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The Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity: Evidence from Panel Data of Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • Kazi Iqbal

    (Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies)

  • Abu Siddique

    (Business School, University of Western Australia)

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity in Bangladesh for the period 1975-2008 for 23 regions. First, the study relies on descriptive statistics and maps to explore the long term changes at both country and local level in climatic variables such as temperature, rainfall, humidity and sunshine. Second, it uses regression models to estimate the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity. Unlike the existing literature, this study exploits within-region time series variations (regional fixed effect) to estimate the impact of long term changes in climatic variables on agricultural productivity in order to control for regional differences, both observed and unobserved. The results show that long term changes in means and standard deviations of the climatic variables have differential impacts on the productivity of rice and thus the overall impact of climate change on agriculture is not unambiguous.

Suggested Citation

  • Kazi Iqbal & Abu Siddique, 2014. "The Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Productivity: Evidence from Panel Data of Bangladesh," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 14-29, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwa:wpaper:14-29
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vernon W. Ruttan, 2002. "Productivity Growth in World Agriculture: Sources and Constraints," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 16(4), pages 161-184, Fall.
    2. Sarker, Md. Abdur Rashid & Alam, Khorshed & Gow, Jeff, 2012. "Exploring the relationship between climate change and rice yield in Bangladesh: An analysis of time series data," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 11-16.
    3. Saleemul Huq & Hannah Reid & Mama Konate & Atiq Rahman & Youba Sokona & Florence Crick, 2004. "Mainstreaming adaptation to climate change in Least Developed Countries (LDCs)," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 25-43, March.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Syed Abul Basher & Salim Rashid & Mohammad Riad Uddin, 2023. "Regional convergence in Bangladesh using night lights," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(18), pages 2581-2588, October.
    3. Md. Nur Islam & Md. Abdul Wadud, 2020. "Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Production in Bangladesh: A Review," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 4(9), pages 125-137.
    4. Hopkins, John L. & McKay, Judith, 2019. "Investigating ‘anywhere working’ as a mechanism for alleviating traffic congestion in smart cities," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 258-272.
    5. Sanjeev Kumar & Ajay K. Singh, 2023. "Modeling the effects of climate change on agricultural productivity: evidence from Himachal Pradesh, India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 521-548, June.
    6. Dissanayake, Sumali & Mahadevan, Renuka & Asafu-Adjaye, John, 2019. "Is there a role for trade liberalization in mitigating the impacts of climate change on agriculture?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 307-324.
    7. Sudeshna Paul & Athula Naranpanawa & Jay Bandaralage & Tapan Sarker, 2018. "Climate change, crop productivity and regional growth disparity in Bangladesh: What does a district-level regional CGE model tell us?," Discussion Papers in Economics economics:201803, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    8. Nuñez, Hector M. & Chakrabortu, Lopamudra & Robles-Chavez, Jesus Eduardo, 2021. "Impacts of Weather Shocks on Crop Yields in Mexico," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 314988, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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