Disinflation, fiscal sustainability, and labor market adjustment in Turkey
Abstract
This paper analyzes the effects of monetary policy and fiscal adjustment on output and unemployment in Turkey. The model on which the analysis is based accounts for rural-urban migration, a large urban informal sector, flexible exchange rates, a dollarized banking system, and interactions between default risk on government liabilities, credibility, and inflation expectations. The short- and long-run effects of a rise in official interest rates and tax increases are analyzed. The results highlight the importance of accounting for the link between default risk and credibility in understanding the real and financial effects of macroeconomic adjustment.Download Info
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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 3804.Length:
Date of creation: 01 Jan 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:3804
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Related research
Keywords: Labor Markets; Economic Theory&Research; Banks&Banking Reform; Public Sector Economics&Finance; Economic Stabilization;This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2006-01-24 (All new papers)
- NEP-CWA-2006-01-24 (Central & Western Asia)
- NEP-MAC-2006-01-24 (Macroeconomics)
References
References listed on IDEASPlease report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Olivier Blanchard, 2004. "Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting: Lessons from Brazil," NBER Working Papers 10389, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Ceyhun ELGİN & Tolga Umut KUZUBAŞ, 2012.
"Wage-Productivity Gap in Turkish Manufacturing Sector,"
Iktisat Isletme ve Finans,
Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(316), pages 09-31.
- Ceyhun Elgin & Tolga Umut Kuzubas, 2012. "Wage-Productivity Gap in Turkish Manufacturing Sector," Working Papers 2012/03, Bogazici University, Department of Economics.
- Pierre-Richard Agénor, 2005.
"Unemployment-Poverty Tradeoffs,"
Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series,
in: Jorge Restrepo & Andrea Tokman R. & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series Edi (ed.), Labor Markets and Institutions, edition 1, volume 8, chapter 5, pages 115-165
Central Bank of Chile.
- Agenor, Pierre-Richard, 2004. "Unemployment - poverty trade-offs," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3297, The World Bank.
- Pierre-Richard Agénor & Peter J. Montiel, 2007.
"Monetary Policy Analysis in a Small Open Credit-Based Economy,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
90, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
- Pierre-Richard Agénor & Peter Montiel, 2008. "Monetary Policy Analysis in a Small Open Credit-Based Economy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 423-455, September.
- Dufour, Mathieu & Orhangazi, Ozgur, 2007.
"The 2000-2001 Financial Crisis in Turkey: A Crisis for Whom?,"
MPRA Paper
7837, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2008.
- Mathieu Dufour & Ozgur Orhangazi, 2009. "The 2000-2001 Financial Crisis in Turkey: A Crisis for Whom?," Review of Political Economy, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 101-122.
- P R Agénor, 2004.
"The Macroeconomics of Poverty Reduction,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
43, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
- Pierre-Richard Agenor, 2005. "The Macroeconomics Of Poverty Reduction," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(4), pages 369-434, 07.
- Pierre-Richard Agénor & Peter J. Montiel, 2006.
"Credit Market Imperfections and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Part I: Fixed Exchange Rates,"
The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series
0628, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Pierre-Richard Agénor & Peter J. Montiel, 2006. "Credit Market Imperfections and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Part I: Fixed Exchange Rates," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 76, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
- P R Agénor & D Yilmaz, 2006. "The Tyranny of Rules: Fiscal Discipline, Productive Spending, and Growth," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 73, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
- Angel-Urdinola, Diego F. & Haimovich, Francisco & Robayo, Monica, 2009. "Is Social Assistance Contributing to Higher Informality in Turkey?," MPRA Paper 27675, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Zapodeanu Daniela & Gavris Natalia & Leac Dafina Roxana & Teudan Ana - Maria, 2011. "A Liniar Model Of Analyzing Inflation In Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey And Croatia," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 445-451, December.
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