Finance and Employment
Abstract
How does finance affect employment and inter-industry job reallocation? We present a model that predicts that financial development (i) increases employment and/or labor productivity and wages, with a smaller impact at high levels of the equilibrium wage and financial development; (ii) may induce either more or less reallocation of jobs depending on whether shocks to profit opportunities or to cash flow predominate; (iii) amplifies the output and employment losses in crises, firms that rely most on banks for liquidity being hit the hardest. Testing these predictions on international industry-level data for 1970-2003, we find that standard measures of financial development are indeed associated with greater employment growth, although only in non-OECD countries, and are not correlated with labor productivity or real wage growth. Moreover, they correlate negatively with inter-industry dispersion of employment growth. Finally, there is some evidence of a “dark side” of financial development, in that during banking crises employment grows less in the industries that are more dependent on external finance and those located in the more financially developed countries.Download Info
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Paper provided by Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy in its series CSEF Working Papers with number 283.Length:
Date of creation: 08 Apr 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:sef:csefwp:283
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Keywords: financial development; employment; investment; access to finance;Other versions of this item:
- Marco Pagano & Giovanni Pica, 2012. "Finance and employment," Economic Policy, CEPR & CES & MSH, vol. 27(69), pages 5-55, 01.
- E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
- G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
- J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General
- O16 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
- O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-04-30 (All new papers)
- NEP-CFN-2011-04-30 (Corporate Finance)
- NEP-LAB-2011-04-30 (Labour Economics)
- NEP-MAC-2011-04-30 (Macroeconomics)
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Olsson, Martin & Tåg, Joacim, 2012. "Private Equity and Employees," Working Paper Series 906, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
- Marco Pagano, 2012.
"Finance: Economic Lifeblood or Toxin?,"
CSEF Working Papers
326, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Marco Pagano, 2013. "Finance - Economic Lifeblood or Toxin?," EIEF Working Papers Series 1309, Einaudi Institute for Economic and Finance (EIEF), revised Apr 2013.
- Efraim Benmelech & Nittai K. Bergman & Amit Seru, 2011. "Financing Labor," NBER Working Papers 17144, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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