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Is there a NAIRU for the Netherlands?

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Author Info
Albert van der Horst
Jan Jacobs
Lambert Schoonbeek,

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Abstract

The Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) is an appealing theoretical concept with strong macroeconomic policy implications. In practice, NAIRU's can be computed from estimated wage and price equations running in growth rates or in levels. In this paper we specify and estimate wage and price equations that enable NAIRU computation using quarterly data for the Netherlands over the period 1978 up to and including 1993. Our results are disappointing: the elementary requirements of economic plausibility and statistical significance prohibit NAIRU computation for the Netherlands. The specification of the estimated equations, i.e. in growth rates or in levels, does not matter in this respect.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Centre for Economic Research, University of Groningen and University of Twente in its series Working Papers with number 28.

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Date of creation: May 1996
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Handle: RePEc:wop:ccsowp:0028

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Related research
Keywords: unemployment; NAIRU; Phillips curve; wage level equation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Knoester, Anthonie & van der Windt, Nico, 1987. "Real Wages and Taxation in Ten OECD Countries," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 49(1), pages 151-69, February.
  3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Joyce, Michael & Wren-Lewis, Simon, 1991. "The Role of the Real Exchange Rate and Capacity Utilisation in Convergence to the Nairu," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(406), pages 497-507, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Dolado, Juan J & Jenkinson, Tim & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon, 1990. " Cointegration and Unit Roots," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 4(3), pages 249-73.
  6. Setterfield, M. A. & Gordon, D. V. & Osberg, L., 1992. "Searching for a will o' the wisp : An empirical study of the NAIRU in Canada," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 119-136, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. den Butter, F. A. G. & van de Wijngaert, R. F., 1992. "Wage inflation and labour conflicts in the Netherlands : An empirical investigation using the co-integration approach," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 527-541, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Turner, David S, 1991. "The Determinants of the Nairu Response in Simulations on the Treasury Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 53(3), pages 225-42, August.
  9. Wallis, Kenneth F, 1993. "On Macroeconomic Policy and Macroeconometric Models," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 69(205), pages 113-30, June.
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  10. Fase, M. M. G. & Kramer, P. & Boeschoten, W. C., 1992. "MORKMON II : The Nederlandsche Bank's quarterly model of the Netherlands economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 146-204, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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