surplus-Dependent Premiums," Papers 1605.04584, arXiv.org.
    15. Cheung, Eric C.K. & Zhu, Wei, 2023. "Cumulative Parisian ruin in finite and infinite time horizons for a renewal risk process with exponential claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 84-101.
    16. Albrecher, Hansjörg & Ivanovs, Jevgenijs, 2017. "Strikingly simple identities relating exit problems for Lévy processes under continuous and Poisson observations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 643-656.
    17. Corina Constantinescu & Suhang Dai & Weihong Ni & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2016. "Ruin Probabilities with Dependence on the Number of Claims within a Fixed Time Window," Risks, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-23, June.
    18. Cheung, Eric C.K. & Wong, Jeff T.Y., 2017. "On the dual risk model with Parisian implementation delays in dividend payments," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(1), pages 159-173.
    19. Brinker, Leonie Violetta & Eisenberg, Julia, 2021. "Dividend optimisation: A behaviouristic approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 202-224.
    20. Landriault, David & Li, Bin & Wong, Jeff T.Y. & Xu, Di, 2018. "Poissonian potential measures for Lévy risk models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 152-166.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:apmaco:v:437:y:2023:i:c:s0096300322005690. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/applied-mathematics-and-computation .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.