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Oil crisis, Energy Saving Technological Change, and the Stock Market Collapse of 1974

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Author Info
Adrian Peralta-Alva () (Department of Economics University of Miami)
Sami Alpanda (Amherst College)

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Abstract

The market value of U.S. corporations was nearly halved following the oil crisis of October 1973. Real energy prices more than doubled by the end of the decade, increasing energy costs and spurring innovation in energy-saving technologies by corporations. This paper uses a neoclassical growth model to quantify the impact of the increase in energy prices on the market value of U.S. corporations. In the model, corporations adopt energy-saving technologies as a response to the energy price shock and the price of installed capital falls due to investment irreversibility. The model calibrated to match the subsequent decline in energy consumption in the U.S. generates a 24% decline in market valuation; accounting for nearly half of what is observed in the data

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Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 with number 49.

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Date of creation: 04 Jul 2006
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Handle: RePEc:sce:scecfa:49

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Keywords: Stock Market; Energy Prices; Tobin's q;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
O33 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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  1. Technology Assessment
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    Other versions:
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    Other versions:
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  6. Boldrin, Michele & Levine, David K., 2001. "Growth Cycles and Market Crashes," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 96(1-2), pages 13-39, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Peter Klenow, 1998. "Learning Curves and the Cyclical Behavior of Manufacturing Industries," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 1(2), pages 531-550, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Stephen L. Parente, 2000. "Learning-by-Using and the Switch to Better Machines," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 3(4), pages 675-703, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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