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Monitoring Bands and Monitoring Rules: how currency intervention can change market composition

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Author Info
Luisa Corrado (Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge and University of Rome, Tor Vergata.)
Marcus Miller (Department of Economics, University of Warwick and CEPR)
Lei Zhang (Department of Economics, University of Warwick.)

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Abstract

In this paper we show how trading rules can generate excess volatility in the exchange rate through repeated entry and exit of currency "bears" and "bulls". This is something of a caricature: but it allows us to show that official action can have self-ful.lling e¤ects as market composition shifts in ways that support official stabilization. Intervention if and when the rate moves outside what Williamson has labelled "monitoring bands" can reduce market volatility as the effect of the policy is to select endogenously traders from the market whose expectations match official intervention.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Tor Vergata University, CEIS in its series CEIS Research Paper with number 91.

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Length: 18
Date of creation: 20 Feb 2007
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Handle: RePEc:rtv:ceisrp:91

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Postal: CEIS - Centre for Economic and International Studies - Faculty of Economics - University of Rome "Tor Vergata" - Via Columbia, 2 00133 Roma
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Related research
Keywords: Monitoring Rules Monitoring Band Bear and Bull Traders Excess Volatility Central Bank Volatility

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Williamson, John, 1998. "Crawling Bands or Monitoring Bands: How to Manage Exchange Rates in a World of Capital Mobility," International Finance, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 1(1), pages 59-79, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Christian Bauer & Paul De Grauwe & Stefan Reitz, 2007. "Exchange Rates Dynamics in a Target Zone – A Heterogeneous Expectations Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
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